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Showing content with the highest reputation on 11/21/2019 in all areas

  1. 6 points
    So I was listening to a podcast from stampede blue and they mentioned a funny scenario if the colts played NE in the playoffs. Brissett Beats Brady and the game ends on a Kenny Moore Interception on a pass to Dorsett. That would be the ultimate revenge.
  2. 3 points
    I like that scenario. But it would be even better if Sheard hit Brady while he made the throw, which caused the int, and if the Kenny Moore int happened when we were tied with like a minute to go. Then Brissett drives down the field and Vinny hits the game-winner as time expires. THAT would be perfect.
  3. 3 points
    I'm gonna go ahead and give it a 10.
  4. 3 points
    Trips into the red zone : #1 Patriots (43) #5 Colts (38) #32 Jets (18) Red Zone TDs : #1 Seahawks (27) #3 Colts (24) #32 Broncos ( 9) Red Zone passing TDs #1 Seahawks (19) #2 Colts (18) Colts are a Top 10 offense moving the chains to get to the red zone : First Downs made : #1 Cowboys (246) #7 Colts (225) #32 Redskins (140) Third Downs converted : #1 FortyNiners (65) #9 Colts (55) #32 Redskins (28) Fourth Downs converted : #1 Colts (10) #1 Ravens (10) #32 Packers ( 0)
  5. 3 points
    If it is from under center, the QB will have to turn his eyes away from the defense. Thus he cannot see where players move to at the snap- safety's, CB's, LB's, even dropping DLinemen... so, the pre-snap read must be spot on, or has to be ready to get it out hot, or look for the "checkdown" or hot read/release quickly if guessing wrong..
  6. 3 points
    The Colts are similar to the Seahawks, Rams, and Saints in efficiently moving into the red zone and scoring TDs. Seahawks have 31 TDs (2nd best through 10 games), 27 in the red zone, 4 from outside it. Rams have 24 TDs. 21 red zone, 3 from outside Saints have 22 TDs. 19 in the red zone, and 3 from outside it. Interestingly the Patriot's offense has only 2 more TDs than the Colts (28). And although they are #1 in getting into the red zone, with 43 attempts, they've managed only 21 red zone TDs. They have scored 7 TDs from outside the red zone, and it's a good thing because they struggle in the red zone. To add some perspective to the Colts offensive TDs (through 10 games) : Seahawks 31 TDs (2nd in NFL) 27 red zone 4 outside Patriots 28 TDs (10th) 21 red zone 7 outside Colts 26 TDs (11th) 24 red zone 2 outside Rams 24 TDs (14th) 21 red zone 3 outside Saints 22 TDs (21st) 19 red zone 3 outside
  7. 3 points
    there's been articles all over about it, not just on twitter. I know you guys aren't being "too" rough, but remember, some people come to this forum to get their Colts updates. Like me, I don't do Twitter. I don't live in Indy where there is always a radio station talking Colts football. I'm guessing Smoke was just using this forum for some info.
  8. 2 points
    That makes very little sense. As @ColtsLegacy said, without TY/Funch/Campbell we have one of the worst WR groups in the NFL. If TY comes back, there will only be so much Pascal can do to prevent teams from doing all they can to take TY out of our game plan. With a healthy Funch (and Campbell) we can at least keep other teams on their toes, whether that means we prevent them from stacking the box to open up our run game even further or whether it means we open up our passing game to more than the dink and dunk which it pretty much has been, it is a good thing. Funch is a veteran NFL WR, he had a full offseason with the Colts and has been around the team's facilities since his injury. It's also a collarbone injury which is typically one of the easiest injuries to come back from and not miss a beat (I've broken mine 3 times and each time was still able to keep my cardio up, it's not even close to having a guy come back from a knee/ankle injury).
  9. 2 points
    You mention in your next post we don't score on long/explosive plays. You're right. That said, our two most explosive WRs (TY and Campbell) have been dealing with injuries for several weeks and our big body target (Funchess) who was supposed to take pressure off those guys (particularly TY) has been out all year. If they all come back healthy, I won't be shocked if we see a little bit more explosiveness and deep play calling from the offense. I still think Reich will put strong emphasis on keeping the run game going and keeping the time of possession up, but frankly part of the reason we haven't really been explosive is likely due to the fact that we don't have a very good WR corps when 3 of our top 4 WRs are injured.
  10. 2 points
    Show me "crosstown pancake delivery technique"
  11. 1 point
  12. 1 point
    Just sticking to the objective facts and numerical trends/averages in the OP, but feel free to provide subjective narrative and context. I only ask that you read the OP entirely and not pearl clutch. If you are of those that say "stats don't matter", please do the rest of us who like stats a favor, and just ignore the thread. If I miss any key areas, or make any errors, let me know and I'll try to track them down and/or correct. I've also done comparative looks for anyone who was receiving in multiple years 2017-2019. Before diving into JB's stats, I'll first take a look at the opposing team's passing Ds so that we have a bit of context (both good and bad). Excluding PIT and MIA games. To keep things simple and consistent, I'll use the following tiers for grading. 1-5 Elite 6-12 Good 13-20 Average 21-27 Bad 28-32 Awful Opponents Passing D (ranks) Teams - LAC / TEN / ATL / OAK / KC / HOU / DEN / JAX / AVER PasYPG - 4 / 22 / 26 / 27 / 12 / 29 / 5 / 8 / 17 Cmpl% - 7 / 14 / 28 / 17 / 8 / 24 / 23 / 10 / 16 INT% - 10 / 13 / 24 / 15 / 9 / 30 / 27 / 12 / 18 YPPAtt - 4 / 20 / 27 / 29 / 13 / 21 / 6 / 16 / 17 Press% - 19 / 26 / 22 / 28 / 29 / 32 / 12 / 4 / 22 JB's Performance per game (raw not ranked) and average with ranking Teams - LAC / TEN / ATL / OAK / KC / HOU / DEN / JAX / AVER QBR - 62.4 / 32.2 / 78.7 / 35.9 / 35.2 / 68.6 / 43.1 / 51.2 / 51.7 (16th) PasYrd- 190 / 146 / 310 / 265 / 151 / 326 / 202 / 148 / 199.7 (27th) Cmpl%- 77.8 / 60.7 / 75.7/ 52.2 / 62.1 / 66.7 / 60.0 / 62.5 / 64.6 (16th) YPPAtt- 7.0 / 5.2 / 8.4 / 5.8 / 5.2 / 8.4 / 8.1 / 6.2 / 6.9 (22nd) INT PPA 0 / 4% / 0 / 2% / 3% / 0 / 0 / 4% / 1.5% (12th) TD PPA 7% /11% / 5% / 7% / 0 / 10% / 0 / 4% / 5.8% (Tie 6/7th) TimToThr 2.33 /3.01 /2.61 / 2.82 / 3.32 / 2.95 / 3.05 / 3.07 / 2.89 (27th) AirYrdAv 4.4 / 2.4 / 4.9 / 5.8 / 2.2 / 5.7 / 7.2 / 7.9 / 4.8 (27th) Grading / Trends QBR (Average) - highly inconsistent in terms of trend. Good against some good passing days (LAC), bad against bad Ds. YardsPerGame (Bad) - I don't put much stock in game to game, but the overall average speaks for itself. Perhaps some of the blame goes to play calling and training wheels, but we should see a trend up in the later part of the season if that's the case. I'd really like to see 250+ against one of the top 15 D (YPG). Completion % (Average) - Pretty consistent over the last 4 games, but trending down over the first 3. Yards per pass attempt (Bad) - very inconsistent here as well. As with QBR, good against good passing Ds, bad against bad Ds. Part goes to scheme, and game plan, but needs to improve without a doubt in the last 5 games. INT per pass attempt (Good) - I know some like to tout INT/TD ratio, and that's fine, but INT/attempt is the more accurate ratio. Good, but bordering on average. I'm very happy with this stat so long as he stays on the high side of average. TD per pass attempt (Good) - I know this has a lot to do with game plan and play calling in the redzone, but this is absolutely a great stat for JB. He is trending down a bit in the last 4 games, but he can right the ship with a good game vs Houston. It shows how good he can be in RZ situations at times. Borderline elite, but needs to show it when his attempts increase between the 20s. Time to throw (Bad) - Trending awful and is truly a headscratcher given his TTT vs LAC in the first game. This is a crucial stat to both scheme (Reich's quick passing O), and OL protection (puts added stress on the OL). Completed air yards average (Bad) - This one is trending up the last two games, but still needs sustained improvement. This is truly a headscratcher given the high TTT. Need more games like the last 2 to keep Ds honest so that they don't congest the shallow/intermediate passing lanes. Overall - 2/8 Good, 2/8 Average, 4/8 Bad. Some good trends, some bad, still a lot of inconsistencies. This against a very overall average group of passing Ds. Pass catcher comparison / trends Note 1: Capturing all that had 200 or more yards receiving in 2018 Note 2: We returned 84% of receiving production across WRs, TEs, and RBs in 2019, and 21.3% from 2017 (a healthy Doyle) Note 3: The top 4 2018 receiving targets + #2 from 2017 returned in 2019 Note 4: Miami and Pitt removed from 2018 Hilton (#1 receiving target in 2018) Stat / 2017 / 2018 / 2019 YPG / 60.4 / 90.7 / 60.0 YPC / 16.9 / 16.7 / 11.3 Cat% / 52.3 / 63.3 / 69.6 Summary - While typically the 1st read, 33% drop in YPG from 18-19 after jumping 50% from 2017. Pretty clear here what changed. 32% drop in YPC from 18-19, while continuing to improve his catch %. Rogers (#3 receiving target in 2018) Stat / 2017 / 2018 / 2019 YPG / 25.8 / 30.3 / 14.25 YPC / 12.3 / 9.2 / 11.4 Cat% / 62.2 / 73.6 / 56% Summary - While typically the 3rd or later read (for both Luck and JB), after making a 17% jump in YPG from 2017 to 2018, he takes a 53% drop in 2019. YPC he is up 24% in 2019 but targeted much less. Catch % took a major hit (late read struggle in the seam?) Pascal Stat / 2017 / 2018 / 2019 YPG / NA / 16.8 / 32.8 YPC / NA / 9.9 / 16.4 Cat% / NA / 58.7 / 59 Summary - used sporadically in 2018 after coming to Indy, and coming on late, he's taken very nice jumps in 2019. 95% in YPG, and 66% in YPC. Best YPC on the team. Was critical in the Houston game with TY getting doubled, and vs OAK when TY was out. Not really an impact vs Jax though. Ebron (#2 receiving target in 2018) Stat / 2017* / 2018 / 2019 YPG / 35.9 / 46.9 / 32.4 YPC / 10.8 / 11.4 / 13.0 Cat% / 61.6 / 60.0 / 60.6 Summary - Consistent Catch %. After making a 31% jump in YPG from his previous year with Carolina, he is currently 31% lower. He's made a 14% jump in YPC this year. Doyle (#2 receiving target in 2017) Stat / 2017 / 2018 / 2019 YPG / 46.0 / 40.8 / 26.3 YPC / 8.6 / 9.4 / 10.0 Cat% / 74.1 / 78.8 / 70.0 Summary - Doyle took a little step back with all the injuries in 2018, and took a big step back when healthy of 36% in 2019 (43% drop from his healthy 2017). YPC took a bit increase in both 18 and 19. Catch % has taken a decent step back in 2019. Hines (#4 receiving target in 2018) Stat / 2017 / 2018 / 2019 YPG / NA / 26.6 / 23.9 YPC / NA / 6.7 / 7.6 Cat% / NA / 77.8 / 83.3 Summary - 10% drop in 2019 YPG while improving YPC by 13%. 7% improvement in catch %. Summary YPGame - Significant drops in the top 3 receiving targets from last year, and small drop from #4. Pascal is the only gainer of substance. YPCatch - Mixed bag here, but significant drop to the #1 (TY), and nice gain by Pascal. Catch % - Total mixed bag here Overall - the drops to YPG for the top 4 producers in 2018 is pretty telling. We returned a lot of production from last year, and the drop hurts. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ If there's anything more you'd like me to chase down, let me know. Hoping to see improvement across the board in the last 6 games. Houston should be a nice kickoff for JB. Got my popcorn ready for the end stretch.
  13. 1 point
    My rating of the block will get me a strike on the forum for explicit content.
  14. 1 point
    Yeah, there were a lot of sighs of relief during the Chiefs/Texans games. I'd forgotten about the Denver penalty but that was huge too. Not trying to take away from those wins, especially the Chiefs/Texans wins, but with how close they all ended up it just goes to show how narrow our margin of victory has been.
  15. 1 point
    Don’t forget the Falcons game too. The Falcons kept shooting them selves every critical moment in the second half
  16. 1 point
    yes, this is the want-all be-all get-all game for whomever wins. it will be a barn-burner. it will also be a complete 'drowned myself under an open keg-tap' if we notch a loss to our division rival.
  17. 1 point
    We got screwed against the Chargers on several calls though and lost in OT. It works both ways. It evens out IMO.
  18. 1 point
    We win, we are in the drivers seat. I hope JB throws for 175 yards and 1 TD/no INT's and we win by 10 - that would be awesome. As long as we rush for 125 yards and 2 TD's = winning football.
  19. 1 point
    And don't forget the 15 yard penalty at the end of the Denver game that put us in FG range. We've been very fortunate this year overall relevant to timely penalties (deserved and undeserved).
  20. 1 point
    Don’t forget they also got a touchdown on a illegal motion that was never called. It all was a wash. I also don’t think Hopkins actually caught the ball on the one they took away. It might of been over turned anyway.
  21. 1 point
    I just wanted to chime in & say thank you for the correct spelling of "a lot." Pet peeve of mine.
  22. 1 point
    https://www.ridethehothand.com/100-nfl-thursday-night-football-facts-and-stats/ I shouldn't enable your laziness but...
  23. 1 point
    Yeah, he didn't start posting them until like week 4 or 5. I think he gets tired of it because it doesn't get the recognition it deserves but then so many people ask about it, he starts posting again.
  24. 1 point
    We should run all over Carolina, so that's positive. Allen is so inconsistent. He's putting up plenty of yards, but he's been an INT machine at times. If he has a clean game, could be trouble. I was very surprised they beat TN, and stayed close to GB in GB.
  25. 1 point
    No one knows because the boundaries haven't been tested yet. Some analysis suggests that offenses could easily double their use of play action and still see increased efficiency. No one does it more than 36%, as of last season (LAR). Their offense definitely didn't suffer from too much play action. The bottom eight teams were all pretty bad offensively last year; not saying that correlation is entirely about play action, but I think we can definitively say that those offenses weren't bad because they ran too much play action. I don't know what the fear is, to be honest. People might think that play action corresponds to time to throw, but it doesn't. Play action doesn't have to be long, drawn out and exaggerated. Tom Brady and Carson Wentz were both top five play action passers last year, and both were in the bottom half of the league for time to throw. Someone is gonna break the mold one of these days. It's bound to happen. https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2019/play-action-offense-2018 https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/stats/passing/2018/all#average-time-to-throw https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2019/10/23/nfl-is-midst-play-action-boom-kirk-cousins-is-reaping-benefits/
  26. 1 point
    Thankfully you're not calling the shots. We have about the worst WRs in the league right now and you don't want to bring back the clear #2.
  27. 1 point
    Ever since I heard they're bridge was falling down.........I don't know....
  28. 1 point
    To be fair: 1. It was more than just one bad game by Rock. Yes it’s expected because he’s a rookie, but you have to call it for what it is 2. The Inverse is also true. There are a lot of people who overreact to one good game or one good PFF score for a player. Neither is inherently right or wrong.
  29. 1 point
    Then we'll have a few extra days to be ready for Tennessee at home. I'm looking forward to that game. I will be in attendance with my husband, brother and sister in law.
  30. 1 point
    This goes goes along with the Aikmann Efficiency Ratings, which, after week 11 has the Colts as the #10 offense. Which compared to the NFL which goes by yards only, the Colts are 21.
  31. 1 point
    Huh. He has been practicing the last two weeks. He was with the team all through spring and camp. Not sure where your getting that from. Getting him back is important for both the colts and DF. Can he prove enough the last five games to make the colts want to bring him back. Gives them another weapon they are clearly missing.
  32. 1 point
    I honestly dont think there's anything to be gained by adding him. He hasnt practiced with the team, he has no reps in the offense, this was his first year with the Colts so there's nothing for him to pick back up. I think we saw all we were going to see in game 1.
  33. 1 point
  34. 1 point
    That is a distinction, but I don't know that it distinguishes play action from option plays. An old fashioned outside veer might start with a play fake. Either way, I'm talking about the act of faking the handoff to the RB to manipulate the defense. If that happens at the start of the play, I call that play action. Including RPOs. And my belief is that we do not know how much play action is too much, because no team has ever tested its limits. That's not surprising, even "aggressive" NFL coaches are still very conservative. But I'd like to find out. The Cowboys started this season with a ton of play action, something like 60% in their first two games (IIRC), and have since tapered off.
  35. 1 point
  36. 1 point
    I really can't think of any incredible good motive to not use more PA. It would at least help Brissett on the passing game. I've been asking myself every game this same question: Why? Why wouldn't we abuse of the PA when (mainly) our running games is destroying the competition. Well, I guess that's one more question to a season full of them.
  37. 1 point
    You're in OK shape if Wilson is your #4 CB and Milligan is #4 Safety. Also, Milligan has proven to be solid depth at CB as well. It could have been MUCH worse.
  38. 1 point
    So people will complain if it doesn’t work and the team loses the game That is what practice is for Doing that on a game day is one way to get an extended vacation
  39. 1 point
    Why does it matter Just because FR doesn’t like or feel comfortable with a set of plays doesn’t make him a bad HC Running PA is like running a Wing T Offense It takes repetition
  40. 1 point
    The athleticism for a man his size is a big reason why he was considered a generational talent. Add to that the strength, attitude and desire to improve and you have a guy who is considered a steal as the #6 overall pick.
  41. 1 point
    Great example. Vegas wins billions a year, and there's only a very small fraction of people that can defy the odds/analytics. I'd also point out that the people that beat Vegas, usually rely on stats/analytics themselves. So you're actually hurting your case...
  42. 1 point
    So it's fine for posters to go "we could be 9-1" and I offer the counter I need "move on". Gotcha.
  43. 1 point
    Not only is he the best OG in the league, he is the best lineman period. The guy could absolutely play LT, he is a better athlete than Castonzo, and a play like this proves it. I wouldn't play him there because he is the perfect G, but he absolutely could if needed, and probably be an upgrade. Best draft pick since Andrew Luck.
  44. 1 point
    The Big Q Bus came rolling in and knocked that dude out of Marion County! That LB was like:
  45. 1 point
  46. 1 point
    It was the biggest "I'm obviously joking" sign I could find on short notice. Yet, here you are again, quoting only a portion of the post. Once again leaving out the portion where I'm very positive about Jacoby, and his role in the upcoming Thursday night tilt vs the Texans. I'm not sure if it's to support some odd agenda (?) Or to create some sort of artificial controversy (?) Either way I guess it's fine. You seem to be having a good time and I'm all for that. I just wanted to find out if what I thought I was seeing was accurate. I'm not sure "why" you do what you do but it's helpful, for future reference, to understand "what" it is that you do. Fingers crossed for a big win on Thursday, I know we can agree on that!
  47. 1 point
  48. 1 point
    It's basically the same block. That's nuts
  49. 1 point
    Being upset at losses and doing Superman poses when he’s winning. The horror
  50. 1 point
    So once again you know more. You know better. One of the most informed front offices in the NFL and you keep trying to tell them what to do. Why you think this is a good look for you, I don’t know. But you do...
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