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Colts @ Jaguars Game Day Thread


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Just now, RollerColt said:

Our line is not playing well today. 

I think people quickly forget how good the Jags D is  wen they r jacked.  It's just a case of a great D line  going up against a good O line.  It's a very physical game up front.  The hope is that we wear them out towards the 2nd half.  

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Just now, 2006Coltsbestever said:

I like the call, they have the ball at the 1 yard line. It is what it is. We will eventually take over this game, just not executing early.

 

That's the problem of saying a call is bad based on the outcome. It don't work like that. The numbers back him.

 

The play call.... urgh. 

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Just now, rockywoj said:

Just a dumb coaching decision to go for it on 4th down there. You HAVE to come away with at least 3 points there.  Just let Jax off the hook for all their undisciplined play. 

 

Not at all, the numbers are pretty solid and EW% and EVA. Stop basing reactions off outcomes. You can't think like that as a HC. 

 

The play call was bad though. 

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Just now, SteelCityColt said:

 

If you want to play for the win surely you go for the play that in the long-term will win you more games? 

There is no guarantee to win more games because they went for it on 4 th down. 

 

You play to to win the game, you take the points there, so that you know, you actually take the lead. 

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Just now, Indyfan4life said:

Game isn’t on tv here so I’m not sure what happened. I thought we kicked a FG but now it says 0-0? What happened?

A lot. I mean. A load...

 

We kicked it, Jags committed a holding penalty and then we went four straight tries to get 6 and came away with nothing.

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1 minute ago, SteelCityColt said:

 

If you want to play for the win surely you go for the play that in the long-term will win you more games? 

What evidence is there that the Colts score on 4th and goal enough to out weigh taking the easy 3?  Colts rarely seem to succeed on those sort of gambles.  Take the 3 and accumulate points. 

 

Kudos to the defense ended for holding up and forcing the 3 and out. 

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Just now, Btown_Colt said:

There is no guarantee to win more games because they went for it on 4 th down. 

 

You play to to win the game, you take the points there, so that you know, you actually take the lead. 

 

Ok.. no it's not a guarantee. Neither is kicking the 3 BUT in the long-term you will win more games going for it in that situation. That's not opinion, that's math.

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4 minutes ago, SteelCityColt said:

 

Not at all, the numbers are pretty solid and EW% and EVA. Stop basing reactions off outcomes. You can't think like that as a HC. 

 

The play call was bad though. 

I was calling it dumb before the outcome.  And I disagree with your flawed stats. Prove that the Colts succeed on those gambles enough.  League wide numbers are NOT Colts numbers.   Plus look at how disjointed the Colts are looking. You gotta take the points. 

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Just now, rockywoj said:

What evidence is there that the Colts score on 4th and goal enough to out weigh taking the easy 3?  Colts rarely seem to succeed on those sort of gambles.  Take the 3 and accumulate points. 

 

Kudos to the defense ended for holding up and forcing the 3 and out. 

 

We've been one of the better teams in those situations so not sure why you say that. 

 

The evidence, is people looking at a huge sample of plays, working out the EVA for those plays, then how it affects win % and there's shed loads of analytics articles there with solid math. 

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