First Pick's board is so out of whack it kills me. I've used it in previous years, but it's just plain ridiculous right now. Your first 4 picks could all go in the first and the rest are at least a round or 2 later than projected (all no fault of yours, just a terrible board they have).
Ballard and Reich have both stressed accuracy as being one of the biggest things for a QB. Herbert had almost 67% accuracy this year. So maybe he is the one they want. Loves was 64% in 2018 so still pretty good. More accurate QB or the one with more playmaking off script ability. If they some how are able to get Herbert I predict he will be the starter day 1. He would probably fit seamlessly right into Reichs system.
While they make statements that seem (and may be) true, make no mistake teams will not willingly signal their draft intentions to other teams. Mayok is responsible to get players Jon wants and coaches. Gruden loves QB's, and also traded Khalil Mack. Trading Carr is only 5 million dead cap. Depends upon Gruden deciding if Derek can run his playbook well enough. Maybe Tom Brady goes to the Raiders. We'll see.