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Agreed with the bolded. I think it was overly conservative -- in other words, typical Gus Bradley. Maye and the Pats seemed convinced that we would defend the sideline and force them to pass over the middle, otherwise he might have taken a shot at the sideline on both of the first two pass plays. That could have been a 60-ish yard attempt, which he probably would have made, given how close he was on the 68 yarder. And that would have sucked. But being okay with a 60+ yard attempt is reasonable. Slye must have caught a nice gust of wind on his kick, that thing was way closer than anyone not with the Pats was thinking it would be. Regarding the hail mary, I'm saying that on the final pass play, prioritizing the hail mary over defending the first ten yards has a logical basis. But even then, I think the Colts coaches tried to adjust at the last minute. My pushback against Tice's criticism is that the Colts weren't playing hail mary prevent the entire possession, so they obviously did allow for the possibility that the Pats might play for the long FG. I still agree that the defense was too passive, and we shouldn't feel like giving up 20 yards on three plays is inevitable (although sometimes it seems that way with this defense). But forcing them to try a 68 yarder is something I can live with, all things considered.
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By RollerColt · Posted
I hope I’m not one of those people. I just go by my past playing experience, and my current experience as a coach. Now I’m no way near the same level as the NFL, if I was that’s where I’d be. I’m also not as intelligent or talented as Ballard or any GM across the league. But I do like to watch tape and analyze if and when I can. Situational football is one of my biggest pet peeves. I drive my kids nuts with “what if” scenarios all the time. -
By Restinpeacesweetchloe · Posted
I don’t think Broncos ran the ball well last night either. I would have to go look. -
I think they finished with record high FG attempt, but the point is - they just as easily could have finished with 62-63 yard attempt because of the way we decided to defend it. From the replays I saw this particular FG was going to be good from about 64-65... Which you can argue is still an outcome you can be happy living with... But again, you are saying "Hail Mary s have happened this season". True , they happen every season, but in the long run the success rate(last 10 years) of a Hail Mary is about 8% and the average air yards on those is 44.7 yards. If Maye attempted the hail mary on his last throw, he would have to complete it for 65-70 air yards, which I imagine would have even lower success rate. Just for comparison sake - in the last 5 years kickers have been getting really good on long FGs - the success rate on 60+ yarders in the last 5 years is 38%.
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