Pagano himself disagrees with your post.
Pagano sucked at in game adjustments, motivation and game planning. I wouldn't say he is the worst coach ever but he provided minimal value to the team, although Grigson significantly hampered his ceiling with this team.
Yea, no way to predict injuries... with a healthy Funchess, Campbell, and Fountain to compliment TY, that group hypothetically should be pretty solid.
I thought Campbell really showed strides in improving his game throughout the season, though it was unfortunate that every time he showed glimpses of what he may become, he would get re-injured. And Funchess from pre-season and the little bit we saw of him in game 1 looked to have pretty solid chemistry with Brissett.
From a recent interview, it sounds like Ballard wants Funchess back. If we can't sign him before the draft, I expect we'll get a big-bodied guy there. I tend to think we're going to draft one either way.
Jacoby's play definitely declined after week 6 last year (he had 14 of his 18 TDs in the first 6 games). Obviously, he was a step back from Luck. However, I still can't pinpoint his decline over the season. Was it a) he had a lack of targets due to all our injuries? b) Jacoby's knee injury taking some zip off his throws? c) teams figuring out how to game plan against him, or d) Jacoby just not being all that good of a QB?
My guess is, all 4 factored into that... I certainly think he would've been a little better without the injuries and with a better WR corps, but can't say how much. That said, I don't think the lack of talent at WR last year was due to CB not trying to build that position group anywhere near as much as it was due to unexpected injuries.