You can win with 200 yards or lose with 400. Every QB is going to miss guys wide open. But they may make 5 big plays. Jacobys problem wasn’t him missing wide open guys he just didn’t make enough big plays so those misses were magnified second half of the season. He will improve if he starts if everyone stays healthy. Just doesn’t have a high enough ceiling.
While chunk plays are important, yards also matter unless you have a top 5 D....
Y/A and ANY/A both have strong correlation to winning... JB is 20th and 28th in those two categories. He was close to last in air yards (29th) as well, and 26th in deep attempts. Also, JB wasn't really hitting big "called" or "scripted" plays early. Many of his longer completions were on broken plays. That's nice and all, but it's not something that can be relied upon consistently.
I know anything is possible but does anyone see a player like Kristian Fulton getting picked in the top 12? There is usually that head-scratcher pick early in the draft (according to media/armchair GMs).