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Colts @ Jaguars Game Day Thread

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4 minutes ago, SteelCityColt said:

 

Not at all, the numbers are pretty solid and EW% and EVA. Stop basing reactions off outcomes. You can't think like that as a HC. 

 

The play call was bad though. 

I was calling it dumb before the outcome.  And I disagree with your flawed stats. Prove that the Colts succeed on those gambles enough.  League wide numbers are NOT Colts numbers.   Plus look at how disjointed the Colts are looking. You gotta take the points. 

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Just now, rockywoj said:

What evidence is there that the Colts score on 4th and goal enough to out weigh taking the easy 3?  Colts rarely seem to succeed on those sort of gambles.  Take the 3 and accumulate points. 

 

Kudos to the defense ended for holding up and forcing the 3 and out. 

 

We've been one of the better teams in those situations so not sure why you say that. 

 

The evidence, is people looking at a huge sample of plays, working out the EVA for those plays, then how it affects win % and there's shed loads of analytics articles there with solid math. 

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Just now, 2006Coltsbestever said:

I love Reich's aggressive approach, maybe some of you want passive Pagano back lmao 

 

No no no lol but it’s about the feel of the game. Take the points. Get some momentum.

 

 

this ain’t it chief. 

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Just now, rockywoj said:

I was calling it dumb before the outcome.  And I disagree with your flawed stats. Prove that the Colts succeed on those gambles enough.  League wide numbers are NOT Colts numbers. 

 

How can they be flawed when I have presented no stats? Do you get how teams use analytics? 

 

When I'm not so busy keeping an eye on this, hit me up with a PM because I would be interested in the Colts specific. 

 

 

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The Jags cornerbacks are playing awesome today. Gotta admit. Their defense as a whole is playing lights out. 

 

Not kicking for the 3 twice in a row now is going to cause us to lose this game to be honest. 

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1 minute ago, SteelCityColt said:

 

Ok.. no it's not a guarantee. Neither is kicking the 3 BUT in the long-term you will win more games going for it in that situation. That's not opinion, that's math.

I’m not talking about math, or other games. I’m talking about this game and the way it’s going. 

 

They wouldnt of of been in FG range if not for Jax d. They wouldn’t of been at the goal line if not for Jax d. You have to consider how the game is going. I’m usually a big fan of being aggressive....in this game, at that point you kick  the FG. 

 

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What's going on with this play calling?!? And Luck not looking sharp with his throws. Their db's are all over our guys like wet T-shirt's 

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I think this is a great games for the Colts.  They r playing an incredible D today.  If they win it is a good lesson. They have 2 good D's coming up in Houston and Dallas.

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