schwamm
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Posts posted by schwamm
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48 minutes ago, Irish YJ said:
By all accounts he had locked up starting X over Grant, Inman, Pascal, etc. prior to his injury, and was looking to have good chemistry with Luck. That's enough to get some folks excited.
FYI, not over Inman. He wasn’t on the team until after Cain was injured. Over Grant, maybe?
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1 minute ago, Rally5 said:
Yes.
Colts did three things:
1. Got faster and more athletic.
2. Created immense competition on defense.
3. Drafted for sub packages and special teams.
4. Picked up several D players who can be played at multiple positions.
5. Continued to emphasize leadership (several more college team captains), humility, character and intelligence.
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8 hours ago, P'Son said:
Not impressed with Ballard's strategy for trading up and down.
Dude, seriously... you need to take up a new instrument. Your horn only plays one note, and it is in desperate need of tuning.
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Once there was a whole crowd of Colts fans running around with their hair on fire because there was that one guy with a name they recognized... and the Colts didn’t draft him... AAAGGGHHH!
The end. Good night.
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9 minutes ago, Superman said:
I'm not a big fan of that strategy, but that's because I don't like the young guys (besides Cain, who I wouldn't rely on at this point) and Funchess is on a one year deal. I like several guys in this year's draft, I wouldn't pass on them because I might have a chance at a guy next year. Especially not when our WR room is basically TY and an assortment of question marks.
FWIW, most of us weren’t fans of Ballard passing on CBS in last year’s draft because of all the Q’s there, but it didn’t end up being the weakness many anticipated. They weren’t perfect, but their quality of play improved by leaps and bounds over 2017, and continued to improve all year. I wouldn’t be at all surprised that the WRs do something similar this coming year.
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2 minutes ago, Irish YJ said:
yup, it is a unicorn. it's a little irritating hearing all the BPA talk, and most talking have their own subjective definitions. almost as irritating as the cult of Ballard folks. I love me some Ballard, but holy cow do people ooh and ahh over every word and every fart the guy produces. he's a new GM, and people that think he's perfect are setting themselves up a sadz.
I really appreciated when Polian was hired by the Colts, and I love that he was an integral part of bringing a culture of winning to Indy, but I grew frustrated by what I saw as a draft philosophy that relied too heavily on assigning values by position.
Grigson, on the other hand seemed to over-inflate his own scouting abilities, and seemed to imagine he knew definitively which player was the BPA, at the cost of good value. I appreciated how he always seemed to look under every rock for FA talent, but he didn’t really get how to assemble a team.
I’m probably one who overvalues Ballard for the moment, because from limited samples, and from the outside looking in, he appears to almost perfectly implement what I’ve long argued is the ideal draft strategy. I’m very excited by the way he approaches the draft and team building, and I can’t wait for tomorrow evening.
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12 minutes ago, Irish YJ said:
exactly.
i'd also add that BPA, value, and other terms are highly subjective. what does BPA mean. best player regardless of value or need? best player based on one of 32 GM's opinion?
of course they look at position depth, and of course they look at need. on a pure stack of 32, a team with Barkley isn't taking a BPA player if the best player available is a RB, just like we aren't taking a BPA QB. the teams will skip over BPA (as subjective as it is) when common sense applies. And a team with the worst QB in the league reaches for a QB way too often regardless of the XX players that are better than the QB they draft.
So I think BPA, as most fans understand it, is a unicorn. Pretty in theory, but a myth. My best guess is that the Colts board is a complex, flowing river of information, where players may be loosely sorted, but “BPA” is an on-the-spot evaluation of players remaining vs. a deep understanding of relative values at that draft spot.
I guess I consider needs as part of that value equation. Drafting expressly for needs is foolish, IMO, but drafting around filled needs is common sense. The Colts won’t draft a QB with early capital because they don’t have need, and therefore don’t have enough value assigned to the position.
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It’s been a while, but I’ve stated this in years past: I don’t think “positional value” means the same thing to NFL personnel as it means to fans. Stacking a draft board isn’t as simple as “we think this CB is better than that TE”. And I really don’t think positional bust rates weigh much in the equation. GMs need to approach drafts with total confidence in their information, and not fret about guarding against being wrong.
I strongly believe truly successful teams draft for value (or should), not necessarily BPA. By that I mean they evaluate all available players, and consider the drop off in talent at each position round to round and pick to pick.
For argument sake, let’s suppose the Colts are deciding between a similarly graded possible DL pick or WR pick at 34. And let’s say their info suggests the likely best DL available at their next pick represents a significant drop in talent, but there would be minimal fall off at WR... I argue that makes the DL pick the higher value choice, because you grab a similarly skilled WR later, and can therefor amass more talent overall.
Im NOT necessarily arguing for DL over WR at the first pick, or any. But this WR class does seem pretty large and level, so I’d be surprised to see an early pick spent there, unless the Colts brass see a transcendent player that fits the team needs and culture perfectly.
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1 hour ago, PrincetonTiger said:
This is not Baseball there are no “small market” teams
The NFL has a salary cap
Simplistic view, IMO. Allowing more players on a roster keeps teams from having to decide between the player who may have a limited future, and the one that might develop. The less teams have to make that call, the more they can “horde” talent, encouraging disparity, diminishing the value of free agency, and benefitting teams in more desirable markets.
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I get what y’all are suggesting, but the roster caps are designed to encourage parity.
If The Colts stink like they did last year, and “earn” being 3rd on the waiver wire, larger rosters would mean lower quality of players released, and less chance of grabbing guys who could make a difference.
100 man rosters would hurt smaller market and perennial loser teams in the long run. IMO, it isn’t in the Colts’ best interest to push for larger rosters.
While I hate seeing guys get injured, and hate seeing promising seasons blown up, I also appreciate the skills involved in managing a team through all of that.
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32 minutes ago, crazycolt1 said:
Aaron Moorehead made one of the greatest catches in history with the 80 yd TD behind the back catch. Too bad it was in pre-season.
I was remembering that catch as I typed my last post.
FWIW, I recall overblowing Sam Guiguerre’s (sp?) chances to impact the team several years ago, thinking he could be our Wes Walker. In fact I’ve been guilty of singing the praise of a more than a few no-name preseason heroes on this board in years past.
I think the impulse stems from two things: one is that we want to see diamonds in the rough succeed, and the other is that we want to prove our keen ability to recognize those late round or UDFA heroes among all the camp fodder.
If I can loudly claim Cain’s greatness, and he succeeds, I get to tell y’all I told you so, and be branded as expert (conveniently burying the hundreds of earlier occasions I was a mile off in my assessments).
But Cain looks good, and I hope he becomes a bonafide NFL star for the horseshoe. I’ll praise all his advocates for their keen acumen when he does.
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10 hours ago, indyagent17 said:
Lets hope this is real production that we will see every Sunday in the fall. No more Roy Hall or Duron Carter hype
I really hope Cain succeeds. I’ve just been around for a long succession of hyped preseason players. Remember Kenton Keith? Or Moorehead? It seemed like there was a stretch where there was one favorite “beast” each preseason who never amounted to anything.
I hope Cain isn’t that.
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Welcome, friend! It can be a bumpy ride at times, especially if you give too much credence to the grumps on this forum, or to the revisionist history buffs (old Baltimore fans)... but you've landed in a great place, rooting for a truly quality franchise.
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On 4/30/2017 at 0:42 AM, braveheartcolt said:
Could not agree more. Have not seen your name on here for a while, good to see it again!
I confess I've just peaked in to read some draft reactions. I stopped posting (or visiting) a while back because this forum had become something vastly different (and far more negative) than the one I joined. I hope it has reverted to something more civil, but I doubt I'll ever return to the level of participation I once enjoyed. Hope all is well with you! Go Colts!
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I've been absent for a long while, and am saddened to hear this. Gavin was a genuinely interesting contributor here, one who stayed above the fray, and constantly sought and shared knowledge and insight about this team and the game of football.
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5 hours ago, Pacergeek said:
It's going to be weird not posting negative things about the GM. This Ballard appears to not be screwing around at all, and I cannot wait for the 2018 draft lol
For perspective, I recall how all the fans anxious for Polian's ouster were so positive about Grigson and his first draft. In fact, I seem to recall comments about how great it was that Grigson was turning over every rock to find talent for the team.
Now, in the wake of Grigson's much demanded dismissal, I have high hopes for Ballard, and am very optimistic about this draft, but I'll withhold judgement until I see these FAs, UDFAs and draft picks in action.
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I'm a sucker for the Colts' home blues.
I have moments when I think I really like the Seahawks' pizzazz, but I can't help thinking in a few years those unis will look as tired and dated as the old peach Bucs unis...
But I could be wrong...
1 minute ago, Lucky Colts Fan said:You're right. I secretly like the all-blue unis that were a throwback to the 20s.
But those are still simple and classic, so I'm not wrong!
You also need to post your favorite uniforms so I can tell you you're wrong.
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16 minutes ago, Lucky Colts Fan said:
This boils down to what you like. That's the beauty. It's completely opinion-based, and nobody can tell you you're wrong.
I Like: Simple, classic Colts all-white uniforms.
I Dislike: All the bright neon new uniforms (Seattle, Carolina, Oregon University, etc.) and uniforms with too many colors (Pats, Bengals, Giants, Chargers)You're wrong.
(had to since you told me I couldn't.)
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I'm trying to figure out why I have U2's "Its a Beautiful Day" playing on loop in my head...
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Everyone on this forum is Nostradamus... Say a bunch of crazy nonsense, and if one thing comes within a mile of appearing a little bit similar to true, come back on here and brag about what a genius you are.
Congratulations! Your Prognosticator Extraordinary certificate is in the mail!
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7 hours ago, dgambill said:
It seemed like we played better against the run...I don't have any numbers but just from perception. I think much of our flaws this year come from the defense being on the field entirely too long and from a poor pass rush. I think improving the rush and getting better production and longer drives on offense will help this unit improve as much as anything....including the run numbers.
I'm with you. It seemed to me like the 2015 team's MO was to force opponents into a ton of 3rd and long situations, but allow them to convert those 3rd downs anyway. In fact, for the first time I can recall, I actually had occasions where I hoped for 3rd and short situations, hoping teams would run, and allow the Colts a chance at getting the ball back.
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11 hours ago, gacoop1 said:
- The Oline has a year under their belt, so it's time for Philbin to earn his paycheck. Besides that's why they brought him here in the first place. Keep the Oline intact and draft some playmakers on the Defense.
That was my take last year, when I had high hopes Herremans would do well, and Thorton and Holmes would mature. I was wrong, and Luck can't afford another year of running for his life and battling through injuries because he is poorly protected.
Not to be too pragmatic, but bad D causes hurt pride, bad O line causes hurt players.
I'm anxious to see the D get better after YEARS of embarrassing play, but not at the cost of addressing the O-line's woes.
PLEASE, Jim, Ryan, et al... protect the franchise.
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Excellent analysis, as one would expect from you, Sup. I'd be curious to see similar analysis of the top FA and draft ZBS options...
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Indianapolis and the Colts owe this man a sincere debt of gratitude for everything he did to improve their fortunes.
Thank you, Coach. Rest in peace.
Jim Irsay teasing fans on a Luck return
in Colts Football
Posted
I thinks he’s implying he “ain’t to proud to beg...”