So many X factors here. Rivers has a stellar record vs Jags and Titans throughout his career, including away games. Will that continue with the Colts?
The other aspect is when Rivers used to travel from Pacific time to east coast time to play teams like the Steelers, Ravens, Patriots etc., the record tended to be more often negative. That aspect is also reduced by playing for the Colts. I am sure he wasn't making excuses for those and the results could be because those teams have been really good for a long time. Still doesn't explain his inferior record vs the Browns though.
All-in-all, I get the feeling that Rivers will have a resurgence due to several factors, including the OL and run support he will get here and fewer inconveniences due to time zone issues. Maybe it is my optimism speaking but I feel we will beat the spread more often than not as a result thus winning more than predicted.
Good stuff. But curious about 1 game: Detroit. Why do you think Detroit will be tougher than Chicago or Cleveland? Yeah, Chicago's offense is a mess but their D is tight. Cleveland has a nice roster and if they can put it all together they'll be tough. I don't see as much stopping the Colts in Detroit. The rest I agree on. 10-6 feels about right all things considered. But I am growing increasingly pessimistic the NFL (or any other pro league for that matter) will play a full season.
BTW, I think we all know why that last game doesn't have a line. If the Colts have a playoff spot clinched and/or Jax is already eliminated that is going to change who plays.