2020 Boom and Bust Rookie WRs

[EastStreet]

As requested by a few posters..... 

 

Three Polls

 

Poll 1 (select all that apply)

What WRs will "Boom" out of the first 3 rounds in their first year in the NFL. A legit "Boom" will be defined as 1000 yards or more (top 30ish WR). Only one rook hit 1000 last year (AJ Brown). Two others had 900 or more (Metcalf and McLaurin).  Slayton and Samuel had 700+. 

 

Poll 2 (select all that apply)

What WRs will have "Mini-Booms" from rounds 4-7 in their first year. We'll define Mini-Boom as 600 yards or more (near the bottom of WR2 level yards).

 

Poll 3 (select all that apply)

What 1st and 2nd round WRs are most likely to "Bust" in year one (3rd round or later aren't really busts). We'll define "Bust" as under 400 yards (under WR3 yardage).
 

 

Regarding the numbers below to the right. I did a little un-scientific math for my own benefit. The first number is the WR's total yards last year. The % is the WR's % of his college QBs total yardage. The final number is that same % multiplied by his new QBs total yardage. Again, nothing scientific, I just wanted to see what it would look like if they carried their same production/reliance over to the NFL. Obviously QBs are different, etc.. QBs will certainly vary as will surrounding talent at WR and TE, etc.. I normalized some totals due to injury.

 

Pick    Player        Team    WR YDS (% of CQB YDS) / % * NFL QB

1-12    Henry Ruggs  VEG          746 (21%) / 864
1-15    Jerry Jeudy DEN              1163 (33%) / 1017
1-17    CeeDee Lamb DAL          1327 (34%) / 1689
1-21    Jalen Reagor  PHI             611 (24%) / 987
1-22    Justin Jefferson MIN        1540 (27%) / 978
1-25    Brandon Aiyuk  SFO        1192 (41%) / 1611
2-33    Tee Higgins  CIN               1167 (32%) / 1806
2-34    Michael Pittman  IND       1275 (36%) / 1680
2-42    Laviska Shenault  JAX       764 (27%) / 890
2-46    KJ Hamler DEN                   904 (34%) / 1040
2-49    Chase Claypool PIT             1037 (34%) / 1640
2-57    Van Jefferson LAR              657 (22%) / 1036
2-59    Denzel Mims NYJ               1020 (32%) / 1129
3-80    Lynn Bowden* VEG           348 (13%) / 538
3-81    Bryan Edwards  VEG         816 (31%) / 1272
3-92    Devin Duvernay  BAL        1386 (38%) / 1183
4-128    Gabriel Davis  BUF          1241 (34%) / 1049
4-142    A. Gandy-Golden WAS      1396 (38%) / 1067
5-151    Joe Reed LAC                      679 (19%) / 666
5-161    Tyler Johnson TAM          1318 (40%) / 1644
5-165    Collin Johnson JAX            559 INJ (15%) / 499
5-166    Quintez Cephus DET        901 (33%) / 1586
5-168    John Hightower  PHI        943 (26%) / 1058
5-171    Isaiah Coulter HOU          1039 (32%) / 1231
5-173    Darnell Mooney CHI        713 (29%) / 963
5-176    K.J. Osborn  MIN               547 (17%) / 616
6-187    D. Peoples-Jones CLE       438 (14%) / 547
6-200    Quez Watkins PHI           1178 (34%) / 1361
6-201    James Proche BAL           1225 (31%) / 975
6-207    Isaiah Hodgins  BUF        1171 (43%) / 1333
6-212    Dezmon Patmon IND      762 (14%) / 630
6-214    Freddie Swain SEA          517 (18%) / 722
7-217    Jauan Jennings  SFO         969 (35%) / 1377
7-220    K.J. Hill  LAC                      636 (19%) / 1102
7-252    Tyrie Cleveland DEN       351 (12%) / 365
 

[EastStreet]

I voted

 

Boom

Ruggs - Carr needed a WR bad, and Ruggs will get used early and often.

Jeudy - I think Lock breaks out this year, and Jeudy is the guy to help him

Higgins - Will be Burrow's new best friend. 

Mims - I was hesitant to pick him, but I think he'll do nicely. Maybe more like 800

 

Mini-Boom

Gandy Golden - hesitant to pick him, but McLaurin worked out well there last year.

Tyler Johnson - Just because Brady want to have fun.....

Quintez Cephus - Stafford should light this dude up if he can keep his head on straight

Quez Watkins - Speedy dude will fit in well in Philly.

***I almost picked Jennings, but did not... Undervalued IMO, just like Patmon.

 

Bust

Jalen Reagor - Just not feeling him as a fast starter in Philly

Laviska Shenault - I could be totally wrong here. Just not a fan. Minshew might prove me wrong.

Van Jefferson - Just not enough dinner to feed everyone.