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The immediate reaction to someone saying "$25m for MPJ" -- who doesn't even have 10 career TDs yet -- is one of disbelief. I get that. But the market shift at WR has been rapid, and dramatic. That's why I wanted to lay it all out in this thread. It seems pretty clear where his market will be, assuming he even repeats his 2021 performance. -
Out of the bottom half of the NFL finally. Now that decent on-paper passing game assets are on the roster, it might break the Top 10 for for first time since Ballard got here if they can perform as expected. -
By TaylorTheStudMuffin · Posted
I was laughed at when I suggested he would get that much. -
Depends on who else on the team gets paid what. $25m for a productive WR, which is a position that produces touchdowns, doesn't seem unreasonable.
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I don't think TY is a relevant factor. He's older, has obviously slowed down, has been hurt three years in a row, and seems to be unsure about where he wants to be and what he wants to do. And I think Ballard has been clear that they'd rather draft and develop their own, presumably to keep them long term, than pay the market rate premium for a FA (and I think that makes sense, as long as you actually hit on your picks). As for the Titans, they didn't trade Brown just because of the money. Brown was threatening to hold out, and was demanding a top of market contract. Since the end of the 2021 season, a half dozen other WR contracts have solidified this market. Christian Kirk got $18m/year, with a much lower profile than any of these guys. The money was a big part of it, but I think the hardball negotiation really pushed the Titans to turn the page. But that's an interesting alternative. They traded AJ Brown for a first and a third (#18 + #101), and drafted WR Treylon Burks with the 18th pick. (Burks isn't looking good for them so far, he has significant conditioning issues and training camp hasn't even started yet.) AJ Brown also had some really nice tape in his first two years, showed the potential to be a much more dynamic player than he did in 2021, so maybe his trade value is higher than MPJ's would be. But if you could flip MPJ for a mid first round pick in 2023, and presumably use that pick on a new WR to take his place, would that be a good plan of action? Less expensive, yes. Better for team building? Not sure about that.
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