I know a lot of people say that, but from my personal film studies I am not impressed. Sure, he could be a good player and prove me wrong, at which point I would own up to my mistake, but from my perspective, which few seem to share, Simmons doesn't display enough to be considered so highly. Just personal opinion though, I know I won't change anyones minds this late in the draft process
I think u r missing my point. U r giving up a 1st rounder in either scenario. U r swapping your 26th pick for say the 10th overall and then throwing in next year's 1st rounder. For Clark u r giving up the 26th pick and then 20 million a year. I like the first scenario better.
We're overthinking it because our ideas ultimately don't matter, whether teams are using them or not.
But the concept of teams reading the flow of the draft and valuing prospects based on how the draft is going is not overly analytical. It's a basic part of the process.