The more I think about this, the more I feel the Colts may try to trade back. Ballard said himself there are only about 8 players they would consider in the 1st, and my bet is most or all will be gone by 26. This is an overall weak class compared to last year except the DL.
Hopefully get an extra 2nd out of the deal!
I've been preparing to hear some unexpected names with our first 3 picks, if we stay there, but I still think I'll be surprised at some of them.
Some potential surprises IMO could be McLaurin or Banogu (who I admittedly don't like much) in the early/late 2nd. Or Jacobs at #26, which I'd also not be very high on. And those are just ones that would kind of surprise me. I fully expect an out of left field pick at either 26, 34, or 59.
I understand where you are coming from, but late First Round WRs rarely pan out either. Here's a list 20 of the top WRs in the NFL and where they were drafted, based on The Draft Networks list, https://thedraftnetwork.com/articles/the-top-20-wide-receivers-in-the-nfl:
Deandre Hopkins - Round 1, Pick 27
Julio Jones - Round 1, Pick 6
Michael Thomas - Round 2, Pick 47
Antonio Brown - Round 6, Pick 195
Adam Thielen - Undrafted
Odell Beckham Jr - Round 1, Pick 12
Tyreek Hill - Round 5, Pick 165
Mike Evans - Round 1, Pick 7
Juju Smith-Schuster - Round 2, Pick 62
Davante Adams - Round 2, Pick 53
Keenan Allen - Round 3, Pick 76
Stefon Diggs - Round 5, Pick 146
AJ Green - Round 1, Pick 4
TY Hilton - Round 3, Pick 92
Brandin Cooks - Round 1, Pick 20
Robert Woods - Round 2, Pick 41
Amari Cooper - Round 1, Pick 4
Kenny Golladay - Round 3, Pick 96
Tyler Lockett - Round 3, Pick 69
Emanuel Sanders - Round 3, Pick 82
Top 16 of Round 1: 5
Bottom 16 of Round 1: 2
Round 2: 4
Round 3: 5
Round 4: 0
Round 5: 2
Round 6: 1
Round 7: 0
As can be seen, most value in the draft at WR can be gotten in the either the top of the first or the second and third rounds. Only two WRs taken in the back half of round one have become top 20 caliber players.
Let's also look at the past 5 drafts, receivers taken in the bottom half of round 1:
Brandin Cooks (2014)
Kelvin Benjamin (2014)
Nelson Agholor (2015)
Breshad Perriman (2015)
Philip Dorsett (2015)
Will Fuller (2016)
Josh Doctson (2016)
Laquon Treadwell (2016)
DJ Moore (2018)
Calvin Ridley (2018)
While the jury is still out on Moore and Ridley, only Cooks has really performed at a high level out of them all. 5 of the remaining 7 have been very disappointing thus far (Benjamin, Perriman, Dorsett, Doctson, Treadwell), and the remaining two are both unreliable at times, and decent at best. Based on this evidence, I personally would least like 26 to be WR. In fact, I would only put QB, P, K, and OL below it at that slot. Late first round receivers rarely pan out, and I want this draft to be another big success to push us up the ladder into SB talks.