Larry Horseman
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Posts posted by Larry Horseman
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4 hours ago, csmopar said:
Ok so guarantee the first two years, gives an out after that with no cap hit.
If healthy, no problem IMO with a 3 year 39 mill contract with 26 mill guaranteed. Could even add in some incentives and guarantees if not injured on top. Not like what I think is appropriate matters!
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23 minutes ago, csmopar said:
for the record, JTs wanting 16-20 million plus. I started following his agent a few weeks back, any posts that say pay the man a minimum of 16/yr, JT’s agent is liking and retweeting. While circumstantial, it kind of confirms the desired range.
I’ve said all along 13 mill average, 2-3 years tops, heavily front loaded and 50 percent guaranteed would be my best offer
The $13 mill average tracks for a three year deal, but the guarantees are where it gets sticky. Any three year deal needs to take into account what the franchise tag numbers would look like over that same span. If we use this year's tag (~$10 million) and the franchise tag numbers if the Colts tagged him two more times (~$12 million and ~$17 million), then we are at the $13 mill yearly average. If tagged, all of this salary would be guaranteed. Now, JT is getting more stability with an actual contract, but there's no way the guarantee can drop below $22 mill (first two tag years), and I think it would need to push beyond that to account for some of the guarantees for a hypothetical third tag year.
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AR5 did enough to be starting week 1. Going to be ups and downs but to say it was bad is just trolling. Kid has a real chance. We’ll all see how it pans out.
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Stroud and Richardson. I’m not sure sure which one I want or think they will draft. I’m good with Levis too.
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6 minutes ago, Superman said:
There was a similar noisy saga with Marvin Harrison in 2007. He was week to week with a knee injury for three months, he tried to play one week but was obviously still hurt, then he played in the playoff game against the Chargers as was still not ready. That was with Polian controlling the messaging. End of the day, it didn't change the fact that the team wasn't clear with what was going on, nor did they know when he'd be ready to play.
Same with Manning in 2011. They hoped and hoped he'd be ready, then a week before the season, he had another surgery.
My point is that the messaging doesn't change the outcome.
33 minutes ago, DougDew said:I've been a Colts fan for a while. I remember Polian used to address injuries by stating the official diagnosis and supplementing that with some color. A 4-6 week timeframe would be the official remark, but he would say things like Anthony Gonzalez is a "slow healer", and that Dwight Freeny is a "quick healer", indicating some expectations of the timeframe being more 4 weeks or 6 weeks.
I don't remember them being transparent with PM the year he had the knee - he was in much worse shape to start the season than was communicated. Also, don't forget Bob being "week to week" pretty much every year of his career...
I think more often than not there's a big difference in how organizations handle/manage/discuss QB and other star player injuries and injuries for players on the rest of the roster.
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8 minutes ago, threeflight said:
IMO if it this bone issue brought on by a previous injury (snowboarding?), and they have known about it since the spring?
You have brought this snowboarding thing up multiple times. Where did you hear/see that at?
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Top 10 are:
1. Colts
2. Pats
3. Eagles
4. Chiefs
5. Seahawks
6. Steelers
7. Saints
8. Rams
9. Browns
10. Chargers
There is a scoring rubric that includes overall roster minus QB (Colts ranked #4), QB (#3), Coaching (#8), Draft (#1), Front Office (#2). Colts averaged 87.8; Pats 87.2; Chargers 80.9; and Dolphins last at 65.4. Pats got a major bump being #1 in Coaching and FO.
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9 minutes ago, MacDee1975 said:
I'm suggesting that if your instinct is "Gee, I wonder what Superman on the Colts message board I post on thinks of this contract. I hope he approves so I can be optimistic about this free agent signing/draft pick", then you need to re-examine your life and learn to think for yourself.
If you like a pick or signing, then like it. Don't subtly seek out others approval with passive-aggressive commentary.
Well, that is much different than Pierre's gonna do what Pierre does regardless of xyz. I'm not going to go down this silly rabbit hole with you. If you have an ax to grind then grind it I suppose but to me, as a casual observer, it reads like you are intentionally trying to make something an issue that really isn't...
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36 minutes ago, MacDee1975 said:
That means absolutely zero in the grand scheme of things, unfortunately. And again, has no impact whatsoever on what will happen on the field. Pierre gonna do what Pierre does, no matter if some dude nicknamed Superman on the Colts.com internet message board supports his contract or not.
Obviously. Just like Pierre gonna do what Pierre does based on your take that it doesn't matter what folks think about it on the message board. The vast majority of members understand they have no direct impact on anything related to Colts operations/players.
I'm failing to really understand your point - the purpose of a message board is to discuss team happenings from the fan perspective, including opinions on players, front office, ownership, etc. Are you suggesting that the board should have a different purpose? Perhaps we should all just post who cares about all Colts news since we have no impact on the field or organizational decision-making?
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2 hours ago, NewColtsFan said:
I suppose it's... possible.. but I think highly doubtful.
But if his FA market never really appears, I suppose he might have an interest in returning as a situational 3rd DB. Maybe? (A real longshot)
There is plenty of opportunity to run packages with 3 safeties. Theoretically, Geathers could not start but still log a number of snaps, right?
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One thing to consider is that I actually think Ballard wants the D to play more aggressive coverage packages so I'm not sure the "cover 2 CBs are a dime a dozen" argument holds weight. Not saying PD is worth a big contract, but I don't think the cover 2 rational is why.
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8 minutes ago, Coffeedrinker said:
Here is the AER for Week 14
The Colts O has dropped over the past couple of weeks in efficiency, which is to be expected after the Jags game. They are the 7th most efficient offense at 89.8 (ranked 8th in offense by yards/game)
On D they have been steadily rising, they are now 11th in the AER (11th in the NFL yards allowed as well) at 68.3.
So for the Dallas I like to compare the O vs D as it relates to the AER average.
Colts offense is at 89.8 which is 5.8 points above the offensive average of 84.0
The Dallas D is at 72.6 (3rd highest AER for the defense) which is 6.8 points above the average of 65.8. So this would indicate a slight edge to the Dallas D.
The Colts D is at 68.3 which is 2.5 points above the average of 65.8.
The Dallas O is at 81.2 (21st in the AER) which is 2.8 points below the average of 84.0. So this would indicate a pretty significant edge to the Colts D.
I have to admit, I was surprised to see the Cowboys D as high as it was and to see the Cowboys O as low as it was. As most saw during the Eagles game, the Boys O is not very efficient but they do have some playmakers that can score quickly.
Should be a fun game to watch.
I think it will be a good game - I've been thinking the Cowboys and Colts are very similar teams related to where they rank in the overall NFL - Dallas is stronger in some areas but we have a significant QB advantage. Both teams have also grown and developed over the course of the year.
Promising the Colts are sitting at #7 in these rankings
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22 hours ago, jskinnz said:
So how does reich use this as motivation 4 years later?
I know none of us were part of the team in 2014 except the QB, K, and LT, but....uh...we owe them big...and...
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4 minutes ago, krunk said:
The Jets are a team that can sneak you with Darnold at QB. I don't think the Texans will win that Philly game. Will probably beat the Jags. They could possibly lose 2-3 but I think it will be more like they will lose 1 out of 3
I don't think it is probable they lose out. I agree with them losing at Philly. I think we both agree on the Jets - 60/40 W for Texans. I'd put Jags at 60/40 too...I have a weird feeling they are going to close out strong. Also, I don't think the Texans are actually better than a 10 W team, so always the chance water finds its level. I'm just happy the Colts are back in playoff scenarios again!
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4 minutes ago, #12. said:
For the Colts to get in at 9-7, the loss would have to be NFC, and either Pittsburgh or Baltimore would have to lose two.
That assumes Miami doesn't win out with the Pats losing 2 out of 3. If Miami wins out and the Pats lose two, the Colts are out, even at 10-6... unless Houston also loses two. In that case, the Colts would get a bye. Lol
It is much more likely that the Colts go 2-1 and either Pitt and Balt (my money is on Pitt) lose two than Miami wins three and Pats lose two...
Here's why I think Pitt goes 1-2: give them a W in week 17 at Cincy, but I don't see how they win at NO in week 16. As for this week against the Pats, despite the Pats being an underwhelming road team this year, the odds aren't in Pitts favor - since 2001, Pats are 42-12 after a loss and have only lost back to back games more than once in a season in three seasons (they lost back to back already this year).
I think the Ravens go 2-1 (lose to Chargers) but 1-2 isn't out of the question since the Browns will be playing hard week 17 and Balt will be coming off a long road trip; Miami goes 1-2 (lose to Vikes and coin flip on Jags or Bills)...they just aren't that good; and Pats go 3-0.
I'm actually really interested in what the Texans do this weekend. Going to be rainy in cold @ NYJ. If they drop that, a three game slide isn't out of the question, which would put the division in play for the Colts if they win out...
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5 minutes ago, Virtuoso80 said:
that last game vs tenn is really a key game if we win/lose one to nyg or dal.
Yep - Tenn is a must win obviously. I think this week's Dallas game is a solid measuring stick. Dallas has been playing good ball and the Colts and Dallas are similar in talent/competition level - neither are elite but both are capable of winning/being competitive any given week against any team. It would be really fun to watch the Colts play @ KC and Dallas play @ NO/LAR in the divisional round but that is getting way too far ahead!
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If the Colts go 2-1, pretty good odds of the #6 seed. If Houston finishes 0-3 (this could happen, IMO) and the Colts go 3-0, Colts would win the AFC South and Houston wold be the #6 seed. Either way, if the Colts get in, there is a pretty good chance Houston will be the first round match up, which bodes pretty well for a W.
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13 minutes ago, GusFring said:
Even the 1 yo TY last wk was kinda underthrown. Do you still worry if Luck can consistently stretch the field?
Was just about to say something to the tune of @Superman. Also, my take away from today is that the deep ball isn’t the prob. Luck is fine in that sense. Sometimes he acts like he didn’t take a year off football. For me, we are getting our money’s worth outta Reich and Luck.
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Get off my lawn...
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I’ve been wondering if the rain played a major role related to how Luck’s arm looked on Sunday. He hasn’t thrown a wet, heavy ball in a long time. Plus a heavy ball could exacerbate arm strength issues. I’m hoping this week at home is a different story.
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Josh Gordon and Ryan Grigson were both elite in 2013. I’m just saying...
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16 hours ago, aaron11 said:
its because we replaced those guys with nobodies
So the Colts replaced nobodies with nobodies. There are 53 bodies.
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16 minutes ago, LJpalmbeacher2 said:
I know its not your veiw and agree it could be ballards veiw. Which of course explains why the lack of big FA signings and the departure of talent like Melvin, Hankins, Andwrson, Simon, Mingo etc...
These guys are all pretty much NFL JAGs, perhaps Simon is a bit above that. I don't understand why everyone is fixated on letting all this perceived talent go? They are all okay in their own right but the Colts are trying to bring in young guys with higher ceilings and more athleticism. The only way they can grow (or tank out) is to play. Why is that difficult to understand? This year's roster is a product of multiple years of bad drafts and signing mediocre at best older FAs. The Colts are going to be just fine - and will get better as the year goes on (there was a ton of positive on Sunday). I imagine we will see some money spent next off season in FA
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11 minutes ago, P'Son said:
After pre-season, if Biscuit proves to be the better QB, then Biscuit should be the week one starter.
You should probably be a bit more condescending and over the top. Then you’d really hit your target audience.
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From YardBarker
in Colts Football
Posted
A dog?