Win the division this season? Nope. Tbf it could be much worse. Luck retiring was a disaster, QB carousel was painful but Colts make playoffs in '20, win 1 more game '21 and '23 and Colts are in the playoffs, lots of competitive teams/games just couldn't get consistent QB play which has been the biggest weakness over the past few years.
We need a QB who is good and basically need to draft/sign a bunch of defensive players in 2025, otherwise I have no complaints - I didn't expect the Colts to be good because IMO AR is not good. Will he be good next year? Big maybe, so far I see no indication he has made any progress since college - all his pre draft weaknesses are still a problem and more in game experience may not fix this stuff (inconsistent accuracy, touch, footwork, mechanics, questionable decision making). Pray with me fam