If we didn't crack the top 10 in the draft with our top 5 franchise QB shockingly retiring 2 weeks before the season started, the odds of us landing the #1 pick with a full offseason to plan are roughly around zero. The Clemson kid, Lawrence, is going #1 overall next year and almost any team with a shot have the worst record in the league next year is going to refuse to trade out of that spot. He's seen as that Elway/Manning/Luck level prospect. Banking on getting him next year is insane.
This mock assumes nobody does any first round trades at all. (Okay, you kinda have to do that when doing a mock for publication.) But I seriously doubt that it falls that way once draft day arrives.
I also agree that if Love is drafted before Herbert, it would shake the world a bit. Matilda, y'all better go tie down all the china!