Are you insinuating that Darnold had comparable team behind him? That to me is like comparing oil and water. Not suggesting Darnald is great but comparing their play and their surrounding cast is disingenuous.
The upside of hiring someone as prominent as a head coach trumps the league giving a 3rd round pick to a contender when drafting is an inexact science with most GMs hitting below .500, IMO. Most hires are being done by teams with terrible records anyways. They aren’t worried about a team that’s a contender, they just are worried about getting back to the playoffs.
I do agree giving 2 third rounders increases the odds of hitting, this might just be a kickstarting move that might get reduced to 1 third rounder eventually. Worrying about the Chiefs will only happen for an NFC team when they get to the SB. There’s that too.