Wasn't Brandon Scherff drafted pretty high? But I get what you mean. I meant this more as a hypothetical scenario to think through, rather than me really thinking that he can't fail. Every prospect can fail for variety of reasons really and that's part of their evaluations - assessing the various risk factors.
More on the topic - from your scouting - do you have higher grade on Nelson as a guard or on Chubb as a DE? (that is disregarding the positional value, just evaluating how good the player is at what he does)
What you need is a computer system in place that reviews the flags, and reviews, and determines if the ref screwed the call up. Then put all of together over the course of the year. If you sucked that bad then bye bye. Refs need to score a certain score to remain employed.
That is the only way I can see that would effectively stop refs from taking under the table offers. And to act like this doesn't happen is like acting like people aren't effected by greed. Talk about naive.
Its either build a computer program, or eliminate 90% of the rule book, like the old days. Let them play!
I still remember the exercise we did in the second or third grade where the teacher told a secret to a student in the back corner of the room, and told them to quietly whisper it to the student in front of them. They in turn passed it on, going row by row, until the last person at the opposite end of the room then stood up and said what they heard. It was funny how far off from the original it was once the first person shared what they had first spoke. People hear what they want to hear....they concentrate on what they like, and abbreviate.
It could literally have been an original statement that was something like, "His shoulder will get better once his blood flow improves". Which becomes, "Andrew's blood flow is not right", and then, "Luck has no blood flow to his shoulder".