Jump to content
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts Fan Forum

2021 Colts at 49ers: Matchup Stats, 49ers PFF, Poll


EastStreet

2021 Colts at 49ers: Matchup Stats, 49ers PFF, Poll  

41 members have voted

  1. 1. What will the outcome be?

    • Colts by 21 or more
      0
    • Colts by 14-20
    • Colts by 7-13
    • ND by 1-6
    • 49ers by 1-6
    • 49ers by 7-13
    • 49ers by 14-20
      0
    • 49ers by 21 or more
      0
  2. 2. Who will have more rushing yards?

  3. 3. Who will have the most passing yars?

  4. 4. Who will have the most sacks?

  5. 5. Who will get sacked more?

  6. 6. Is this a must win game? ESPN has the Colts as 36% chance to make the playoffs. 2-5 teams historically have a 3% chance.


This poll is closed to new votes

  • Please sign in or register to vote in this poll.
  • Poll closed on 10/24/2021 at 11:00 PM

Recommended Posts

 

 

Quick Hits/TLDR

  • Might be the best OL we've faced so far (credited with only 2 sacks)
  • Might be the best DE we've faced (Bosa) so far (vs Fisher)...
  • Definitely the best pass D we've faced (YPG and YPA)
  • 49ers are significantly better in 6 keys stat areas, Indy only better in 1
  • Deebo is killing it this year (100+ per game)
  • Not the best sack total, but very strong DL
  • Don't let Warner's low grade or skinny ankles fool you.
  • Current Vegas Lines has the Colts as 3.5-4.5 dogs 
  • ESPN currently gives the Colts a 34.4% chance of winning
  • ESPN currently has the Colts at 36.2% to make the playoffs
  • 49ers are off a bye. Rested, and had plenty of time watch film and find holes to pick on.
  • Buchner needs to have grudge type of game..... 

 

Prediction

  • Guessing it will mostly be about which running game is better, although turnovers could always factor either way....
  • My heart says Colts 23 - 49ers 20
  • My brain says 49ers 27 - Colts 23
  • I'm going with my heart, and Wentz this week.

 

 

  • Areas where the Colts are significantly better (10 spots better)
    • Defensive RZ%
  • Areas where the 49ers are significantly better (10 spots better)
    • Offensive RZ%
    • 3rd Down Defense
    • Total YPG Defense
    • Passing YPG Defense
    • Passing YPA Defense
    • Strength of Schedule

 

 

SoS so far

  • Colts - 22nd
  • 49ers - 9th

 

 

  • Offense (Colts/49ers)
    • Power Index: 13th / 16th
    • PPG: 19th (23.2) / 17th (23.4)
    • RZ%: 31st (43%) / 2nd (91%)
    • 3D%: 22nd (38%) / 25th (36%)
    • TotalYPG: 15th / 14th
    • RushYPG: 11th / 12th
    • RushYPA: 8th / 14th 
    • PassYPG: 16th / 14th
    • PassYPA: 9th / 13th
    • Sacked%: 19th / 13th
  • Defense (Colts/49ers)
    • Power Index: 15th / 12th
    • PPGA: 11th (21.8) / 15th 23.8
    • RZ%A: 18th (65%) / 28th (76%)
    • 3D%A: 20th (42%) / 4th (33%)
    • TotalYPGA: 20th / 6th
    • RushYPGA: 14th / 18th
    • RushYPAA: 11th / 16th
    • PassYPGA: 20th / 7th
    • PassYPAA: 28th / 9th
    • Sack%: 17th / 15th

 

PFF Grades

 

  • QB
    • Q-Garoppolo - 60.8 (2 INTs)
    • Q-Lance - 59.0 (1 INT)
  • RB
    • Mitchell - 64.7 (4.2 YPC)
    • Q-Hasty -  60.7 (6.8 YPC)
    • Sermon - 65.3 (4.4 YPC)
  • FB
    • Juszczyk - 62.4
  • WR
    • Samuel - 81.8 (110 YPG)
    • Aiyuk - 59.0
    • Sanu - 61.6
    • Sherfield - 55.6
    • Benjamin - 47.2
    • Jennings - 74.3
  • TE
    • Dwelley - 58.2
    • Woerner - 55.3
  • OL - arguably the best OL we've seen this year, and we've played LAR.....  only 2 sacks credited to their starting 5
    • Q-Williams (LT) - 93.4 0 sacks
    • Tomlinson (LG) - 75.8 0 sacks
    • Mack (C) - 62.8 1 sack
    • Brunskill (RG) - 65.2 0 sacks
    • McGlinchey (RT) - 67.8  1 sack
  • LDE
    • Armstead - 89.4 1 sack
    • Ford - 54.9 3 sacks
  • LDT
    • Q-Kinlaw - 50.5 1 sack
    • Street - 49.9 1 sack
  • RDT
    • Jones - 73.4 1 sack
    • Kerr - 57.0 0 sacks
  • RDE
    • Bosa - 89.2 5 sacks
    • Ebukam - 55.0
  • SAM
    • Al-Shaair - 55.7
  • MIKE
    • Warner - 59.4 (don't be fooled by this low number)
  • WILL
    • Q - Harris - 63.7
    • Flannigan-Fowles - 51.5
  • LCB
    • Moseley - 68.2
    • Jonshon - 71.3
  • RCB
    • Norman - 47.9
    • Kirkpatrick - 60.9
  • NB
    • Q-Williams - 53.2
  • FS
    • Ward - 69.1
  • SS 
    • Tartt - 66.6
    • Tavon Wilson (x-Colt) - 64.9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 105
  • Created
  • Last Reply
17 minutes ago, Colt Overseas said:

Easy to forget that the 49ers have alot of very good players, particulary along the fronts. Rain expected too. This is going to be a gruelling 60 minutes I'd say. 

Yup.  A lot of very good pieces. If Lance develops, they could be a contender next year. 

2 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

I think these two teams are a lot alike as far as both teams being better then their records indicate.

Yup, but we're different in a lot of ways too. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 minutes ago, richard pallo said:

I don’t think so.  It was on a live segment of NFL Live. 

 

Huge game though. If we win, our % goes from 36 to 49, and IMO if we lose, the 36% falls to 5% or under. Depends on what TN does vs KC of course. I hate counting on teams to lose.... 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

Just a note from a podcast I am listening to right now. With the weather conditions being heavy rain and wind Wentz has the big Arm that might be able to cut through the wind. Jimmy G doesn’t have a very strong arm so wind could have a effect. Also colts have the better run game.

Bet Wentz can throw it over a mountain and threw the rain.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

We're not sitting Wentz.

 

The weather being bad is probably a help, to us.

I don’t think they will if they can manage to be in that 10-15 range in the draft. I think it gets a little hairy if it ends up top ten. Hopefully they can win enough games where that isn’t a question.  7 or 8 games should keep them right outside the top ten.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

I don’t think they will if they can manage to be in that 10-15 range in the draft. I think it gets a little hairy if it ends up top ten. Hopefully they can win enough games where that isn’t a question.  7 or 8 games should keep them right outside the top ten.

 

They will never just sit Wentz just to sit him as long as he's playing well and healthy.

I don't care what the record is. Like I've said previously, wouldn't be shocked if they "found" a surgery for him, but they'll never just sit him. They'd never be trusted as a trade partner again.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

 

They will never just sit Wentz just to sit him as long as he's playing well and healthy.

I don't care what the record is. Like I've said previously, wouldn't be shocked if they "found" a surgery for him, but they'll never just sit him. They'd never be trusted as a trade partner again.

People would see right through that.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

He would also need a surgery. What if there is nothing to fix.

 

it wouldn't necessarily have to be surgery.  again, look at Collins in 2011.  He was put on IR due to a concussion.  they could simply say he re-aggravated the ankle in practice.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, J@son said:

 

it wouldn't necessarily have to be surgery.  again, look at Collins in 2011.  He was put on IR due to a concussion.  they could simply say he re-aggravated the ankle in practice.  

Well I don’t see them doing that. Ballard isn’t going to lie and just make something up. It’s a skipprtly slope. Better hope Wentz and the team would be ok with it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Wentzszn said:

I know I am dwelling on this too much but does anyone have any record of Wentz playing in a game with  downpours and wind. I would be curious how he did or if he has played in a game like that.

 

Wentz has performed +9% over expected rate with winds over 15 MPH, and only 7% over expected rate with 1+ inches of rain.

 

yes this is sarcasm lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

 

Wentz has performed +9% over expected rate with winds over 15 MPH, and only 7% over expected rate with 1+ inches of rain.

 

yes this is sarcasm lol

Not bad. To even be over expected rate is ok. With his arm not surprising with wind. I was searching on YouTube for games like this and found this one. I have no clue what year this was. But it is crazy. I am really surprised more players don’t get injured.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

Not bad. To even be over expected rate is ok. With his arm not surprising with wind. I was searching on YouTube for games like this and found this one. I have no clue what year this was. But it is crazy. I am really surprised more players don’t get injured.

 

 

I think you missed the small print below that post :goodluck:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I went the Irish by 1-6 (1), Colts (2) and Colts (3) as I think our offense will dominate but I went Bosa (4) because it is possible he has 2 sacks, (5) Indy QB's, (6) this is easily a must win game, we need to get to get 6-4 and hope at that point Tennessee is 5-5 or 6-4 at worse.

 

Reason why this won't be a win by wide margin is, our pass defense will give up a couple of TD's. Colts win this 27-23. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

I went the Irish by 1-6 (1), Colts (2) and Colts (3) as I think our offense will dominate but I went Bosa (4) because it is possible he has 2 sacks, (5) Indy QB's, (6) this is easily a must win game, we need to get to get 6-4 and hope at that point Tennessee is 5-5 or 6-4 at worse.

 

Reason why this won't be a win by wide margin is, our pass defense will give up a couple of TD's. Colts win this 27-23. 

 

You betting on KC this week?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

  • Popular Now

  • Thread of the Week

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Did you miss Buckner's new extension? The one with the large signing bonus and void years? 
    • I like Latu, but don't you think there's a significant number of teams that are scared off by his medical? And then a couple more who will downgrade him because of his age?
    • yeah pretty much what I figured.  If they are going to start mixing up coverages and running more man coverage, then sure grab a CB in the first.  If they're going to continue being a mostly zone team regardless, then no, no round 1 CB.
    • The mission is to build something that has us competing with the best of the best. This is a season for AR to get tuned up.  Who do you think will be the right guys on our roster now to take us to an AFC Championship game?  It's not Smith, Fries, and we likely can't get there with more than 2-3 of our current back seven.  I would offer Buckner to the Bears as part of a trade for 9. Eberflus wants to have a great D so maybe he bites.  Then hopefully trade back 2-3 spots for a good pick.  I'd love to come out of the draft with Latham and the Byron Murphy II. And come out of the draft with RG Bebe.
    • I think he's a little overrated as a corner prospect. Doesn't mean I don't like him, I do. But I was hearing about how incredibly athletic he is, people were talking about him like he was a lockdown defender, then I watch him for a couple games and I don't see that. So at first I was pretty down on him. Then I went back and watched him with my expectations much lower, and I see what he has to offer.   He's definitely athletic, but not the standout, premier athlete people were making him out to be at first. Watching his high school basketball videos helped me contextualize his athleticism, there's plenty of burst there. He has some struggles flipping his hips and staying connected late in the down. He's feisty and physical, plays the run with enthusiasm, tackles well, and he has explosiveness. He's better in shorter areas when he doesn't have to try to keep up with a receiver with elite speed. I know he ran 4.43, but it wasn't a pro day, it was a private workout. I discount timed speeds at pro days, and definitely at private workouts. To me, he's closer to 4.5 than 4.4, and that's what I expected when watching him play.   To me, he's a safety/nickel prospect, not a boundary corner. And if he were looked at as a boundary corner, I think his arm length would probably disqualify him for the Colts, at least in the first round. And I think the Colts already view corner as a Day 2 position. He's said all the right things about playing multiple positions. And while I don't know how the new rules will affect kickoffs, I think it makes sense to have good options at returner, so that helps his stock as well. But I think the second round is the right range for him. If we drafted him, I think we still need a boost on the outside.
  • Members

×
×
  • Create New...