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Everything posted by ar7

  1. I disagree to some extent on the bolded part. I think there are two questions about the Wentz trade, any trade for that matter, that should be answered separately. 1) Are the Colts happy with trading for Wentz? Ultimately this will be answered in how he plays. 2) What price should the Colts have paid to acquire him? This is about his value and demand for him at the time the trade was made. To put it another way, I might make a purchase and be happy with it but it doesn't mean I didn't overpay for said purchase. Or to put it more in line with football some people are happy the Colts drafted Nelson and Kelly but didn't think it was great value for where they were picked. When you trade for a veteran a big part of the appeal is you know what you are getting. Even if you think there is some upside/untapped potential you usually are not using 1st round picks on veterans unless they are a sure thing. Coming off the season he had in 2020 Wentz was not a sure thing. I will say the answer to question 1 is more important than question 2 but I still think what they gave up is a bit much for him considering the situation.
  2. I thought that I was pretty clear when I stated that I thought that we should wait to put any stock into the numbers. My last post was really in regards to the personal attacks on Wilson. Some acted like people were indicated that his opinion carries weight because at one time he wrote for Stampede Blue. Who cares if he wrote for a blog? It is ok to disagree with someone without making it personal. And it's interesting that people take issue with Wilson using stats to push a narrative that Wentz is average but yet some people have used stats to put a positive spin on Wentz and that's ok. Just seems hypocritical. Look, I agree that there is context that should be considered but that context goes both ways. I'm not going to dismiss Wentz based on how he played at the start with such limited practice but i'm also not going to crown him based on his play vs a crappy Dolphins team or having 400 yards agains the Ravens. It's great that he did that but it seems unreasonable to expect that out of him on a regular basis.
  3. Spot on. Just look at the QBs in the AFC...Mahomes, Allen, Jackson, and now Herbert. Yikes. You can't settle at this position and think you will be a serious contender. Granted, football is still a team game and it's not all on the QB BUT there is no position that impacts the game as much as the QB and no position that can make his teammates better like the QB. Being say a top 15 QB isn't likely to cut it if you want to be a serious contender. The bar is higher than ever for what you need out of a QB. In his 5 years in Philly there were a number of questions about Wentz to raise doubts as to whether or not he is a franchise QB. Perhaps some are unfair but they were there. That's not normal for franchise QBs at all. 5 years into a career you almost always know what you have. IMO 5 games is not enough to crown him.
  4. I think that going from good to great comes from the draft and takes some luck. A good example of what helped make the Colts great was drafting Reggie Wayne. He was drafted towards the end of the first round in 2001. I didn't really follow things that closely then but i'm pretty sure there were people who didn't think the Colts should draft a WR. But Reggie was a great player and IMO will be a HOF at some point. When you have the chance to draft a great player then you do it. That's easier said than done though because teams are always trying to fill needs. It also becomes more difficult to do this as you get further along in the draft. It becomes easier to take a need. I say it takes some luck because every draft is different and there might not be a great player when you pick. (production does not automatically = great) You also need great players at key positions. QB, skill position, DE, and CB. It's often said that the red zone, and I think critical moments of the game, becomes about players and not plays. So you want a couple of your great players to be at those key positions. Another important part of it is player leadership. I think it's something you have to be looking for from the start though and not just when you are trying to go from good to great. It's important in all teams whether it's a football team or a team within a business. I think part of leadership is doing your job at a high level but it's also about accountability. I think a good example of this is a story Pat McAfee told about Austin Collie. He attempted to catch a pass with one hand and didn't. As he is coming back towards the huddle Peyton just pointed to the sideline. After the offense was off the field Manning made it clear to Collie that he better not try any more one handed catches. We can't really see the player leadership or measure it but I think of this story as an example of it. It's difficult for a lot of people to hold others accountable though because it's tempting to avoid potential conflict.
  5. I'm certainly not opposed to a WR but I think it could also be a TE. The WR group is obvious more unstable. We can't rely on Campbell to stay healthy, could use a more dynamic player than Pascal, and it's likely Hilton's last year in Indy. However, i'd be equally pleased if the Colts could land a dynamic receiving TE. I suspect this could be Doyle's last year. I really like MAC and don't want to write off Kylen Granson either. I just think a dynamic TE would help this offense as much, maybe even more so, than another WR. There are other needs too I agree with that BProland85 mentioned. Another playmaker stands out to me which I think can be a WR or a TE. (though I think CB is VERY close behind)
  6. Funny you mention that. McAfee has Pagano on his show on Wednesdays. When he was asked about that he joked how it was 3 when he was there so Irsay has lowered it. As a general note, I never thought i'd say this but that segment McAfee does with Pagano is really good. It's great to hear him speak without being limited by the boundaries of being a head coach.
  7. Has anyone claimed that WIlson is a "star" and his "talent" means his opinion carries more weight? I don't understand why some people are attempting to turn this into a debate about Wilson personally based on the type of website he wrote for and the way it's monetized. I'm pretty sure Wilson isn't writing for SB any longer. I think he stopped awhile ago. He obviously still tweets about the Colts but it's really no different from those of us on here sharing our opinion. It's fine to disagree with what he tweeted or push back on whatever point he was attempting to make. I myself think 5 games is premature to put stock into the numbers one way or the other. It's really too small of a sample size and anyone can put whatever spin on them they want to push the preferred narrative. I just don't understand the mindset to personally attack him just because you disagree with him. I don't even follow the guy on Twitter but some of the reactions from those who disagree with him have been overblown.
  8. Yeah Bowen has been talking about needing accountability from Reich and i've wondered exactly what he means. He did mention on the Tuesday show how he was speaking with a former player who played mostly for Pagano. (I took it for Reich too) The player felt that accountability was an issue with Pagano and again with Reich. My impression is he is referring to Reich as a coach not holding players accountable though and not accountability in terms of his job status as the head coach.
  9. One of the things I appreciate about Irsay is (I believe) he genuinely wants to win. Of course making money is important too but for some owners that's all they care about. I think Irsay cares about winning as well. I wish I believed the same for an owner of a different professional sports team. But I don't know if right now is the time to talk about how you are going to win X number of Superbowls in this decade. The team is 1-4. While I think the record will improve from a percentage standpoint by the end of this season I also think what we have is a borderline wild card team. There is still work to be done before this team can be considered a serious contender. The season thus far has confirmed that to me.
  10. I disagree that the draft misses have been what has haunted this team. In fact, I think Ballard and his staff have done a good job of upgrading the talent here through the draft. Towards the end of his tenure Polian was missing more on picks and Grigson didn't good great in this area. Below are the players Ballard drafted from 2017-2020. I thought it was too early to include guys from the 2021 draft. In a very subjective way I grouped them into whether or not I thought that was a good pick. It's VERY subjective and I know there will be some others disagree with and that's fine. My point isn't to debate someone on whether they think Patmon and Lewis were good or bad picks. No real formula was used it's just my initial opinion when thinking about it. No (19) Ben Banogu, Daurice Fountain, Deon Cain, Dezmon Patmon, Gerri Green, Jackson Barton, Jacob Eason, Javon Patterson, Jordan Glasgow, Kemoko Turay, Malik Hooker, Marvell Tell, Nate Hairston, Parris Campbell, Quincy Wilson, Robert Windsor, Rock Ya-Sin, Tarell Basham, Zach Banner. Yes (19) Anthony Walker Jr., Bobby Okereke, Braden Smith, Danny Pinter, Darius Leonard, E. J. Speed, Grover Stewart, Isaiah Rodgers, Jonathan Taylor, Jordan Wilkins, Julian Blackmon, Khari Willis, Marlon Mack, Matthew Adams, Michael Pittman Jr., Nyheim Hines, Quenton Nelson, Tyquan Lewis, Zaire Franklin Based on what I have about that is right at 50%. I imagine that most people would end up with a similar percentage. From a percentage standpoint, if a draft picks are working out close to half the time i'll take that all day. What I think Ballard needs to deliver on is another great player. Anthony Walker was a fine linebacker for this team but we are not back by not having drafted another one of him. For the Colts to take the next step they need to improve the very top of the roster. That's a lot easier said than done I know but I think that's what this team really needs...to hit another home run much more so than they need another single or double.
  11. When it seemed possible that Wentz would become available I found it difficult to be for or against it. As time went on there were just too many question marks surrounding him for me to feel great about it. Being 28 years old and in his 6th year in the league your past is usually a good indication of your future. I think it's a bit premature to look at the numbers regardless if you think he is a stop gap QB or the savior of this franchise but chances are he will be close to where he has been over the course of his career. I'd be surprised if that wasn't the case. The good news with Wentz is he has bounced back from last year. That was a legit concern with him, imo, was if he could bounce back after last year and I think he has. Another question mark was his leadership but I haven't seen any sort of evidence to suggest that has been an area of concern here in Indy. There are other question marks with him that remain. His health, decision making, holding the ball, and red zone play. At this point most of the blame is placed elsewhere whether it's the coaching staff or other players. For the most part I don't disagree but we are also in the honeymoon phase with Wentz here so I think it's easy to look past these other areas and blame others. Because much of this were also question marks with him in Philly I am also reluctant to believe that he absolved of any responsibility. To me Wentz is without question a starting caliber QB in this league that you can get to the playoffs with. But is he a guy I would want to build around for say the next 5-7 years and feel confident I can contend with? I still have reservations about that.
  12. I will be surprised if there is a change with Reich after this season but I don't think an extension automatically saves someone. People forget that these two pictures are about 1 year apart.
  13. I know some will place blame on the offense and defense and there is always room for criticism but if Hot Rod does his job the Colts win. There are positives to take away from this game and plenty of good moments for the Colts. Both teams have plenty of key guys injured but tonight was further evidence of what the Colts have shown in previous games this season and that is they are a borderline wild card team and clearly a tier below of where we were hoping they would be.
  14. I believe Michel is in the last year of his rookie contract. He was a first round pick in 2018 but I don't believe his 5th year was ever picked up.
  15. The Patriots received a 2022 6th round pick and a 2023 4th round pick from the Rams for Sony Michel. Not sure if Mack has as much value but I would think it would be similar.
  16. I wanted to jump in as i've been thinking about this. While I don't think any of the WRs/TEs are elite I think they could do a better job of getting some of them involved. I do think this team misses TY much more than we realize. With him injured the one receiver who could help give the team big plays is Campbell. In the two games he has played he has just 7 targets. Even when he is targeted i'm not sure it's on plays that take advantage of his speed. I think MAC is underutilized in general. He only gets a couple targets a game. Considering how the offensive line/running game has been so far I would expect some short completions to MAC. Along with MAC I think Pittman are both under utilized in the red zone. I don't think this team has the pieces for an elite offense but I do think Reich could utilize some of the players better.
  17. Is the Colts defense an elite/shutdown unit? No. Did they play flawlessly today? No. But they were not the problem. Some things have changed from one game to the next this season. I thought the running game was more effective today though I thought they could have used Taylor more. One thing that has remained is the Colts have been bad in the red zone. They have to score touchdowns in the red zone. I'm not sure there is currently a defense in the league that can make up for an offense that struggles to score TDs.
  18. I have seen Okung thrown out there a good amount as someone the Colts should have signed as a backup but I don't think there has been a chance of that happening. This article is from July so things could have changed between then and now but back then Okung was said to be waiting for a “satisfactory offer”. From this article he sounds like he wants more $ than he had been offered which would also indicate a starting role. https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2021/07/13/report-russell-okung-patiently-waiting-for-satisfactory-offer/
  19. The only thing I would add is the need for a tight end. I think that is right up there with receiver. Doyle could very well retire after this year but even if he doesn't he isn't going to be playing much longer.
  20. I highly doubt Reich gets fired after this season. Jim Irsay strives for continuity. Reich as the HC is a big reason why they traded for Wentz. I think it's way too early to think Reich is gone after this season. Maybe a possibility after next year if that season is a struggle. As bad as we have watched this team play it's only been two games. Some of the bad has came from guys we know are very good. (injuries might be playing a part in it) Plus, it takes time for the QB to settle in and Wentz really didn't have much of a training camp. I'm not saying I think everything is going well and there are not serious concerns moving forward but I firmly believe Reich will be retained as HC.
  21. I think this is spot on. I don't disagree with anything you said. I would add that there is a major difference between the Colts when Dungy coached with Manning, Harrison, Wayne, etc and the Colts now. While I lean on the side of taking the points I can understand others wanting to go for it when they had Manning, Harrison, Wayne, etc. I think the current Colts offense calls for a more conservative approach on 4th down.
  22. I really only have one thought because I think it all starts with this: This team must be able to run the ball at a high level. The offensive line isn't getting it done. The Colts don't have the other pieces to make up for this. There are other things that could be said about play calling, situational football, and the defense but throughout the course of the game the thought that stayed in my mind is that this team isn't able to run the ball at the level that they must be able to in order to be successful.
  23. I have criticisms of Reich and I think EastStreet summed a lot of them up. But I think you make a great point here. Sure, Rivers and Wentz played for Reich before but they still need time to develop chemistry not only with Reich but the other players too. We should only look back to the Manning era to see how important chemistry was and the time it takes for players/coaches to develop it. That was an amazing era and loaded with great talent which everyone recognizes that. To your point about needing time to develop chemistry though that's something that gets overlooked with that group. There was great stability with Manning coming in with Tarik Glenn at LT, Marvin Harrison as his #1 WR, and Jeff Saturday as the C from his second/third year and beyond. Then there was Tom Moore. Maybe nobody is more overlooked than Tom Moore. Having him as the OC, from day 1 and through a coaching change, that helped tremendously. I know that's not a direct comparison with Reich being the HC but I think it helps underscore the importance of chemistry and time to develop it.
  24. I am one who was not in favor of trading for Wentz. There were too many question marks to make me think that was the right move to make especially given the picks traded for him. BUT my belief in Ballard in Reich to make the right call here is what has given me hope for it working out. One of the criticisms of Wentz throughout his career has been that he holds onto the ball too long. That is one of the things we have to hope that Reich can fix. He helped Luck in this area so hopefully he can do the same with Wentz. There is no denying that Wentz has toughness and arm talent. We also saw his mobility on Sunday. We need better offensive line play but this offense can be much more explosive with Wentz at QB.
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