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Indianapolis Colts

Dirty Mudflaps

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    Staying above ground. Desperately seeking retirement.

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  1. I'm not sure there's a site/source collecting that info (I haven't found one yet, but you'd think someone is gathering that info), but there is a great one for NFL teams at https://www.sharpfootballstats.com/snap-rates--shotgun-v-under-center--off-.html. I wasn't surprised to see how widespread the shotgun formation is these days - it's all kids are doing from the earliest levels, and "traditional" under center QBs are nearly non-existent at the college level. Only 5 NFL teams had the majority of their snaps from under center in 2019 - SF, Minnesota, Tenn, LA Rams, and Oakland.
  2. Mike Leach has been spitting out nearly identical QBs since Tim Couch. I have no idea what Gordon, or Minshew in Jacksonville, will end up doing in the NFL long term. But what can be absolutely proven is the names change but the stats, production, all remain the same. Eerily. Like they're a product of the system. And not a one of them, ever, has sustained success at the NFL level. Maybe Gordon will be different. But I see no reason why anyone would believe that. He does exactly what every other Air Raid QB has done in that offense since 1997. I'd say that's a large enough sample size to reach some conclusions. https://www.footballperspective.com/is-gardner-minshew-already-the-best-mike-leach-quarterback-in-the-nfl/
  3. I'm not suggesting that Carr isn't a better QB, more gifted physically. I don't think decision making is any different. Feel. Awareness. What I am saying is none of that physical superiority has mattered one bit so far. Carr wins 41% of his games. JB wins 38%. Those are comparable results. In a sport where all that matters is results, winning. We can continue to pretend like Carr would be some savior, some huge upgrade, be the answer at QB, I get it, it's a fan forum, and hyperbole rules the day. I'm just not jumping on the Carr to the rescue bandwagon.
  4. Carr is a 39-55 QB with not a single playoff start to his credit. He is Jacoby Brissett, and every other .500ish (sub) QB who shows flashes, and then disappoints. He's had the likes of Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree, Jared Cook, Waller, Jacobs, Lynch, and Murray as weapons. The Raiders, albeit temporarily, made him the highest paid QB when his current deal was signed. He's had a lot of support and a lot of talent on those rosters for them to be as bad as they've been. His fault? Of course not. But he's a part of exactly the same problem in Oakland as JB is here. This discussion is akin to shuffling chairs on the Titanic.
  5. Anthony Gordon, Washington St., I take it is who everyone means??? One year - those kinds of players scare me. And that doesn't even get into the Leach offense and the time it would take to convert him to a pro-style offense... Leach QBs crank out video game numbers all the time. I don't think any has done a thing in the NFL. Minshew and Couch might be the high water marks. I think Eason, Fromm, Love will be the possibilities at 34, maybe 44 too. I don't think the Colts go QB at 13. I believe there will be a DL or WR or LT who sits there and has to be taken. There is something about Fromm's story that reminds me of Peyton Manning at Tennessee. I'm not comparing the two. I'm comparing the journey. I'm saying had it not been for Alabama Fromm might have a title or two, and how does that change the narrative? Had it not been for Florida, Manning might have... Anyway, 35-7 in 42 college games. Competed every year for a SEC title, albeit not in draw-dropping fashion or with crazy stats. Leader on rosters full of NFL talent. The stage won't be too big for him. Based on what the Colts do, how they're built, I think Fromm could start from day one and not be any worse than JB, would execute the play action pass game better, and has a ton more upside. I feel the same about Eason. I'm not on the Love, Newman, Hurts, Mond, Montez train. Yet.
  6. I think this D is making progress. 7th against the run, 16th in total defense, 18th in points allowed, 15th in sacks, 26 takeaways for 10th place... And this is without a blue chip player at interior DL, edge, CB or S... I'd suggest that this D is actually playing above it's talent level more often than not. Plenty of room for improvement no question. They couldn't get off the field on third down (27th), and the pass D needs to improve (23rd) which we all know has to be done with better pressure, changing coverage every now and then, and improved talent. But middle of the road stats, middle of the road record, when paired with this offense. That formula won't work. I'd love to see a true disruptive interior DL be sitting there at 13.
  7. What’s most troublesome to me is the Colts will wrap up 2019 as a top 5 rushing team in the NFL, and rank in the top half in those stats that tend to indicate a winning team - third down conversions, turnover differential, points allowed... its when you see that they’ll finish ranked 27th or 28th in passing yards that the truth hits you between the eyes. This team as built isn’t too far away. A road playoff win last year. One major thing changed. The most important thing. And when you can run the ball as well as the Colts do, to not be any threat through the air is abysmal.
  8. Most teams aren't built to support a rookie QB. I think the Colts are built about as well as we could hope to bring in a rookie. The OL hasn't been this good in a decade or more, the RBs, TY, and Doyle at the least provide versatility and play making as well as a veteran presence, they've got an offensive-minded HC for support, and a D that usually keeps the team in games. And that doesn't get into how much cap space the Colts have next year to fill in blanks and provide even more toys. I think we've all seen what JB is, what he's capable of doing. And since JB is under contract anyway, and the results on the field will "allow" the Colts to draft a QB without anyone questioning why, I'd suggest they have to. You can't go from discussing being a contender to ending up 6-10 or 7-9 when the cause, what changed is QB, and not look for one. All teams have injuries. All teams win games they shouldn't, and lose some that are head scratchers. The Colts lost a dynamic QB. And need to find one again. Lastly, GMs and coaches tend to get to pick the QB they're going to roll with - Ballard and Reich didn't, and rightfully so with Luck. But for anyone to think that those two are going to be just fine putting their careers on the line for JB, you're crazy. They'll go find a QB at some point. And in a league that's about immediate results, I'd think that will happen sooner rather than later.
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