Jump to content
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts Fan Forum

AFC playoff picture


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 93
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

trevor lawrence   

I am on vacation now for 10 days - enjoying the W going into a bye week.

This for sure.  We frequently look at the season with a global view.  But how often does it happen that one of the top teams loses a couple of key players and then suddenly they look very beatable?  L

Posted Images

2 hours ago, GoColts8818 said:

Because I think the chiefs go 13-3 12-4 at worst.  I think the raiders go 11-5 at best but probably more likely to be 10-6 maybe 9-7.

 

Nobody is pointing out that we play them in December. Our schedule is tougher but a win there is pretty big .

Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, dw49 said:

 

Nobody is pointing out that we play them in December. Our schedule is tougher but a win there is pretty big .

Beating the raiders could be huge.  I think there is a real chance the last playoff spot in the AFC comes down to the Colts and Raiders and that tie breaker could be the difference.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, GoColts8818 said:

Beating the raiders could be huge.  I think there is a real chance the last playoff spot in the AFC comes down to the Colts and Raiders and that tie breaker could be the difference.

That game could have major impact 

Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, coltsorioles said:

Right now the colts are the #7 seed.  

How when the browns have the same record and they beat us.

7 minutes ago, holeymoley99 said:

And Titans just lost their starting LT Taylor Lewan for the season it appears...thats going to sting

Really? 

Link to post
Share on other sites

The thing is what a team did last week (or a few game ago) or what you think they might do down the road has little bearing from week to week. 

Just this week the so called Paper Tigers sent Rogers to the bench for being ineffective with a rating of 35.4. 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, crazycolt1 said:

The thing is what a team did last week (or a few game ago) or what you think they might do down the road has little bearing from week to week. 

Just this week the so called Paper Tigers sent Rogers to the bench for being ineffective with a rating of 35.4. 

 

they are proving me wrong so far

Link to post
Share on other sites
14 hours ago, csmopar said:

Patriots are 2-4... with some pretty tough games coming up too. They’re in the try again next year group

They are actually 2-3 at this point.   They also get the Jets 2 games going forward.   At least they have already had their bye week.  

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

As of now I have us going 9‐7 and even feel like I'm being sort of optimistic. That definitely won't be enough for the division and very likely not enough for a wildcard spot. I hope I'm wrong it's just that I need to see us take these dominant halfs and turn them into full games. We are going to need to beat some great teams 3-4 times from here on out to have a good chance. Less than that and we are in trouble. If we beat the Lions like I think we can manage we might go into the second half of the season with some dejavu at 5-2, but with a chance to lose many after that. If we can beat the Lions then win two more before our first Texans game then I'll feel better as I think 10-6 is much more likely after that.

Link to post
Share on other sites
41 minutes ago, chad72 said:

AFC North will beat each other up and I’m thinking the Chiefs and Titans get the Top 2 seeds in the AFC, in some order. The AFC North winner gets the #3 seed and the AFC East winner gets the #4 seed.

Whoever loses North will most likely be 5th seed probably playing the Bills 

Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, bestQBever said:

vs Jets, Vikings, Bengals. 3 of the 4 or 5 worst teams in the league.

Yep. We are going to get beat by the Ravens, packers, twice by the titans, split with the Texans and then the Steelers. So an 8-8 season and maybe worse bc imo the Lions and raiders games could go either way. Just don't think this Colts team is good enough to beat the top tier teams and it's a toss-up with mediocre to bad teams.

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Patrick Miller said:

Yep. We are going to get beat by the Ravens, packers, twice by the titans, split with the Texans and then the Steelers. So an 8-8 season and maybe worse bc imo the Lions and raiders games could go either way. Just don't think this Colts team is good enough to beat the top tier teams and it's a toss-up with mediocre to bad teams.

You could be right, but the certainty with which you talk is a bit premature and lacks the fragility of how the league frequently pans out. 

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Patrick Miller said:

Yep. We are going to get beat by the Ravens, packers, twice by the titans, split with the Texans and then the Steelers. So an 8-8 season and maybe worse bc imo the Lions and raiders games could go either way. Just don't think this Colts team is good enough to beat the top tier teams and it's a toss-up with mediocre to bad teams.

we'll see where we're at right after the Ravens game

Link to post
Share on other sites
54 minutes ago, Patrick Miller said:

Yep. We are going to get beat by the Ravens, packers, twice by the titans, split with the Texans and then the Steelers. So an 8-8 season and maybe worse bc imo the Lions and raiders games could go either way. Just don't think this Colts team is good enough to beat the top tier teams and it's a toss-up with mediocre to bad teams.

We will sweep the Texans and split with Titans so 10-6 is the probability. Titans are overrated, they won't beat us here.

Link to post
Share on other sites
On 10/18/2020 at 11:00 PM, crazycolt1 said:

The thing is what a team did last week (or a few game ago) or what you think they might do down the road has little bearing from week to week. 

Just this week the so called Paper Tigers sent Rogers to the bench for being ineffective with a rating of 35.4. 

 


Yes. Completely agree. 
 

To me playoff talk is pointless until December. 
 

I have a buddy in Nashville and texted him about this time last year that the Titans may be the worst team in the AFC South.  A QB switch and a hot streak later - all of the sudden they make it all the way to the AFCCG. 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.


  • Thread of the Week

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • They were never going to pick Lamar in 2018   Karl Joseph is a bench player and Fitzpatrick is much better than him anyways   Not sure what this post is getting after
    • They are likely kicking the can down the road, and the negative consequence is higher cap numbers for those players in future seasons, and greater cap penalties to move on from those players in future seasons. The thing is there's no much else they can do. they're set to be nearly $70m over the cap in 2021, and other than these restructures, they would not be able to get under the cap by the start of the new league year. They would have to cut or trade all of their highly paid players.
    • I feel the hype about Carl Lawson is from a combination of people who haven't really watched him play, and who overrate "pressures" by assuming that all pressures are equally disruptive.    Lawson is a tough, physical, high effort guy, he tackles well, plays the run reasonably well, he has decent size, and he would fit nicely as a DE for us. He's not a dynamic pass rusher, and I don't think he ever would be a dynamic pass rusher.   He has some quickness and speed, good speed to power, but he's not the kind of explosive pass rusher that blows up the other team's blocking schemes. He has below average bend and closing speed, and he takes a lot of steps, which explains his tragically poor three cone. He also has below average length, and gets neutralized by good blockers. This is all obvious on his tape, it was obvious on his college tape, and it's why he went in the 4th round.   TomDiggs mentioned Lawson's knockdowns/hits and hurries. PFF recorded six edge rushers with at least QB 15 hits; despite the fact that Lawson had 24 hits, he only had five sacks, which is the least sacks among those six players. In fact, there were ten edges with fewer than 15 QB hits, but with at least ten sacks. PFF has 24 edges with at least 30 pressures; Lawson had 34 hurries, but was tied for fifth fewest sacks among those 24 players. In fact, there were five edges with fewer hurries than Lawson, but at least ten sacks.   My point is that QB hits and pressures only show a player that manages to get near the QB at some point during the play. Without context, they don't necessarily show a player that makes a definite impact on the play. That's why I value PFF's pass rush productivity (PRP) stat, because sacks are weighted more heavily than hits and pressures. And that makes sense because a sack ends the play. A QB can be pressured, even hit, and still make a positive play. Recognizing a sack as nearly always a negative play for the offense, PRP shows the difference between a guy who gets near the QB, and a pass rusher who makes plays for the defense. Sometimes the overlap is not as great as you might think.   Lawson's PRP was 8.5, tied for #18, well separated from guys like Bosa (10.6) and Watt (9.7). In general, a player with a bunch of total pressures, but low sack numbers, like Lawson, is a guy who gets a bunch of pass rush snaps but doesn't have the length, bend and closing speed to get home often enough. This is why guys like Trey Hendrickson and Leonard Floyd can have a third fewer total pressures, but twice as many sacks as Lawson (Hendrickson also had 80 fewer pass rush snaps). And Lawson gets a ton of pass rush snaps because he plays for a bad team with no other good edge rushers, so as long as he's healthy he'll have a lot of pressures, but he'll probably never be a big sack guy.   He's Trey Flowers. Better 40, same agility, not as long, mid level edge rusher who is well rounded and a good guy to have on your team, but not a dominant pass rusher. I can't see offering him $14m/year to not sack the QB. Any projection that has him as a big time sack guy is unrealistic, IMO.
    • It's nice to see Pittman, Smith and Okereke get some love.
    • Did I misread your post?   Did you not say you were in favor of moving Nelson to LT?   That if we’re going to pay him top dollar, it would be better to do it with him as our LT instead of at LG?    That wasn’t you?    I’m sorry, I thought that’s what I responded to.... 
  • Members

×
×
  • Create New...