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Everything posted by Caleb3502

  1. Surefire Spots QB Carson Wentz RB Jonathan Taylor RB Nyheim Hines WR TY Hilton WR Michael Pittman Jr WR Zach Pascal TE Mo Alie-Cox T Braden Smith G Mark Glowinski G Quenton Nelson C Ryan Kelly DE Kwity Paye DT Grover Stewart DT Deforest Buckner LB Darius Leonard LB Bobby Okereke CB Xavier Rhodes CB Kenny Moore S Julian Blackmon S Khari Willis Likely Spots QB Jacob Eason RB Marlon Mack WR Parris Campbell TE Jack Doyle TE Kylen Granson T Julien Davenport G Danny Pinter C Joey Hunt DE Kemoko Turay DE Al-Quadin Muhammed DT Tyquan Lewis LB Zaire Franklin LB Matthew Adams CB TJ Carrie CB Rock Ya-Sin CB Isaiah Rodgers S George Odum K Rodridgo Blakenship P Rigoberto Sanchez LS Luke Rhodes Bubble Spots QB Sam Ehlinger RB Jordan Wilkins WR Michael Strachan WR Dezmon Patmon T Eric Fisher G Chris Reed DE Ben Banogu DE Isaac Rochell DT Taylor Stallworth LB Jordan Glasgow LB Isaiah Kaufusi CB/S Andre Chachere S Shawn Davis
  2. Out of curiosity, where do you see guys like Najee Harris, Jaelen Phillips, and Gregory Rousseau ending up?
  3. Still some good players available (not including Colts players): WR: Golladay, Fuller, Smith-Schuster, Tate, Reynolds, Humphries, Watkins TE: Arnold, Rudolph T: Okung, Villanueva, Fisher, Reiff, Wagner EDGE: Ingram, Clowney, Kpassagnon, Dunlap CB: Sherman, Dunbar, Hayward, Williams, Jackson, King II, Butler, Hill, Bouye S: Neal, Tartt, Boston, Jackson, Woods, Gibson
  4. Glad to hear that you liked my mocks. The big part of my recent mock (Okwara) just re-signed with Detroit, but hopefully the other parts can come to fruition. Okwara just got $13M/year, so I'm curious as to what Hendrickson will get. Just saw a report when I got home that Titans will most likely not re-sign Jonnu Smith or Corey Davis. I worry that Smith's price might get too high since him and Henry are the top TEs, but I would love to have him at $9M/year. I had the Colts signing Higgins in a mock I did a year or two ago. He's a mid tier FA that makes a lot of sense since guys like Golladay will probably be out of our price range. I like that you put an emphasis on OL depth. The OL was very good last year as expected, but we saw how much they struggled when Holden and Green had to fill in for the Pittsburgh game. Overall, a very good mock with a lot of realistic moving parts. It's hard seeing TY go since he's the only guy left from the 2012 season, but I have also realized that if he's getting an offer of $10M+, he's gone.
  5. I thought extensions would not count against the current year's cap. All four of those players are already under contract for 2021. I believe their contracts would kick in when their current contract is up.
  6. Completed Trade Eagles trade QB Carson Wentz to the Colts for Pick #84, Conditional 2022 2nd Round Pick Wentz 2021 Cap Hit: $25.4 M Cap Space after Wentz trade: $45,889,614 (per Overthecap) Extensions (No Impact on 2021 Cap) LB Darius Leonard - 5 Years/$90 M ($48 M Guaranteed) RB Nyheim Hines - 3 Years/$16.5 M ($5 M Guaranteed) T Braden Smith - 4 Years/$60 M ($28 M Guaranteed) G Quenton Nelson - 6 Years/$93 M ($44 M Guaranteed) Restructures TE Jack Doyle – Saves $1,762,500 DT Grover Stewart – Saves $3,780,000 C Ryan Kelly - Saves $6,757,500 Cap Space after Restructures: $58,189,614 Re-sign Unrestricted Free Agents DE Al-Quadin Muhammed - 2 Years/$5 M C Joey Hunt - 1 Year/$1 M WR TY Hilton - 2 Years/$18 M - While it looks like he may very well be moving on, it's hard to picture him not in a Colts jersey. DE Denico Autry - 2 Years/$13 M - I think the Colts will keep one of Autry and Houston, and opt for Autry since he is younger. Restricted Free Agents WR Zach Pascal - RFA 2nd Round Tender ($3,422,000) TE Mo Alie-Cox - RFA 2nd Round Tender ($3,422,000) S George Odum - RFA Original Round Tender ($2,240,000) Exclusive Rights Free Agents WR Ashton Dulin - ERFA Tender ($850,000) DT Taylor Stallworth - ERFA Tender ($850,000) Cap Space Remaining (Top 51 Contracts): $35,368,614 Free Agents DE Romeo Okwara- 4 Years/$38 M ($12 M Guaranteed) I initially had Carl Lawson in my first mock, but after looking at these two players more, I feel Okwara would be the better fit. Both Lawson and Okwara are the same age (25). Okwara had nearly double the amount of sacks (10 to 5.5), but Lawson had nearly twice as many QB Hits (32 to 18). The reason I went with Okwara is because Okwara gets to the quarterback based on power, while Lawson uses speed. Both are important traits for an EDGE, but Ballard typically covets players that can win on the edge with their strength, rather than their speed. Okwara had a very productive 2020 season, with 61 total pressures, tied for the fifth-most among all edge rushers. His length also aids him in setting the edge in run defense. Either Lawson or Okwara would be a welcomed addition to the Colts EDGE rotation, though I feel Okwara would be the better fit. G/T Joe Haeg - 2 Years/$3 M Haeg returns after a one year stint in Tampa Bay. Haeg was the most versatile lineman on the Colts roster, and returns to provide more depth and flexibility along the line. TE Gerald Everett - 3 Years/$22 M ($7 M Guaranteed) Colts need a vertical threat at the TE position. Doyle and Alie-Cox are both good TEs, but they do not stretch the field like Ebron did when he was with Luck. Everett adds more explosive to the position, with 58.2% of Everett's receiving yards coming after the catch. I feel players like Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry will price themselves out of the Colts price range given the free TE market is top heavy. Everett's stats and production to this point in his career do not scream TE1, but he has the upside and athleticism to be a productive TE in Reich's system. CB Chidobe Awuzie - 3 Years/$25.5 M (First Year Fully Guaranteed) With Rhodes pricing himself out of Indianapolis and the up and down career so far for Ya-Sin, Colts need to address CB in either the draft or free agency. Awuzie is a zone corner, which means he’s not necessarily a fit anymore in Dallas' man cover scheme with Dan Quinn. However, he fits very well in the zone cover scheme former Dallas coach Eberflus runs in Indianapolis. Eberflus’ zone coverage usage this past season was the second-highest in the NFL, behind only Brandon Staley’s Los Angeles Rams, at 76.6%. Awuzie's familiarity with Eberflus and the scheme fit could turn him into a valuable starting CB opposite Ya-Sin. Cap Space Remaining: $11,726,653 NFL Draft Trade: Colts trade #21 to the Bills for #30, #93 Pick 21 value - 800 points Pick 30 & 93 Value - 748 points Round 1 Pick 30: OT Liam Eichenberg Notre Dame A popular name in Colts mock drafts, Eichenberg comes in the fill the void at LT left by Castonzo. He's not the most athletic tackle, but he is one of the more pro-ready tackles in the draft and should be a solid replacement on the left side of the line. Round 2 Pick 54: WR Elijah Moore Ole Miss Even with Hilton coming back in this mock, Colts need to find their slot WR of the future. Moore is a big-play threat and can thrive in Reich's system. He's near identical to Hilton's size, so he would always be in the slot. If Pittman Jr can take the next step and if Campbell can remain healthy, Moore can become a valuable weapon in the Colts offense. Round 3 Pick 93 (VIA BUF): EDGE Payton Turner Houston Turner checks nearly all the boxes for what Ballard wants in an EDGE. He's versatile, can play inside and out. He gets to the QB with power and has the length to set the edge in the run game. As a younger version of what Autry brings to the front 4, Turner will develop over the next couple seasons and fill Autry's role along the D line. Round 4 Pick 128: CB Benjamin St-Juste Minnesota Another Balland-esque pick, St-Juste is a tall corner (6'3") with the length (32" arm length) that Ballard desires in his corners. St-Juste is one of the better tackling corners in the draft, but will naturally struggle in deep coverage. St-Juste will battle it out with Tell for the TJ Carrie role on the defense. Round 5 Pick 166: S JaCoby Stevens LSU Another popular pick in Colts mock drafts, Stevens is a extremely versatile player that can line up almost anywhere on the field. Colts could use a hybrid player like Stevens to use as a 3rd safety in certain packages. Round 6 Pick 201: LB Paddy Fisher Northwestern Replace one Northwestern LB with another. Fisher is a 2 down linebacker that struggles in pass coverage. He's decent against the run and will play the early downs like Walker did for the Colts. Colts primarily run nickel lineups most of the time, so a premier LB to fill Walker's void is not necessary. Round 7 Pick 245: IOL Robert Jones Middle Tennessee A developmental guard that adds depth and has the potential to replace Glowinski some day if he progresses.
  7. 1. Trevor Lawrence QB1 2. Ja'Marr Chase WR1 3. Kyle Pitts TE1 4. Zach Wilson QB2 5. Penei Sewell OT1 6. Jaylen Waddle WR2 7. Caleb Farley CB1 8. Justin Fields QB2 9. Rashawn Slater OT2 10. DeVonta Smith WR3 11. Micah Parsons LB1 12. Patrick Surtain II CB2 13. Trey Lance QB4 14. Kwity Paye EDGE1 15. Christian Darrisaw OT3 16. Jeremiah Owusu-Koromoah LB2 17. Alijah Vera-Tucker IOL1 18. Jaycee Horn CB3 19. Jaelen Phillips EDGE2 20. Zaven Collins LB3 Borderline Top 20: Gregory Rousseau EDGE3 Trevon Moehrig S1 Najee Harris RB1 Jalen Mayfield OT4 Rashod Bateman WR4
  8. https://www.nfl.com/news/top-101-nfl-free-agents-of-2021-who-are-the-best-players-available Justin Houston at #42 TY Hilton at #47 Denico Autry at #58 Xavier Rhodes at #61 Jacoby Brissett at #63 Marlon Mack at #84 Malik Hooker at #92
  9. Resign Rhodes ($8.5 M/year) Sign an EDGE in FA: Lawson ($8-10 M/year) Sign a TE in FA: Henry ($9-11 M/Year) Draft a T in Round 1 (Cosmi, Darrisaw, Eichenberg, Leatherwood, Mayfield)
  10. Spotrac has him at $10.9M/year: https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/los-angeles-chargers/hunter-henry-18983/market-value/ Overthecap has him at $9.7M/year: https://overthecap.com/player/hunter-henry/4748/ For comparison: Kittle makes $15M/year Kelce makes $14.3M/year Hooper makes $10.5M/year
  11. Mods please merge if there is a better thread for this to go
  12. DJ had the following Colts on his top 150 last year: Jonathan Taylor at #35 Michael Pittman Jr at #48 Jacob Eason at #64 Julian Blackmon at #115
  13. In case anyone is curious, here is DJ's top 150 prospect ranking for the 2020 Draft: https://www.nfl.com/news/daniel-jeremiah-s-top-150-prospects-in-the-2020-nfl-draft-class-0ap3000001110012
  14. https://www.si.com/nfl/lions/news/salary-cap-hit-trading-stafford Hit Cap Hit for 2021 on the team that trades for him will be $20 M and it will be $23 M in 2022.
  15. Starting Cap Space: $64,887,114 (per Overthecap) Extensions (No Impact on 2021 Cap) LB Darius Leonard - 5 Years/$90 M ($48 M Guaranteed) RB Nyheim Hines - 3 Years/$16.5 M ($5 M Guaranteed) T Braden Smith - 4 Years/$60 M ($28 M Guaranteed) G Quenton Nelson - 6 Years/$93 M ($44 M Guaranteed) Restructures C Ryan Kelly – Saves $6,757,500 TE Jack Doyle – Saves $1,367,500 DT Grover Stewart – Saves $3,133,333 Cap Space after Restructures: $76,145,447 Re-sign Unrestricted Free Agents CB Xavier Rhodes - 2 Years/$17 M WR T.Y. Hilton - 2 Years/$18 M DE/DT Denico Autry - 2 Years/$13 M DE Al-Quadin Muhammed - 2 Years/$4 M C Joey Hunt - 1 Year/$1 M CB TJ Carrie - 2 Years/$5 M Restricted Free Agents WR Zach Pascal - RFA 2nd Round Tender ($3,422,000) TE Mo Alie-Cox - RFA 2nd Round Tender ($3,422,000) S George Odum - RFA Original Round Tender ($2,240,000) Exclusive Rights Free Agents WR Ashton Dulin - ERFA Tender ($850,000) DT Taylor Stallworth - ERFA Tender ($850,000) Money Spent on Own Free Agents: $40,284,000 Cap Space Remaining (Top 51 Contracts): $43,961,447 Trade Lions trade QB Matthew Stafford to the Colts for Pick #21, 2022 2nd Round Pick Stafford 2021 Cap Hit: $20 M Remaining Cap Space: $23,961,447 Free Agents DE Carl Lawson - 4 Years/$34 M ($12 M Guaranteed) Even tough the Colts have a lot of cap space in comparison to other teams, a lot of that will get eaten up by players they will re-sign. With around $24 M in cap going into free agency, they probably won't be able to make a splash with someone like Bud Dupree or Allen Robinson (possible given the cap situation of other teams, but I went forward with the assumption that guys like this are still going to make $15 M+). Lawson should be one of the cheaper options in free agency with guys like Dupree, Judon, Barrett, and Clowney on the market. Lawson adds youth (Lawson will be 26 at the beginning of the 2021 season) and speed (4.67 40 time) to the EDGE for the Colts. Autry and Houston have been solid DEs, but neither one of them is going to win on the outside with speed. Lawson had 6 sacks, 24 QB hits, and 34 hurries last season. He had double the amount of QB hits as every DE on the Colts’ roster combined. Also, his 34 hurries would have ranked first on the Colts this past season. Here's an article explaining Lawson's traits further: https://www.stampedeblue.com/2021/1/20/22239481/free-agent-film-room-should-the-colts-sign-carl-lawson-in-free-agency T Ty Sambrailo - 1 Year/$1.5 M A budget option to add more depth at tackle. Played a bit for the Titans this year with the injuries they had along the O-line. Not a fantastic player by any means, but most likely an upgrade over Chaz Green. S Miles Killebrew - 1 Year/$2 M Fills the Tavon Wilson role on the team, while being 3 years younger. Played exclusively on special teams this past season, though has had snaps on defense in the past. Money Spent on Free Agents: $12,000,000 Cap Space Remaining: $11,961,447 NFL Draft Round 2 Pick 53: OT Dillon Radunz North Dakota State Colts need to fill the void left by Castonzo's retirement. Radunz played left tackle for North Dakota State and was excellent in the run game. Will need some development in pass protection. Has the athleticism to improve on his lateral agility on the edge. Round 3 Pick 84: EDGE Patrick Jones II Pittsburgh Jones doesn't have much versatility, but fortunately for the Colts, he is best suited at 4-3 DE. Jones II had 9.0 sacks, 12.5 tackles for loss, three pass deflections, and a fumble recovery in 2020 as the starting DE for Pitt. Very consistent as a pass rusher and is a smart run defender. Needs to improve on his hand usage. Very strong chance he'll go much higher than Pick 84 in the draft, but I have him in this spot for now. Round 4 Pick 125: WR Anthony Schwartz Auburn Even with T.Y. Hilton coming back in this mock, he is getting older and probably won't be the vertical threat that he once was. Schwartz was a track star at Auburn and adds a home run threat to this offense, which is especially important with a big arm QB in Stafford leading the offense. I do have hopes of Parris Campbell becoming a key component as well, but even so, Colts need to add another dynamic WR in either FA or the draft. Round 5 Pick 164: TE Tre' McKitty Doyle will be 31 this year and neither him nor Alie-Cox offer anything in terms of a vertical threat. McKitty is a decent run blocker but could still use improvement. In the passing game, he moves similar to big WRs and is a smooth and fluid athlete. Fills that Ebron/Burton role in the offense. Round 6 Pick 201: CB Marco Wilson Florida The younger brother of Quincy Wilson, but appears to be a better player. Has experience in both the outside and at nickel. Long and rangy corner that has a lot of the athletic traits you desire in a CB. Hopefully he develops better than his brother at the pro-level. Round 7 Pick 245: IOL Drew Dalman Stanford O-line depth is very important, especially when Danny Pinter and Joey Hunt are the only real interior lineman off the bench. Has the instincts and technique to play C or G, though he is a bit undersized at 286 lb. Money Spent on Draft Picks: Roughly $5,000,000 Cap Space Remaining: $6,961,447 Notes - I don't think anyone really knows Stafford's value at this point, but it will start with a first round pick and some sort of Day 2 pick. Given the state of our roster and opening left by Rivers' retirement, I do think the most ideal move is to go after Stafford. - I could definitely see Brissett coming back, but I left him out for now. - I would like to have Hooker back since he is from my dad's hometown, but I just don't think it's realistic. If he comes back on a very cheap deal to bet on himself, then I would like him back. Same with guys like Marlon Mack. - I like Justin Houston, but with his age and the money he could command, I figured it would be better to get younger at the position with someone like Carl Lawson. I think the Colts will pick between Autry or Houston on who comes back, and Autry gets the nod for his versatility and being younger. - If T.Y. does not come back, I expect them to make a run at Allen Robinson or Kenny Golladay. - I didn't address CB as well as I would have liked, and that could very well be a greater emphasis in the next mock. I think they would be fine at CB for now if Rhodes has a similar type season, though there is no guarantee he will be the same. - I didn't really replace Anthony Walker Jr with anyone since the defense primarily runs nickel packages. - I think the Colts need a young, receiving TE so that is why I moved on from Trey Burton. - I haven't really analyzed the draft too much, so some or most of the prospects might be unrealistic in the rounds I have the Colts taking them. - It's quite possible that the cap figures are wrong, so I apologize if they are. I was going my Overthecap and Spotrac for figures.
  16. I haven't really looked at the tackle prospects too closely yet, but I would be content with either Eichenberg, Darrisaw, or Radunz. I would take Darrisaw in the first or Eichenberg/Radunz in the second.
  17. I live in the suburbs of Pittsburgh. It will be 51 on Thursday, and then 24 on Friday. The weather is very unpredictable here.
  18. I assume George Odum will fill in for Willis. Probably will see more of Tavon Wilson as well.
  19. Would love to see Washington come away with a win today. Rooting for Alex Smith to make it back to the playoffs.
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