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2020 Colts at Texans Matchup Info


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TLDR Summary 
Texans D - Not good at all in either phase. Next to last vs the run. Next to last in passer rating allowed. Last in takeaways, and 28th in 3rd down defense. They are average-ish in sacks (13th), but blitz a lot (9th most). Could be a tough day for whoever is subbing for AC. The loss of Roby hurts, who was #1 in PDs and had the lowest passer rating allowed (DBs).

 

Texans O - Bad at running (31st), good at passing (3rd). The loss of Fuller (#11 in yards, and #7 in YPC) is a huge blow. They give up sacks (bottom 10), but Watson doesn't throw many INTs (6th least %).

 

Keys to the game on defense
They're a one dimension team. Can't run, and just loss their best WRs. I expect a lot of soft zone. If we bend but don't break, fine, but Watson can kill you if he gets in a groove. Given they can't run it, this could become a shootout from the start if our pass D fails, or is too soft. Having Buckner and Autry back is big. Let's hope they're in shape.

 

Key to the game on offense
Good balance. RTDB is fine, IF it works. If Watson is successful throwing however, we'll need to pass too. We're not the best at running, but should look better than usual vs a bad Texan run defense. Rivers should have an easy day so long as the OL holds, as Houston typically makes all QBs look great. With Roby out, Rivers should have a good day vs a secondary that wasn't good to begin with.

 

Colts
Offense

Total Yardage - 12th
Total Points - 9th
Passing Yardage - 10th
Rushing Yardage - 22nd
3rd Down % - 28th
Red Zone % (TD) - 18th
Sacks per Game (fewest) - 2nd
Sack % - 2nd
INT % (lowest) - 14th
Time of Possession - 12th
Run/Pass % - 43/57
Yards per Completion - 7th
Yards per Attempt - 8th

 

Defense
Total Yardage - 5th
Total Points - 10th
Passing Yardage - 6th
Rushing Yardage - 7th
3rd Down % - 17th
Red Zone % - 27th
Sack % - 11th
Sacks per Game - 17th
INT % - 4th
Blitz % - 31st
AVG Passer Rating Allowed - 4th
Takeaways per Game - 8th


Misc & STs
Non-Offesnive TDs per Game - 1st
FG Attempts per Game - 4th
FG Conversion - 16th
Punts per Game (most) - 27th
Punts Net Yard AVG - 19th
Penalties per Game (least) - 23rd
Opponent Penalties per Game (most) - 18th

 

Personnel (top 10s and 20s)
Autry DE - Sacks Tied 19th
Rhodes CB - Passes Defended Tied 11th
Rivers QB - Passing Yards 10th / Net Yards PPP 6th
Taylor RB - Catch Rate #2
Rodgers CB/ST - KO Ret AVG #1
Hines APB - Punt Ret AVG #11
Odum - ST Tackles #1


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Texans
Offense

Total Yardage - 16th
Total Points - 17th
Passing Yardage - 3rd
Rushing Yardage - 31st
3rd Down % - 16th
Red Zone % (TD) - 19th
Sacks per Game (fewest) - 21st 
Sack % - 24th
INT % - 6th
Time of Possession - 31st
Run/Pass % - 38/62
Yards per Completion - 1st
Yards per Attempt - 1st

 

Defense
Total Yardage - 30th
Total Points - 23rd
Passing Yardage - 23rd
Rushing Yardage - 31st
3rd Down % - 28th
Red Zone % - 15th
Sack % - 13th
Sacks per Game - 15th
INT % - 32nd
Blitz % - 9th
AVG Passer Rating Allowed - 31st
Takeaways per Game - 32nd

 

Misc & STs
Non-Offesnive TDs per Game - 22nd
FG Attempts per Game - 19th
FG Conversion - 18th
Punts per Game (most) - 13th
Punts Net Yard AVG - 12th
Penalties per Game (least) - 4th
Opponent Penalties per Game (most) - 32nd

 

Personnel (top 10s and 20s)
Cunningham LB - #1 Tackles
Watson QB - #4 Passing Yards / #6 Compl % / Net Yards PPP 2nd
Fuller (out) - YPC #7 / Total Rcv Yards #11
Cooks WR - Total Rcv Yards #19
Crossen CB - ST Tackles #3
 

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16 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

TLDR Summary 
Texans D - Not good at all in either phase. Next to last vs the run. Next to last in passer rating allowed. Last in takeaways, and 28th in 3rd down defense. They are average-ish in sacks (13th), but blitz a lot (9th most). Could be a tough day for whoever is subbing for AC. The loss of Roby hurts, who was #1 in PDs and had the lowest passer rating allowed (DBs).

 

Texans O - Bad at running (31st), good at passing (3rd). The loss of Fuller (#11 in yards, and #7 in YPC) is a huge blow. They give up sacks (bottom 10), but Watson doesn't throw many INTs (6th least %).

 

Keys to the game on defense
They're a one dimension team. Can't run, and just loss their best WRs. I expect a lot of soft zone. If we bend but don't break, fine, but Watson can kill you if he gets in a groove. Given they can't run it, this could become a shootout from the start if our pass D fails, or is too soft. Having Buckner and Autry back is big. Let's hope they're in shape.

 

Key to the game on offense
Good balance. RTDB is fine, IF it works. If Watson is successful throwing however, we'll need to pass too. We're not the best at running, but should look better than usual vs a bad Texan run defense. Rivers should have an easy day so long as the OL holds, as Houston typically makes all QBs look great. With Roby out, Rivers should have a good day vs a secondary that wasn't good to begin with.

 

Colts
Offense

Total Yardage - 12th
Total Points - 9th
Passing Yardage - 10th
Rushing Yardage - 22nd
3rd Down % - 28th
Red Zone % (TD) - 18th
Sacks per Game (fewest) - 2nd
Sack % - 2nd
INT % (lowest) - 14th
Time of Possession - 12th
Run/Pass % - 43/57
Yards per Completion - 7th
Yards per Attempt - 8th

 

Defense
Total Yardage - 5th
Total Points - 10th
Passing Yardage - 6th
Rushing Yardage - 7th
3rd Down % - 17th
Red Zone % - 27th
Sack % - 11th
Sacks per Game - 17th
INT % - 4th
Blitz % - 31st
AVG Passer Rating Allowed - 4th
Takeaways per Game - 8th


Misc & STs
Non-Offesnive TDs per Game - 1st
FG Attempts per Game - 4th
FG Conversion - 16th
Punts per Game (most) - 27th
Punts Net Yard AVG - 19th
Penalties per Game (least) - 23rd
Opponent Penalties per Game (most) - 18th

 

Personnel (top 10s and 20s)
Autry DE - Sacks Tied 19th
Rhodes CB - Passes Defended Tied 11th
Rivers QB - Passing Yards 10th / Net Yards PPP 6th
Taylor RB - Catch Rate #2
Rodgers CB/ST - KO Ret AVG #1
Hines APB - Punt Ret AVG #11
Odum - ST Tackles #1


----------------------------------------------------------------

 

Texans
Offense

Total Yardage - 16th
Total Points - 17th
Passing Yardage - 3rd
Rushing Yardage - 31st
3rd Down % - 16th
Red Zone % (TD) - 19th
Sacks per Game (fewest) - 21st 
Sack % - 24th
INT % - 6th
Time of Possession - 31st
Run/Pass % - 38/62
Yards per Completion - 1st
Yards per Attempt - 1st

 

Defense
Total Yardage - 30th
Total Points - 23rd
Passing Yardage - 23rd
Rushing Yardage - 31st
3rd Down % - 28th
Red Zone % - 15th
Sack % - 13th
Sacks per Game - 15th
INT % - 32nd
Blitz % - 9th
AVG Passer Rating Allowed - 31st
Takeaways per Game - 32nd

 

Misc & STs
Non-Offesnive TDs per Game - 22nd
FG Attempts per Game - 19th
FG Conversion - 18th
Punts per Game (most) - 13th
Punts Net Yard AVG - 12th
Penalties per Game (least) - 4th
Opponent Penalties per Game (most) - 32nd

 

Personnel (top 10s and 20s)
Cunningham LB - #1 Tackles
Watson QB - #4 Passing Yards / #6 Compl % / Net Yards PPP 2nd
Fuller (out) - YPC #7 / Total Rcv Yards #11
Cooks WR - Total Rcv Yards #19
Crossen CB - ST Tackles #3
 

Great stuff as usual and you would think looking at the numbers we should win easily, but I think it will be close because they have Watson and it is a division game on the road. I have us winning 27-24. The main key for us is to get off to a quick start and get an early lead and of course don't turn it over. They get any kind of lead that is when Watson gains confidence and starts passing like Marino and running like Vick lmao 

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12 minutes ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

Great stuff as usual and you would think looking at the numbers we should win easily, but I think it will be close because they have Watson and it is a division game on the road. I have us winning 27-24. The main key for us is to get off to a quick start and get an early lead and of course don't turn it over. They get any kind of lead that is when Watson gains confidence and starts passing like Marino and running like Vick lmao 

Thank you sir.

 

I'm with you get the early lead, and keep it. I know division game, road game, etc., but if we don't win, it's just bad coaching/game plan/play calling...... Their D sucks, and their O is only good passing. With Fuller gone, no excuses.

 

My biggest fear is that we'll be overly conservative on O, and let them hang around. Our D ranking is trending down (which was predictable), but we still should be able to shut them down. Just glad we got some guys back.

 

 

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10 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

Thank you sir.

 

I'm with you get the early lead, and keep it. I know division game, road game, etc., but if we don't win, it's just bad coaching/game plan/play calling...... Their D sucks, and their O is only good passing. With Fuller gone, no excuses.

 

My biggest fear is that we'll be overly conservative on O, and let them hang around. Our D ranking is trending down (which was predictable), but we still should be able to shut them down. Just glad we got some guys back.

 

 

It would be the worse loss of the year because of the importance of it and timing. We need this one badly.

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1 minute ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

It would be the worse loss of the year because of the importance of it and timing. We need this one badly.

Jags IMO would still worse overall, but in pure timing, yes (on Houston). Jags was totally a bad game plan and 100% avoidable. We wouldn't be at risk of missing the playoffs if we hadn't stepped on our xxxx week one.

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What I’m reading on the Internet is that Watson is playing some of the best ball of his career.   That alone should make it a close competitive game.    
 

We’re the better team, so we should win.  But December football is always crazy and unpredictable.    So.........?

 

 

 

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11 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

Jags IMO would still worse overall, but in pure timing, yes (on Houston). Jags was totally a bad game plan and 100% avoidable. We wouldn't be at risk of missing the playoffs if we hadn't stepped on our xxxx week one.

The Jags loss still bothers me, we should've never lost to them, we should really be 8-3 but it is what it is. This game here is a must win if we want to keep our division winning hopes alive. I heard Buckner and Taylor will be back, if true we should be ready to roll.

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6 minutes ago, NewColtsFan said:

What I’m reading on the Internet is that Watson is playing some of the best ball of his career.   That alone should make it a close competitive game.    
 

We’re the better team, so we should win.  But December football is always crazy and unpredictable.    So.........?

 

Fuller was having his best ever season. Best YPT. Best YPC. Most yards, reception, and TDs, in his career.

 

Cooks is good though. Cobb is OK, but aging.

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2 minutes ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

The Jags loss still bothers me, we should've never lost to them, we should really be 8-3 but it is what it is. This game here is a must win if we want to keep our division winning hopes alive. I heard Buckner and Taylor will be back, if true we should be ready to roll.

I'm just hoping Buckner and Autry are in game shape and don't have any lingering issues. I don't think Turay practiced today at all, and was LP the prior to days, so really good we have Autry and Houston back as bookends, and Buckner in the middle. Taylor should have very good day.

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14 minutes ago, NewColtsFan said:

What I’m reading on the Internet is that Watson is playing some of the best ball of his career.   That alone should make it a close competitive game.    
 

We’re the better team, so we should win.  But December football is always crazy and unpredictable.    So.........?

 

 

 

That is why I have it close, Watson is streaky dangerous.

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2 hours ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

That is why I have it close, Watson is streaky dangerous.

I may not have done it every year I've been here....    but I always try to remind people that December football is crazy.   Absolutely crazy.

 

Things you can never predict happen in December.   

 

*** A terrible team with nothing to lose, finds a way to win.

*** A much better team takes the opponent lightly and loses

*** A young quarterback plays and the game slows down and he pulls off the upset

*** An old QB gets a chance and his veteran leadership pays off.

*** A couple of well timed turnovers and key mistake

*** Bad special teams, or good special teams

*** A combination of the some of the above.

 

December football can be scary.   Reich needs to make sure we show up on Sunday.   Take the Texans lightly and we could come home with a loss.

 

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Didn’t realize the defense is 27th in the red zone. Yikes. I fear that Watson will have a field day there. 
 

Colts can’t take anyone lightly after getting their butts kicked last week. 35 points in first half. 
 

I keep hearing that the defense is better in second half because they make great adjustments and suddenly show up to play. 
 

What if the truth is that opposing teams start being conservative after halftime or majorly screw up like Titans special teams?  I’ve been thinking the defense is elite and that’s been turned upside down by this one stat. 

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33 minutes ago, Bolts2Colts said:

Didn’t realize the defense is 27th in the red zone. Yikes. I fear that Watson will have a field day there. 
 

Colts can’t take anyone lightly after getting their butts kicked last week. 35 points in first half. 
 

I keep hearing that the defense is better in second half because they make great adjustments and suddenly show up to play. 
 

What if the truth is that opposing teams start being conservative after halftime or majorly screw up like Titans special teams?  I’ve been thinking the defense is elite and that’s been turned upside down by this one stat. 

We're not bad, we're just not elite. We played a bunch of bad Os to start the year, that over inflated our stats.  Even after playing a few good teams, we're still ranked 29th in terms of strength of schedule. I predicted our D will end up somewhere between 8th and 13th I think, which is trending pretty good. We've dropped from 1st or 2nd overall, to 5th in just a few games. 

 

If anything was disturbing from last week's game, it was letting Henry and TN run for 220ish yards. I think most of us were already suspicious of our passing D rank, but most thought our rush D was better than what we saw last week. I understand we were without a few guys, but those guys are not big run defenders anyway. It's never good to be down starters up front, but still, expected more.

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4 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

We're not bad, we're just not elite. We played a bunch of bad Os to start the year, that over inflated our stats.  Even after playing a few good teams, we're still ranked 29th in terms of strength of schedule. I predicted our D will end up somewhere between 8th and 13th I think, which is trending pretty good. We've dropped from 1st or 2nd overall, to 5th in just a few games. 

 

If anything was disturbing from last week's game, it was letting Henry and TN run for 220ish yards. I think most of us were already suspicious of our passing D rank, but most thought our rush D was better than what we saw last week. I understand we were without a few guys, but those guys are not big run defenders anyway. It's never good to be down starters up front, but still, expected more.

You wouldn't think not having 1 player would matter but not having Buckner last week really hurt us against the run. 

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1 hour ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

You wouldn't think not having 1 player would matter but not having Buckner last week really hurt us against the run. 

IDK my friend. We were great vs the run last year when we didn't have Buckner. 

 

And Buckner only averages 4 Ts a game, and Autry 3. AQM, Lewis, Stewart, and Stallworth all had 4 or Ts. 

And Henry had well above his AVG YPC in the first game. 

 

IMO, the difference was better play calling on both O and D in game 1. In game two, our O got predictable after the two scripted drives to start the game. IIRC, we scored 2 TDs in our first two drives, then it was 3 punts+1 downs... and those last 3-4 drives were all a bunch of short pass calls, mostly to Hines which they were ready for this time. Hardly ran it all. Just a horrible mix. And when we couldn't keep up, they could continue to pound it. We got ahead in game one, and they had to abandon the pounding.

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