Jay Kirk Baseball Thread since 2017: The 2021 season, Dodgers Repeat?
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Like I said months ago, there's 12 teams OVER the cap. Bills(right at the cap), Titans and Bears and probably the Vikings, all of which are over the cap by less than 8 million can make easy, painless moves to get back under the cap without disruption to their rosters. Course, that's not figuring on any signings, including the upcoming draft picks so they will have to be a little bit creative. Chiefs, Texas, Raider, Rams, Packers and Falcons are between 15 million and 33 million over the cap. Expect some more drastic moves here too, especially with some of the starters, I see some big time movements there. However, the Steelers only have 35 players signed and are still 31+ million over so I'm not sure how they are going to do it. So really, they're in the next category Saints, Eagles- Lets face it, very drastic and full rebuild mode. Even if Brees retires and the Eagles move Wentz, it doesn't help them very much. at 99 million and 52 million over the cap respectively, I see a LOT of their quality players moving. Has too. May not be a super star, but they've got some solid depth and starters that will get some money elesewhere. As for the rest of the league, there's 6 teams sitting at minimal cap space, almost none after draft picks are figured in. I don't see many drastic moves from those 6. Maybe someone likes 49ers if they restructure someone or something. That leaves 14 teams to fight over the players those first 12 most likely releases/trade. Tampa's effective cap is just 16.8 million, again, without the rookie reserve set aside. Really, the teams in pretty decent positions to sign their own and possibly pick up a really solid starter cast away or two are really the Bengals, Washington, New England, Indy, the Jets and the Jags. I said a while back that I think we see a record number of 1 year prove it type deals where players who normally would be getting record setting contracts, end up with less than they would in a normal year, simply due to the 30 million reduction in cap. it really narrows what teams are going to be able to get in on the action. Less bidders, with less money, typically results in lower prices. -
We have to stop treating Rivers like he is some young pup who is gonna run every play just as Frank calls it. I believe that a future HoF like Rivers has the ability to audible any and every play depending on a look he gets from the defense. Frank will defer to Rivers' judgment more often than not. Frank even stated after the Steelers game that runs were called and Rivers audibled out of them. Any wonder why Frank went to Jacoby on 2nd & 11 the following week vs the Jags? Well he told us. He "really wanted to run the ball right there and put the game away." Even if they had to use 2nd, 3rd, and 4th down. Why couldn't he keep Rivers in and run it? Because he knew Rivers would audible out of some of those runs. It was his M.O. this season. Jags, Ravens and Steelers games were all close games we lead in the 2nd halves. Why would Frank abandon running the ball in those games? -
By RollerColt · Posted
I thought he had a pretty good season all things considered. If there's someone else out there that's better, so be it. By all means, upgrade if possible. But Rivers did what was expected of him this season, and helped get a 7-9 team to 11-5 and back in the playoffs. If we don't bring Rivers back, I have a feeling it's more due to cap issues than performance. -
You understand rivers isn't the play caller.... right? -
I've been going over Rivers stats this season and when you really look at them deeply, he just was not very good this season. He feasted on bad teams and against good teams he was terrible. I'm going to make a topic that does a full breakdown of Rivers performances this season vs winning and losing teams. It's just a lot of information and I'm not good at making charts on here but I'm still gonna give it a shot because the numbers are very telling and will prove that Rivers was just not very good this season and when we needed him to play big vs good teams he just coldn't get it done. I'll leave you guys with just a sample of the numbers that I found: I'm gonna pick a number that I think most would say isn't too bad of a pass to run ratio. 60-40. That basically comes out to 30 passes and 20 runs a game. Our record for whenever Rivers threw 3 passes to 2 runs was 1-5. The only win was against the lowly Bengals. Whenever he was below that 60% pass ratio we were 10-1. The only loss was against the Steelers where Rivers decided that in a game we held a 24-7 lead in the 2nd half, he needed to finish that game throwing 23 passes to 3 runs... Let's break it down even more. Let's make it an even 50/50 run vs pass split. In those scenarios we were 4-6 in games where we even let Rivers throw it 1 more time than we ran it (Bengals & 2 fortunate Texans wins make up 3 of those wins). Both teams picking in top 6. Only win against a good team where we threw it more than we passed it was first Titans game. That means that we finished 7-0 in games where we ran it more than we passed it. In other words, Rivers was nothing more than a game manager. He could beat teams like the Bengals, Texans, and Titans on a short week throwing it more than we ran it. But when we needed him to carry us and beat a good team he just couldn't do it. Unfortunately, Rivers couldn't recognize that. He kept trying to prove that he could go out and win us games but the numbers say that he just couldn't get it done. Sure he completed 68% of his passes but the guy couldn't put the team on his back against good teams. If he can't humble himself and accept the fact that he is just a game manager that should never throw more than 60% of the time vs good teams then he should not be brought back.
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