FA Agency Day 2 and beyond.
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My pick for QB would be Michael Gallup. Oh wait, he's a WR. Yeah then I will still take Michael Gallup as we need receivers more than a QB right now. Send Rock to Dallas for Gallup. -
Gus Johnson is a play by play guy. Romo is color commentator. They don't have the same job. Both are very good at what they do, but they do different things -
By MikeCurtis · Posted
I see many of the draft "experts" talk about what the Colts will do in the draft. The draft process on the QB position, even with all the improved scouting techniques is a highly flawed . If you look at history some interesting facts come out. Drafting a QB in the first round is a high risk endeavor In the past 9 Years 20 QBs have been drafted in the first round. I wanted to come up with some metrics to see the % that have worked out with the team that they drafted them I am "measuring" the results with the simple question, Would the NFL team make the same draft decision, at their position in that years draft, in hindsight - Its a YES/NO decision For the ones that are still TBD (last few years) I counted these as YES. The selection of Goff as a "NO" is not that he is a horrible QB, but a simple question.... If you could do the pick again would you take Goff at number 1 overall..... my guess is the Rams would have gone another way 2012 Draft Round 1 1st Andrew Luck - YES 2nd Robert Griffin - NO 8th Ryan Tannehil - NO 22nd Brandon Wheedon - NO 2013 Draft Round 1 16th EJ Manuel - NO 2014 Draft Round 1 3rd Pick Blake Bortles - NO 22nd Johnny Manziel - NO 2015 Draft Round 1 1st - Jameis Winston - NO 2nd Marcus Marriota - NO 2016 Draft Round 1 1st Jared Goff - NO 2nd Carson Wentz - YES 22nd Paxton Lynch - NO 2017 Draft Round 1 2nd Mitch Trubiski - NO 10th Pat Mahomes - YES 12th Deshaun Watsun - YES 2018 Draft Round 1 1st Baker Mayfield - YES 3rd Sam Darnold - NO 7th Josh Allen - YES 10th Josh Rosen - NO 32nd Lamar Jackson - YES With this data, drafting a QB in the first round is a 30% hit rate The folks that want to give up 2 or 3 first round picks to move up to get Fields or Wilson may want to think deeper on this From my perspective, and looking at the analytics it would appear that drafting the best BPA OL, DL , CB, or even WR, available at 21 is the safest approach And going with an extremely low risk/ low cost FA (Winston) or if the deal is decent, offering a trade to get Matthew Stafford. (Stafford route is my first choice), but I wouldnt want to get fleeced in the trade. If the right LT isnt there at 21, there are a few FA OTs that we could pick up Let me know your thoughts........... -
By shakedownstreet · Posted
Isn't "Jumbo Shrimp" an oxymoron... -
I know right? Word outa GB is that Love has not fared well to this point in any facet and doesn't look all that but yet some want the Colts to trade for him... Ha!!
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