Why the Colts will put Dallas away...fast.

[Blueblood23]

Ok fair enough!

[stitches]

TY usually has a problem with athletic big CBs(as opposed to small fast ones) and that's exactly what Dallas has. They usually outphysical him and jam him on his releases to disrupt his routes. I would be interested to see how that matchup vs Byron Jones goes. 

 

Dallas' defense kind of has similar strengths to the Jags defense(Jones-Awuzie vs Ramsey-Bouye are very similar pairings, strong defensive lines with some beasts on the edges, one of whom can get inside( Lawrence-Randy Gregory/Crawford vs Campbell-Ngakue ), very good linebacking cores (Vander Esch -Jaylon Smith vs Myles Jack-Telvin Smith)... I wonder if they will try replicating what the Jags did to us last game. 

 

Overall I'm not sure we matchup great vs them, but then again we've been rolling at home so... hopefully that factor plays into it too. 

 

 

 

[chad72]

14 minutes ago, NewColtsFan said:

 

Look....   I agree with you that Luck often needs a few drives to get comfortable with the defense he’s facing...    but once you used the word “historic” that’s where you lost me.

 

When people use that word, I start thinking record book and stuff like that,  not just tendencies.    And remember some of Luck’s slow starts can be the fault of the coaching staff or bad plays by teammates.   Not talking about this year as much as previous seasons.

 

Sorry if I overreacted to just one key word.   But that one word made all the difference to me.   

 

I should remind folks that the Seahawks, in their 2013 SB winning year, at Lucas Oil Stadium, started off 12-0 and then Luck got going and we won 34-28. Siranni and Luck script their first 15 plays to see how the OL is doing, what their DL is doing etc. and sometimes, it leads to points and sometimes it does not.  Matt Nagy does, lots of OCs do as well. Saints were 3-14 vs the Bucs on the road and ended up winning 28-14. 

 

The first quarter is typically a feel out period and there will always be a play or two in those scripted plays, that will lead to a good chunk of yardage that could result in a FG or TD. Regardless, nothing to get carried away by, success or failure in the first quarter.

[chad72]

4 minutes ago, stitches said:

TY usually has a problem with athletic big CBs(as opposed to small fast ones) and that's exactly what Dallas has. They usually outphysical him and jam him on his releases to disrupt his routes. I would be interested to see how that matchup vs Byron Jones goes. 

 

Dallas' defense kind of has similar strengths to the Jags defense(Jones-Awuzie vs Ramsey-Bouye are very similar pairings, strong defensive lines with some beasts on the edges, one of whom can get inside( Lawrence-Randy Gregory/Crawford vs Campbell-Ngakue ), very good linebacking cores (Vander Esch -Jaylon Smith vs Myles Jack-Telvin Smith)... I wonder if they will try replicating what the Jags did to us last game. 

 

Overall I'm not sure we matchup great vs them, but then again we've been rolling at home so... hopefully that factor plays into it too. 

 

 

Good observations!!! That is why we should keep them honest with the run. Running out of shotgun with/without draw plays may not be a bad idea for a few occasions, IMO.

 

Having Ryan Kelly would be huge for us.

[krunk]

2 minutes ago, stitches said:

TY usually has a problem with athletic big CBs(as opposed to small fast ones) and that's exactly what Dallas has. They usually outphysical him and jam him on his releases to disrupt his routes. I would be interested to see how that matchup vs Byron Jones goes. 

 

Dallas' defense kind of has similar strengths to the Jags defense(Jones-Awuzie vs Ramsey-Bouye are very similar pairings, strong defensive lines with some beasts on the edges, one of whom can get inside( Lawrence-Randy Gregory/Crawford vs Campbell-Ngakue ), very good linebacking cores (Vander Esch -Jaylon Smith vs Myles Jack-Telvin Smith)... I wonder if they will try replicating what the Jags did to us last game. 

 

Overall I'm not sure we matchup great vs them, but then again we've been rolling at home so... hopefully that factor plays into it too. 

 

 

 

I think they will try replicating a lot of what Jax did.  Although I do think much of what Jax was able to do stemmed from our lack of commitment to establish any sort of running game. We get a running game going in that Jax game to me it limits them from sitting back in so many sub packages keeping everythng underneath.   I like our chances of being able to establish some sort of respect for the running game with Kelly, Hewitt and Ali Cox all healthy.  On the flip side I think much of  the Jax game will get repeated if we are not able to run the football effectively.

[Lawrence Owen]

15 minutes ago, NewColtsFan said:

 

Look....   I agree with you that Luck often needs a few drives to get comfortable with the defense he’s facing...    but once you used the word “historic” that’s where you lost me.

 

When people use that word, I start thinking record book and stuff like that,  not just tendencies.    And remember some of Luck’s slow starts can be the fault of the coaching staff or bad plays by teammates.   Not talking about this year as much as previous seasons.

 

Sorry if I overreacted to just one key word.   But that one word made all the difference to me.   

I think he just framed the sentence wrong, but used the right word. "Historically, Luck has been a slow starter."  Because history does show Luck has a tendency to start slow. 

3 hours ago, Blueblood23 said:

I don't know about fast as Luck is a historic slow starter. Seems like our first couple of drives are three and out. I do see the Colts winning so all is good.

And i do agree he has been known to start slow.  But I think Eberflus is not dumb, and realizes loading the box on Dak & Zeke is a priority.  A turnover early by a sack/strip or Int will help provide the early spark Luck needs to start on fire and never look back.

[Lawrence Owen]

9 minutes ago, stitches said:

TY usually has a problem with athletic big CBs(as opposed to small fast ones) and that's exactly what Dallas has. They usually outphysical him and jam him on his releases to disrupt his routes. I would be interested to see how that matchup vs Byron Jones goes. 

 

Dallas' defense kind of has similar strengths to the Jags defense(Jones-Awuzie vs Ramsey-Bouye are very similar pairings, strong defensive lines with some beasts on the edges, one of whom can get inside( Lawrence-Randy Gregory/Crawford vs Campbell-Ngakue ), very good linebacking cores (Vander Esch -Jaylon Smith vs Myles Jack-Telvin Smith)... I wonder if they will try replicating what the Jags did to us last game. 

 

Overall I'm not sure we matchup great vs them, but then again we've been rolling at home so... hopefully that factor plays into it too. 

 

 

 

Actually, he does fine against the bigger ones IF they are unable to stuff him at the line (which is what bunch and over/under formations are used to protect against.  Sherman is a big strong Zone CB,...And T.Y. put him on skates.  Is why my profile pic is what it is.

[stitches]

2 minutes ago, krunk said:

I think they will try replicating a lot of what Jax did.  Although I do think much of what Jax was able to do stemmed from our lack of commitment to establish any sort of running game. We get a running game going in that Jax game to me it limits them from sitting back in so many sub packages keeping everythng underneath.   I like our chances of being able to establish some sort of respect for the running game with Kelly, Hewitt and Ali Cox all healthy.  On the flip side I think much of  the Jax game will get repeated if we are not able to run the football effectively.

Yeah... great point  that you mentioned both Kelly and Alie-Cox. While Kelly's impact is more easily seen most people gloss over Alie-Cox' blocking in the run game. After Doyle went down(which coincided with Kelly going down and Cox going down our run offense has been largely impotent. Mo is hell of a run blocker. He's much closer to Doyle(who was ranked no.1 in the league in run blocking) than any of our other TEs(this includes the specialist blocker Hewitt). When I watch him I could never guess that this is the basketball guy. He plays with toughness and strength in the run game. We been missing that a ton in the last several games since both him and Doyle went down. 

[stitches]

7 minutes ago, Lawrence Owen said:

Actually, he does fine against the bigger ones IF they are unable to stuff him at the line (which is what bunch and over/under formations are used to protect against.  Sherman is a big strong Zone CB,...And T.Y. put him on skates.  Is why my profile pic is what it is.

Sherman doesn't have the athleticism of players like Byron Jones and Ramsey. This is the type of corners I'm talking about. They can afford to play TY tight and now allow him any catches precisely because they have the long speed to hang with him. 

[Lawrence Owen]

1 minute ago, stitches said:

Yeah... great point  that you mentioned both Kelly and Alie-Cox. While Kelly's impact is more easily seen most people gloss over Alie-Cox' blocking in the run game. After Doyle went down(which coincided with Kelly going down and Cox going down our run offense has been largely impotent. Mo is hell of a run blocker. He's much closer to Doyle(who was ranked no.1 in the league in run blocking) than any of our other TEs(this includes the specialist blocker Hewitt). When I watch him I could never guess that this is the basketball guy. He plays with toughness and strength in the run game. We been missing that a ton in the last several games since both him and Doyle went down. 

Another big thing is Glowinski.  I so hope he plays.  When we had our starters on the field (all of them) we were averaging 173 yards/game on the ground.  Against teams like Buffalo and Jacksonville. and Jet's Defenses.  A whole o-line and a good blocking TE with at least a threat to go out on a route is paramount.  (Haeg in as just an extra blocker is nice...but no-one where near the same.  No-one ever thinks he is going on a route)

[Lawrence Owen]

2 minutes ago, stitches said:

Sherman doesn't have the athleticism of players like Byron Jones and Ramsey. This is the type of corners I'm talking about. 

You know, The 2nd game was more of a toss up with T.Y. and Ramsey.  Ramsey got a couple very good plays in, But T.Y. also did well also.  They didn't do to T.Y. what we did to Hopkins. People tend to think we were completely shut down in Jacksonville. We had 300 yards. T.Y. had 8 catches for 77 yards. We moved the ball a few times. We just did not kick 3 field goals when we had the chance. Jacksonville's red zone defense did an outstanding job.

[stitches]

https://sportsinfosolutionsblog.com/2018/12/13/dak-prescott-amari-cooper-face-challenge-with-colts-zone/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

 

^here's something that might be a positive in our favor. Similar to how Mariota's splits of playing vs man or zone coverage heavily favor his production vs man coverage, the same can be said about Prescott and Amari Cooper. This might be an OK matchup for us on the defensive end in that respect. 

[King Colt]

I don't care how the Colts win as long as the cameras show Jerry Jones with his head in his hand at the game end.

[Lawrence Owen]

1 Thing i see most from Cowboys forums, analyst's, and reporters, is they really don't know Indy.  The reporters and analyst's admit that for the most part, and they say when they see the stat's and notice these look WAY different than years past, and go look at past Colts games this year, they were VERY surprised.  Most Cowboys fans however just don't get in depth with anything and are more homers than i've ever seen. Maybe worse than the NE fans.  They say how the Boyz are going to cream Indy's bad defense and horrible o-line...lol.  I mean, you wouldn't believe how many 40-10 predictions i've seen from those fans.  1 part of me wants to sit them down and give them all a real talking to and explain the REAL Colts this year, and another part wants me to wait...see how the game turns out and them when Indy wins, sit and watch how they react the same way the Dolphins, Titans, Texans, and Jags fans acted when they lost to a team they ALSO thought was terrible. 

[Boiler_Colt]

1 hour ago, King Colt said:

I don't care how the Colts win as long as the cameras show Jerry Jones with his head in his hand at the game end.

If he's able to make the drunken stumble over from St. Elmo's to even be there. He's notorious for tying one on there during the combine.

[Lawrence Owen]

8 minutes ago, Boiler_Colt said:

If he's able to make the drunken stumble over from St. Elmo's to even be there. He's notorious for tying one on there during the combine.

So who will be the Fan who sends him catering from St. Elmo's to his hotel room?

[NewColtsFan]

I don’t see the Colts winning easily.    At all.    Think you have to be wearing Colts Blue sun glasses to have that viewpoint.

 

But either way, it doesn’t matter to me. I just want a win.    10 points or 1 point it makes no difference.   I think it’s much more likely the Colts win on an AV field goal in the final minute than winning easily.    The Cowboys are hot.   Don’t see an easy win.

 

Think we have our work cut out for us Sunday.

[a06cc]

This is a 50/50 game for me. I just hope we come out on top. That way I don’t have to see the “Not the Reich calls” threads like last week. 

[Lawrence Owen]

Just letting you know, Some Colts writers DO in fact read forums from time to time!

 

I never thought to use twitter to try to extend our fan base here on the Forums and maybe bring in new blood.  But I am going to try!

[ColtStrong2013]

12 hours ago, crazycolt1 said:

If we have non stop pressure on Dak we will win this game. I think they will be force feeding Zek though.

Force feed him then. We have stopped the run all year. I don't see why that will change here. We will focus on stopping the run and putting pressure on dak like our gameplan was executed near flawless last week. Just have to limit big plays, and score the points offensively. I expect a playoff atmosphere. This team deserves that from the fans. This is a big game, and this team has exceeded expectations from A LOT of this fanbase. 

[Finball]

This from Next Gen Stats

 

 

Quote

Indianapolis' front seven has stiffened since their bye -- they've allowed the eighth-lowest rushing success rate in this span -- but they are quietly getting whacked by RBs through the air. Per Next Gen Stats, no team is allowing more passing yards per game to receivers aligned out of the backfield than the Colts (58.5). In fact, 23 percent of the Colts passing output allowed has come out of the backfield, the highest allocation in the NFL.

 

 

Elliott has run the 5th most routes in the NFL.

[Myles]

19 hours ago, Lawrence Owen said:

1 Thing i see most from Cowboys forums, analyst's, and reporters, is they really don't know Indy.  The reporters and analyst's admit that for the most part, and they say when they see the stat's and notice these look WAY different than years past, and go look at past Colts games this year, they were VERY surprised.  Most Cowboys fans however just don't get in depth with anything and are more homers than i've ever seen. Maybe worse than the NE fans.  They say how the Boyz are going to cream Indy's bad defense and horrible o-line...lol.  I mean, you wouldn't believe how many 40-10 predictions i've seen from those fans.  1 part of me wants to sit them down and give them all a real talking to and explain the REAL Colts this year, and another part wants me to wait...see how the game turns out and them when Indy wins, sit and watch how they react the same way the Dolphins, Titans, Texans, and Jags fans acted when they lost to a team they ALSO thought was terrible. 

I understand what you are saying, but we are posting in a topic Called "Why the Colts will put Dallas away...fast.".   

 

I can see the Colts winning in a relatively close game.   I can see the Cowboys winning in a close game as well.     If it is a blowout, I think there is a better chance of the Cowboys being the winning team.

 

Let's go Colts.   

[Myles]

23 hours ago, chad72 said:

 

 

 

The first quarter is typically a feel out period and there will always be a play or two in those scripted plays, that will lead to a good chunk of yardage that could result in a FG or TD. Regardless, nothing to get carried away by, success or failure in the first quarter.

I totally disagree.    You can survive and win games after having a bad 1st quarter, but it will bite you in the rear at some point.   I'd rather not have to rely on another Luck 4th quarter comeback.   Let's get the lead and keep it.

[Lawrence Owen]

Here is my audio of what i basically said in the original post.  It's my first ever recording, and first time using this type of software, and crappy equipment.  please forgive the quality.

 

please like and subscribe so i can possibly end up being able to upgrade later and make better video's and podcast's.  Thanks

[richard pallo]

IMO the two biggest factors we have to our advantage is Reich and Eberflous.  Reich knows Dallas.  He has coached against them for twice a year for years with the Eagles.  And Eberflous came from their defensive coaching staff.  Between the two of them I would expect a pretty effective game plan on both sides of the ball.

[AZColt11]

On ‎12‎/‎13‎/‎2018 at 9:47 AM, dodsworth said:

Eberflus is the wildcard in this game.

Agreed.  And I believe this is an underrated tidbit to this game.  He's obviously been there with those players and knows their tendencies, weaknesses, etc.  He will have a game plan together to slow down their running game, put the ball in Prescott's hands, and then it's up to him to deliver.  I like the Colts' chances in that scenario.

 

On the flip side, Dallas has had trouble covering TE's, ranking third worst in the league I believe I read.  That's exactly what the Colts do well.  I see Ebron potentially having a large game here, and if Shawn Lee doesn't play that only hurts more.

[Creekside]

On 12/13/2018 at 9:56 AM, NewColtsFan said:

 

Andrew Luck is a “historic slow starter”....

 

WTH?      Historic?

 

Where do people come up with this stuff?

 

I'm sure he's thinking of 2015 and 2016 when Luck certainly did poorly in the 1st quarter. I remember those two years very well. He's bounced back this year , though.

 

Here are Luck's career 1st quarter passer ratings:

 

2012 - 107.6

2013 - 82.7

2014 - 81.5

2015 - 42.2

2016 - 67.1

2018 - 97.4

[aaron11]

ty is questionable, im not convinced we can beat anyone without him.  if he goes then i agree with Vegas that the colts are slight favorites 

 

we need a big game from our linebackers, time to introduce zeke to the maniac 

[ColtsBlueFL]

On 12/13/2018 at 9:47 AM, dodsworth said:

Eberflus is the wildcard in this game.

 

Rod Marinelli taught him and know most of what he/we will do.

 

23 hours ago, richard pallo said:

IMO the two biggest factors we have to our advantage is Reich and Eberflous.  Reich knows Dallas.  He has coached against them for twice a year for years with the Eagles.  And Eberflous came from their defensive coaching staff.  Between the two of them I would expect a pretty effective game plan on both sides of the ball.

 

It seems like a very divisional face off, from teams in separate conferences. Reich knows Dallas, Dallas knows much about Reich (Eagles OC) as well.  It's the wrinkles that Frank and Matt bring that might be key, not the core substance.

 

23 hours ago, Myles said:

I totally disagree.    You can survive and win games after having a bad 1st quarter, but it will bite you in the rear at some point.   I'd rather not have to rely on another Luck 4th quarter comeback.   Let's get the lead and keep it.

 

I think Dallas has given up the least amount of 4th quarter points in the league.  By far, too.  And to me, our defense is much like theirs, but not quite as talented. I feel the Colts do need to get rolling earlier to take this game.  Do not rely on late game heroics if they can help it.

[DerekDiggler]

On 12/13/2018 at 1:25 PM, NewColtsFan said:

 

Look....   I agree with you that Luck often needs a few drives to get comfortable with the defense he’s facing...    but once you used the word “historic” that’s where you lost me.

 

When people use that word, I start thinking record book and stuff like that,  not just tendencies.    And remember some of Luck’s slow starts can be the fault of the coaching staff or bad plays by teammates.   Not talking about this year as much as previous seasons.

 

Sorry if I overreacted to just one key word.   But that one word made all the difference to me.   

Yes you over reacted....  Luck is historically a slow starter...   history doesnt have to mean worldwide history.   Everyone has a history and his is as a slow starter.  

[DerekDiggler]

On 12/12/2018 at 11:15 PM, Lawrence Owen said:

We all know what homerism is.  And I have found myself in that company a time or two myself.  But the more I research, the more I see Indy just dominating this game versus the Cowboys.  Now, It will sound like homerism as you read, but EVERYTHING I am about to write will have stats and/or history to back it up.  This is why:

First off, The biggest threats on the Cowboys offense are without a doubt Ezekiel Elliott & Amari Cooper.  Zek is by far the most all around dominate RB we have faced. He leads the NFL in yards @ 1262 and averages 4.7 YPC.  He is fed a LOT.  He averages 21 carries/game, which is by far the most in the NFL (2 more carries/game than even Gurley).  He is this teams bread and butter. If he can't get it going, Cowboys have to rely on Dak to carry the team.  Indy is 5th in the NFL in YPC allowed, and have 5 players on the front 7 with 9 or more TFL's on the season. Indy is REAL good at stopping the run. We just need to stack the box every possible run down with 8.  Bring Geathers down to help.  

They use play action a lot also because of how effective their run game is.  Once the Defense reads the ball is NOT in Zek's hands, they HAVE to do 2 things most importantly.  #1 Put a fast good tackler on Zek. He is a big play machine when Dak dumps it off to him.  I would have one of our LB'ers Leonard or Walker on him as a shadow.  #2 Is do the EXACT same thing to Cooper we did to Hopkins last week.  Whichever CB has Cooper, have him underneath, and have Hooker just over the top.  This will take the #1 WR the past 6 weeks of the NFL out of the game.  

Also, Dak is the MOST sacked QB in the NFL. Being sacked 48 times and hit a whopping 91.  He makes terrible decisions when under pressure.  Eberflus need to dial up those blitzes.  Make those run blitzes turn into pass blitzes when the ball stay's in Dak's hands.

If we do this, (toughest thing is stopping Zek's running attack I admit) We force Dak to win the game without his 2 main weapons.  I don't believe he can. I think we'll even get a few turnover's in the process whether by strip sacks, or just errant throws by an under pressure Dak.

Offensively, we need to stay protective of the pass rush ourselves.  Cowboys are tied for 12th in the NFL with us in pass rush sacks.  But unlike us, they have a premiere pass rusher that take the biggest load. Lawrence.  Lock him down.  When a team only has 1  top pass rusher, Our offensive line has given up only 4 sacks this year to teams with only one sack master over 8 sacks on the year (to this point).  Most of our sacks come from teams like the Jags or Titans with multiple sack masters on their team.  Double down on Lawrence.

Stay away from screens, like i said, Very fast rangy linebackers. And use Ebron and Mo-Alie Cox on Clearing routes.  For once, I think we can use our TE's to help our WR's.  Use the TE's to clear our the LB'ers from the middle of the field and hit our WR in those vacant spots. I would work on their DB's ALL game when passing.  Hit those soft zones.  Cowboys play a very similar zone scheme to what we do. Luck see's them every day, so he just need to play like he is playing his own defense.

Run the ball directly at them.  This defense is fast, but not very big.  Much like our own.  Run traps and guard pulls to hit linebackers on the second level to spring our fast RB's out to the open field. If we get even 3 yards/carry, it is successful because they know if they move someone back a big one could break.  So keep running even if the gains are minimal.  It will work in the play-action when Luck decides to keep it.

This is how i see the game.  I honestly think 21 would win this game.  But if Zek is held to under 4 YPC like every RB  we've faced (Except Sony Mitchel), I like our chances of winning by a bunch.

 

 

Good read and I appreciate your work.....  a couple of things.  We are not going to run the ball against this D.  Don't forget our RB is Marlon Mack,  He is not a tough runner.  In fact he is not going to scare anyone.  They are not going to bite on play action, because they know they can stop Mack easily.   If you cant tell I absolutely hate that Mack is our lead back.   We need an upgrade in a big big way (not Bell not Hunt).   The way to attach this D is with the TE's.  and that means seeing 2 TE packages to help with protection and hit the middle seam.   I see Hines being more of a threat than Mack.... He will make some plays tomorrow.  

 

Andrew needs to be ready to tuck it and run.  It's crunch time and he needs to be more agressive running the ball.

 

Cooper is going to be a handful. We wont shut him out.  And Dak can make plays.... their play action WILL work because we will bite on a fake to Zeke.

 

I fully expect Zeke to go for 100 and Dak to throw for 300 ish... but that will be between the 20's.  And I may be new to posting but I have read this board for longer than most of you have been on here.  The over reaction to them moving the ball needs to be throttled.   It's gonna happen...

 

I see this being a very close game and I actually think the edge goes to Dallas.  They are a more complete team.  If they had Luck they would be a SB contender.

 

That said. We do have Luck and he is the key.  If he forces the ball and get turn overs.   This will be a long long day. If we get behind much they will chew the clock with Zeke.

 

My opinion is we cannot punt in this game. They are going to score and we need to score every position.  No matter if its 3 or 6.  

 

And if it comes down to it I want Reich to be aggressive and go for the win

 

 

 

 

 

[Lawrence Owen]

[Lawrence Owen]

6 hours ago, DerekDiggler said:

 

 

Good read and I appreciate your work.....  a couple of things.  We are not going to run the ball against this D.  Don't forget our RB is Marlon Mack,  He is not a tough runner.  In fact he is not going to scare anyone.  They are not going to bite on play action, because they know they can stop Mack easily.   If you cant tell I absolutely hate that Mack is our lead back.   We need an upgrade in a big big way (not Bell not Hunt).   The way to attach this D is with the TE's.  and that means seeing 2 TE packages to help with protection and hit the middle seam.   I see Hines being more of a threat than Mack.... He will make some plays tomorrow.  

 

Andrew needs to be ready to tuck it and run.  It's crunch time and he needs to be more agressive running the ball.

 

Cooper is going to be a handful. We wont shut him out.  And Dak can make plays.... their play action WILL work because we will bite on a fake to Zeke.

 

I fully expect Zeke to go for 100 and Dak to throw for 300 ish... but that will be between the 20's.  And I may be new to posting but I have read this board for longer than most of you have been on here.  The over reaction to them moving the ball needs to be throttled.   It's gonna happen...

 

I see this being a very close game and I actually think the edge goes to Dallas.  They are a more complete team.  If they had Luck they would be a SB contender.

 

That said. We do have Luck and he is the key.  If he forces the ball and get turn overs.   This will be a long long day. If we get behind much they will chew the clock with Zeke.

 

My opinion is we cannot punt in this game. They are going to score and we need to score every position.  No matter if its 3 or 6.  

 

And if it comes down to it I want Reich to be aggressive and go for the win

 

 

 

 

 

Normally, i would agree with you on running the ball since they only allow 3.6 YPC.  But here is the thing. They are built defensively like us. Small fast linebackers.  If we use traps and short guard pulls and get a body in the second level (Which Nelson and Kelly are VERY good at) You get Mack in the second level.  and that is where he is the most dangerous.

I also don't think Dak will have such a passing game. I think Cooper get's shut down by bracketing him.  And our pass rush get's to Dak, making him very antsy. 

Zek very well could have a good game.  But he may not either considering how well we've shut down almost every RB we've faced all year.

Reich is going to need to be on his A game.  Adjusting on the fly.

[NewColtsFan]

6 hours ago, DerekDiggler said:

Yes you over reacted....  Luck is historically a slow starter...   history doesnt have to mean worldwide history.   Everyone has a history and his is as a slow starter.  

Actually it appears you are the one who is over reacting.

 

Scroll up about 4-6 posts you’ll see that someone has taken the trouble to post Lucks first quarter passing rating.  

 

6 seasons and only two of them are poor.   Four others are quite good.

 

So the person who stayed Luck ys “historically “ a slow starter is incorrect.   And now you are too.  

 

Sorry our first exchange is so poor....

 

[LockeDown]

On 12/14/2018 at 12:10 PM, richard pallo said:

IMO the two biggest factors we have to our advantage is Reich and Eberflous.  Reich knows Dallas.  He has coached against them for twice a year for years with the Eagles.  And Eberflous came from their defensive coaching staff.  Between the two of them I would expect a pretty effective game plan on both sides of the ball.

Thats what I’ve been saying. Now we just have to execute. 

[Myles]

6 hours ago, NewColtsFan said:

Actually it appears you are the one who is over reacting.

 

Scroll up about 4-6 posts you’ll see that someone has taken the trouble to post Lucks first quarter passing rating.  

 

6 seasons and only two of them are poor.   Four others are quite good.

 

So the person who stayed Luck ys “historically “ a slow starter is incorrect.   And now you are too.  

 

Sorry our first exchange is so poor....

 

I agree, I don't think it is Luck that is the slow starter.   Just the offense in general.

[krunk]

I think we are going to use Fountain more in this game. Part of why we let Swoope go and left Fountain on the roster I think. I think he will get a couple catches in this one and hopefully they are big.

[DerekDiggler]

11 hours ago, NewColtsFan said:

Actually it appears you are the one who is over reacting.

 

Scroll up about 4-6 posts you’ll see that someone has taken the trouble to post Lucks first quarter passing rating.  

 

6 seasons and only two of them are poor.   Four others are quite good.

 

So the person who stayed Luck ys “historically “ a slow starter is incorrect.   And now you are too.  

 

Sorry our first exchange is so poor....

 

 

So lets dig into this a bit farther

 

2012

 23 td 18 int  54.1% completion  QBR 76.5

1st 10 attempts per game

7 td 3 int 58.2% QBR 86.3.    Which is 30% of td and 17% of int are in the 1st 10 passes

 

2013

23 td 9 int  60.2 % completions QBR 87

1st 10 attempts

6 td 5 in 58.3% QBR 77.7.       26% td and 56% int happened in 1st 10 passes

 

2014

40 td 16 int. 61.7 % completion. QBR 96.5

1st 10. 

3 td 4 int 57.4 % QBR 71.   8% td and 25% int happened in the 1st 10 passes 

 

2015 

15 td 12 int 55.3 % completions. QBR 74.9

1st 10 attempts

1 td 4 int 50% QBR 48.1.  7% td and 33% of int happened in the 1st 10 passes 

 

2016

31 td 13 int. 63.5% completion.  QBR 96.4

1st 10 attempt 

6 td 6 int 59.3% 79.8 QBR.    19% td and 46% of int happened in the 1st 10 passes 

 

2018

34 td. 13 int. 67.7% completion. QBR 99.2

1st 10 attempts

8 td 3 int. 67.7%. QBR 101.8.  24% td and 23% of int happened in the 1st 10 passes. 

 

This yr has been a lot better than the previous 5 yr and a lot of that is a competent coaching staff.

 

 

Look at the percentage of interceptions that happen in the 1st 10 passes of the game!!!!!  While not all int' are on the QB.   That is a lot of mistakes to start a game.

 

Luck has thrown a total of 81 int's in his career and 25 have happened within the 1st 10 attempts per game.  That's 31% of his turnovers in the 1st 10 passing attempts. While only 17% of his total TD's occurred in the 1st 10 passes.

 

BTW he attempts on average 38 passes per game...

 

Yea he's a historic slow starter

 

 

[Pelt]

Hey Lawrence, what are you... some sort of a friggin prophet or something?

[DraftMaster]

@Lawrence Owen enlighten us with another prophecy! lol