shastamasta

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Everything posted by shastamasta

  1. Haha. Especially to use that argument and then think playing the LAC is preferable.
  2. shastamasta

    Deon Cain

    Like who? All WRs need to be devloped...for the most part. But it's not like a bunch of late-round and UDFAs are running around lighting it up. Here is the top 30 WRs by yardage as of today: Julio Jones - 1st round Tyreek Hill - 5th round Adam Thielen - UDFA JuJu Smith-Schuster - 2nd round Michael Thomas - 2nd round Mike Evans - 1st round Davante Adams - 2nd round DeAndre Hopkins - 1st round Keenan Allen - 3rd round Antonio Brown - 6th round Odell Beckham - 1st round Brandin Cooks - 1st round Robert Woods - 2nd round Tyler Boyd - 2nd round T.Y. Hilton - 3rd round Amari Cooper - 1st round Stefon Diggs - 5th round Emmanuel Sanders - 3rd round Kenny Golladay - 3rd round Jarvis Landry - 2nd round Corey Davis - 1st round Tyler Lockett - 3rd round DeSean Jackson - 2nd round Josh Gordon - 2nd round Golden Tate - 2nd round A.J. Green - 1st round Chris Godwin - 3rd round D.J. Moore - 1st round John Brown - 3rd round Calvin Ridley - 1st round 1st round - 10 2nd round - 9 3rd round - 7 4th round or later - 4 26 of the top WRs (by yardage) were picked by the end of Day Two. The ones that weren't are rare...like Hill, Brown and Thielen. The Colts don't need to draft a WR in the 1st round (unless it is a clear BPA)...but they need better talent. And that talent is typically found before the end of the 3rd round...no with developing late-round WR and UDFAs.
  3. shastamasta

    Colts have the #1 defense in NFL since week 7

    Playing guys like Derek Anderson and Kessler certainly helps any stats that includes yards. But I thought this past Sunday was very encouraging.
  4. shastamasta

    Swoope Waived Again

    Sure would be nice to havea big WR to plug into the starting lineup.
  5. shastamasta

    Swoope Waived Again

    Would be awesome...but I don't think it's likely.
  6. shastamasta

    Deon Cain

    Haha...seeing Deon Cain and Dark Superman together. I mean Deon and Dean are literally one letter apart. Sounds like a sketch from Keenan and Peele or something..."Dark Superman" starring Deon Cain.
  7. shastamasta

    Some motivation for the cowboys game

    I don't think the Colts will spank them...but I do think they will win by 10+ points. DAL has put themselves in a great spot where only KC probably a less significant stretch of games.
  8. shastamasta

    NFL Playoff Machine

    Right...that one less can't be to TENN. But that's also assuming TEN beats both the NYG and WAS. We will know by the time that game rolls around. It's most likely a must-win for IND...but it could be a pointless game (with IND locked into the #6 spot), as crazy as that sounds. Who would have thought that?
  9. shastamasta

    NFL Playoff Machine

    MIA is unfortunately running into the NFC WC race...going on the road to face a desperate MIN team. Their playoff hopes are likely dashed after next Sunday. The Colts just have so much going for them. NE needs to hold off HOU for a bye...which means they are showing up against PIT. The more PIT loses, the better chances the Colts have. Also, NO has to hold off CHI for a bye and home-field (no one wants to go to Soldier Field in January)...and is batting the LAR for home-field advantage throughout. NO plays PIT in two weeks...which could be the end of their chances. Finally, DAL has to lose out and PHI has to win out to win the NFC East. But this isn't happening. So that DAL/IND game has now become relatively insignificant...because DAL (at best) is basically playing for the #3 seed. This is setting up nicely.
  10. shastamasta

    NFL Playoff Machine

    I don't know why NFL.com had them as the #7 seed. My post was incorrect. Colts go 3-0 and they are in. To not get in, both BAL AND PIT would have to go 3-0...which won't happen. If the Colts go 2-1...they can still get in a number of ways...mostly by PIT losing and MIA losing at least one.
  11. shastamasta

    NFL Playoff Machine

    If I am reading this right...the Colts have to go 3-0 to get in...and still get some help. If they go 2-1...they need a ton of help. Right now both MIA and BAL have a better conference record...and the Colts only have one AFC game left. So unless MIA and BAL are losing those games, that part won't change...and they will have the tiebreaker. Now BAL likely will lose to LAC and MIA gets a desperate MIN team...but that's about it. EDIT: I thought MIA had the tiebreaker for some reason. NFL.com had them as the #7 seed yesterday...and IND as the #8 seed. But now it's reversed. Disregard what I said above.
  12. shastamasta

    Beating Dallas

    This site has Zeke at 29.9% against 8+ man boxes: https://www.playerprofiler.com/nfl/ezekiel-elliott/#!#current-year. That's ~30% of 268 carries...which is 71 carries. Zeke is incredibly consistent across different looks. Miller is at 23% against stacked boxes...or 44 carries. And Miller has 40% of his snaps out of shotgun. Interestingly, Miller has an incredibly high 7.8 YPC against stacked boxes. Probably propped up by his 97 yard run against TEN (who had 8 in the box)...but impressive nonetheless. Not to take away from Miller...I just think DAL is the better running team.
  13. shastamasta

    Difficult to Run the Ball against AFC South Teams?

    I think it's a combination of things...but it's also likely partly that the BUF game was an outlier. And OAK actually is actually one of the worst run defenses. Those are the two big games. They had some good runs against the NYJ playing catch up...but (fortunately) haven't had to do that as much in recent weeks and teams are able to play the run. The offense needs more playmakers (probably including the RB position)...and that will open up the run game.
  14. shastamasta

    Beating Dallas

    Ezekiel Elliott is a better RB than Lamar Miller...top 3 in the NFL. That is not up for debate. And Miller's YPC is buoyed by three monster games...Zeke is much more consistent. Yes, their YPC are .1 apart...but Miller isn't the short yardage RB...that's Alfred Blue...and his YPC is 2.8. Give Miller most of Blue's carries...and I bet his YPC goes down. Not to mention teams have to respect Hopkins and Watson and can't stack the box. Meanwhile, Elliott gets basically every carry...and has faced many stacked boxes due to the lack of weapons on offense. And still has a 4.7 YPC. PFR's EXP does a good job at looking beyond the box score and calculating effectiveness...and it has DAL at #5 and HOU at #18.
  15. shastamasta

    Geathers

    CB might be a bit trickier...but S shouldn't be. There "should" be some solid options in FA...maybe even a great option or two: FA Landon Collins Tyrann Mathieu Lamarcus Joyner Eric Reid And the draft has been churning out good Ss on Day Two (and even beyond) like clockwork the past few drafts: 2018 - Jessie Bates, Justin Reid 2017 - Budda Baker, Marcus Maye, Marcus Williams, John Johnson, Tedric Thompson, Eddie Jackson 2016 - Sean Davis, Vonn Bell, Kevin Byard I get that some of those guys are more similar to Hooker than Geathers...but the point is...unless we are talking about a Derwin James or Jamal Adams...good S talent is available. And even if they are similar to Hooker, as long as they can tackle and ballhawk...sign me up. To beat good teams, this team will likely have to do it in nickel...which will require 3 Ss. That being said, Colts might not have the luxury of taking a S in the 2nd round right now...so a combination of FA and a mid round pick is probably the best route...which I think would be an upgrade over Geathers and Farley. They can bring back Mitchell as well for depth purposes.
  16. shastamasta

    Beating Dallas

    I don't really see that. Everybody knew ATL had a great running game...and how effective Freeman and Coleman were. ATL was the top offense in the NFL that year...by far...and those guys were a huge part of that. As for metrics, they had the #5 run game according to YDS and YPC...and #3 according to EXP. HOU does have the 2nd most yards rushing...but that's largely because they have the second-most attempts and because they have a very effective running QB. If you look at YPC and EXP...they are middle of the pack.
  17. shastamasta

    Geathers

    Injuries are another thing as well. I just think the Colts can easily do better.
  18. shastamasta

    5 teams, 3 spots

    Leonard was awesome...but how exactly did LVE get abused? PHI didn't score until late in the 3rd quarter. The only bad plays I can remember were him whiffing on Sproles and trying to chase him down after he was picked...something many great players have struggled with. Hardly abused.
  19. shastamasta

    Geathers

    Also...he has like 3 TFL and 2 FF in like 1,600+ career snaps. He's just not a playmaker. This defense, especially, needs a playmaker in that SS spot. And preferably, they have a better option than Geathers at the nickel S spot as well.
  20. shastamasta

    Beating Dallas

    By what metric is HOU's run game more effective than DAL? DAL has a higher YPC and a higher EXP...and they have Ezekiel Elliot. Thier passing game has been much better with Cooper on board. I doubt they are #25 since he showed up. They have faced far better offenses than the Colts. According to EXP, they have faced 4 of the top 10 offenses...and have one more on their schedule...as well as IND. If anything, DAL was underrated. Not really anymore.
  21. shastamasta

    Dallas. How Will The Media Call The Odds On This Game?

    It doesn’t matter to the players...it’s just how I see it playing out. Clinching and setting up a somewhat meaningless final game at home doesn’t seem like Jerry’s style.
  22. shastamasta

    Dallas. How Will The Media Call The Odds On This Game?

    Because of how the NFC East has played out...it’s no longer a “must-win” game for DAL. DAL has a stranglehold on the division...WAS has faded and DAL has taken care of business against PHI and has the tiebreaker...which makes their two-game lead basically insurmountable. DAL is now set up to clinch the division in Jerry World in front of the home crowd the following week. Vegas knows this and the Colts should be favored...and should win.
  23. shastamasta

    Braden Smith

    He definitely got some help this game...but the OL gameplan and execution was great overall.
  24. shastamasta

    Eberfluss (sp?) May actually be building the monster

    I highly doubt it. Not sure if we will continue to see DCs made HCs as often anyways.
  25. shastamasta

    5 teams, 3 spots

    Colts can beat DAL...but after the way the games played out today...they also have something going for them in that game. DAL can lose that game AND then clinch at home the following week. You think Jerry doesn't want to that clincher at home? DAL clinches before in IND and then they are basically playing a meaningless game at home in Week 16...the last game at home for the season. I just don't see that happening. Colts win that game by a 10 points...and then DAL crushes TB the following week.