I expect Lance to fall because any team who gets him most likely won't start him for about a year or two.
I think his ceiling is certainly higher than Jones but don't underestimate the love the Panthers seem to be showing for Jones.
I agree but the QB is not purely physical. It is the most cerebral position as well and also a leadership position. Brady is head and shoulders above everyone when it comes to those things which are the main reasons why he has been so successful.