Jump to content
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts Fan Forum

Trade back example


12isthenew18

Recommended Posts

New england in 2013 traed the 29th selection for minnesoata's 2nd 3rd 4th and 7th and the vikings originally were the 23rd selection so would you go back this far for extra depth.

 

The Pats got from these trades: Jamie Collins, Logan ryan and other players.

 

Would you support this then?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

New england in 2013 traed the 29th selection for minnesoata's 2nd 3rd 4th and 7th and the vikings originally were the 23rd selection so would you go back this far for extra depth.

 

The Pats got from these trades: Jamie Collins, Logan ryan and other players.

 

Would you support this then?

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I've been doing this on First-Pick and it's been working out great for my drafts. This is what Grigson should do, not sure if he will. Ton of talent in rounds 2-4. Would be nice to have 2 picks in each round 2-4. Would fill a lot of needs and could get a lot of solid players that fall. We could have a field day with best player available.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

New england in 2013 traed the 29th selection for minnesoata's 2nd 3rd 4th and 7th and the vikings originally were the 23rd selection so would you go back this far for extra depth.

 

The Pats got from these trades: Jamie Collins, Logan ryan and other players.

 

Would you support this then?

 

 

Sure why not, I like the Colts having extra draft picks for the most part.  However, there has to be a team willing to do that trade.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I've been doing this on First-Pick and it's been working out great for my drafts. This is what Grigson should do, not sure if he will. Ton of talent in rounds 2-4. Would be nice to have 2 picks in each round 2-4. Would fill a lot of needs and could get a lot of solid players that fall. We could have a field day with best player available.

 

Remember,  you're moving down nearly one full round.    From the bottom of the 1st round to near the bottom of the 2nd round.   That was a drop of 26 picks.  

 

Just want to make sure we're clear on that.

 

Most of these computer simulations that propose trading back have teams getting a 2/3/4 for moving back 8-12 picks.   And then fans don't understand why the Colts don't do this.     It's because in the real world,  that's not the way it works.

 

If you want to get a 2/3/4 for a 1,  you've got to be willing to move back almost one full round.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Remember,  you're moving down nearly one full round.    From the bottom of the 1st round to near the bottom of the 2nd round.   That was a drop of 26 picks.  

 

Just want to make sure we're clear on that.

 

Most of these computer simulations that propose trading back have teams getting a 2/3/4 for moving back 8-12 picks.   And then fans don't understand why the Colts don't do this.     It's because in the real world,  that's not the way it works.

 

If you want to get a 2/3/4 for a 1,  you've got to be willing to move back almost one full round.

I understand that we most likely won't get an opportunity like that. The probable trade that someone will offer Grigson is a 2nd and 3rd to move up and we move down 10 spots or something like that. I would absolutely move down to the end of the 2nd though for a 2, 3, 4 as I believe Grigson is smart enough to hit on 2 of those picks for sure. Just a best-case scenario. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I understand that we most likely won't get an opportunity like that. The probable trade that someone will offer Grigson is a 2nd and 3rd to move up and we move down 10 spots or something like that. I would absolutely move down to the end of the 2nd though for a 2, 3, 4 as I believe Grigson is smart enough to hit on 2 of those picks for sure. Just a best-case scenario. 

 

Thanks.   I appreciate that you didn't take my post as an attack on you.    I wasn't even referring to you specifically,  only to people who in general who lay the computer simulation games.    

 

And by the way,   the reason why I can speak to them so well is that I've played them.   Extensively!    They're fun and completely addictive!!    They're just not logical and realistic.    

 

By the way,  if we're offered a chance to trade down 10 spots,  I don't think we'll get a 2/3.    More likely a 2/4.    Trading down has become much, MUCH harder the last few years.     Fewer trades are being made and fewer good draft picks are being moved.

 

That NE trade with Minnesota,  is now the rare exception to the rule.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah definitely. We could probably get a mid to late 2nd and 3rd. So there we'd have two 2nd's and two 3rd's. We could get some combination of guys like Perryman, Prewitt, Coleman, Green Beckham, Tartt, Shelton etc. A lot of years we'll look back and be like "wow we could have traded back and got this guy, this guy, and so on." So I kind of hope we just do it this season and get 3 or 4 impact players. I think we should look into drafting both Cody Prewitt and Tartt, then we'd be set at safety for years to come.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There was a long article on ESPN about the Pats and how Belichick has made trading back/down an art form over the past 15 years. Heck, Tom Brady was drafted with a compensatory pick! It's a big part of why they have been able to maintain their success for so long. The big thing is, he takes advantage of GMs that want to move up and reach for a player...the article cited numerous examples but I can't think of any besides Edelman right now, he was a late rounder that has turned into a big playmaker. That, and he's famous for cutting ties with players and not holding on too long (Mankins, Moss, Ty Law, etc.). He has had misses, but all in all he has done very well gathering extra picks and drafting well in later rounds.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There was a long article on ESPN about the Pats and how Belichick has made trading back/down an art form over the past 15 years. Heck, Tom Brady was drafted with a compensatory pick! It's a big part of why they have been able to maintain their success for so long. The big thing is, he takes advantage of GMs that want to move up and reach for a player...the article cited numerous examples but I can't think of any besides Edelman right now, he was a late rounder that has turned into a big playmaker. That, and he's famous for cutting ties with players and not holding on too long (Mankins, Moss, Ty Law, etc.). He has had misses, but all in all he has done very well gathering extra picks and drafting well in later rounds.

I remember Brady was drafted with the 199th pick, never thought about it being a compensatory pick. Pretty crazy. That's one thing I like specifically about those comp picks, they are free shots in the dark that good teams can get every year. I hope as we improve as a team, we get a couple of them a year and can add to our team through the draft and hit a big gem as we rely less on Free Agents.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I remember Brady was drafted with the 199th pick, never thought about it being a compensatory pick. Pretty crazy. That's one thing I like specifically about those comp picks, they are free shots in the dark that good teams can get every year. I hope as we improve as a team, we get a couple of them a year and can add to our team through the draft and hit a big gem as we rely less on Free Agents.

 

Over the cap is projecting the Colts receiving two 7th rnd compensatory picks for the 2015 draft.

 

http://overthecap.com/projecting-the-compensatory-draft-picks-for-2015/

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Over the cap is projecting the Colts receiving two 7th rnd compensatory picks for the 2015 draft.

 

http://overthecap.com/projecting-the-compensatory-draft-picks-for-2015/

They'll be at the end of the draft, but that's ok. It's basically a situation where Grigson can pick his favorite two guys that didn't get drafted (If you want to think about it that way). Any draft picks are good draft picks. Lets hope for some luck there. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think this would be a great strategy in about 2 years.  Technically we are still rebuilding, so trading our 1st round pick would be a terrible decision, because we are only 4-5 guys away from being a serious SB contender.  Once your team is really good, that is the type of approach you use to maintain success tho. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • Thread of the Week

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Can you expend on this, why do you think that?
    • No, but I would love that! Is that true? Where did you hear that? I don't think that will happen. I heard that trading Herbert would result in a huge dead cap hit for the Chargers, that would make it nearly impossible to keep or sign other players.
    • https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/40018124/source-bengals-pro-bowl-de-trey-hendrickson-requests-trade  
    • Final edition, call it a less penalty driven team draft.   The Colts trade up on Day 1.   Round 1 a)       WR Rome Odunze (Washington) – led all receivers in CFB in pass interference call draws with 9 in 2023. b)      LCB Quinyon Mitchell (Toledo) – Only had 3 penalties in the last two seasons. c)       WLB Edgerrin Cooper (Texas A&M)   Round 2  a)      OL Cooper Beebe (Kansas State) – Jack of all trades OL No matter where Cooper Beebe lines up, he produces elite play. At right tackle in 2020, he was a PFF honorable mention All-Big 12 honoree. As a left tackle in 2021, he was named first-team All-Big 12. In 2022 at left guard, Beebe was a second-team All-American.  Beebe's 94.0 pass-blocking grade over the past two seasons led all offensive linemen in college football. During that span, he didn’t allow a sack on 770 pass-blocking snaps.  Beebe is the only FBS guard who ranks in the top five in both PB (4th) and RB (2nd).  He still hasn’t allowed a sack since the 2020 season. 2023 earned college football midseason all-America First Team.   Very few penalties throughout his career. b)      FS/NCB Javon Bullard (Georgia) – only had 5 penalties in college. c)       SS Jaden Hicks (Washington State) – 2023 PFF TOW 2 honors. Leader on defense that off to a strong start for 2023 earning a 90.1 PFF grade in coverage with one interception after 3 weeks, dropped another but forced 4 incompletions.  Great field and anticipation skills along with ball production.  Versatile can align up in FS, SS, LB, or nickel.  Only had 3 penalties in 2023.   Round 3 a)       CB Khyree Jackson (Oregon) – 2023 PFF TOW 4 honors.  Jackson had a decent Senior Bowl Week and is best in Zone Coverage. Jackson’s got excellent height we covet at 6’3” with great weight at 203 pounds, with ideal arms 32” and the span of 78” and good 4.44s-Forty.  Only committed 4 penalties in 2023. b)       DB Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (Texas Tech) - only 7 career penalties with 200 tackles, 57 stops, 11 pressues, 3 sacks, 16 passes defended, and 10 interceptions. c)       LCB Kris Abrams-Draine (Missouri) - 2023 PFF TOW 4 honors.  After 6 games leads all FBS players with 8 PBUs (1.8 PDPG) while adding 3 INTs.   10 combined interceptions and (7) forced incompletions are the most among Power Five CBs while only allowing 11 catches all season. 2023 college football midseason all-America First Team.  His 86.8 coverage grade is 5th highest in the FBS allowing just 107 passing yards and 11 receptions on the season. d)      SWR Malik Washington (Virginia) – Josh Downs 2.0 and only committed 4 total penalties in five years (52 career games).   Round 4 a)      RG Zak Zinter (Michigan) 2022 PFF Week 5, 11, 12 TOW Honors. 2023 earned college football midseason all-America Second Team. Wasn’t called for a single penalty on 649 snaps. b)      FS Cole Bishop (Utah) junior if he declares – After 5 weeks in 2023, targeted 13 times, 4 catches allowed, 2 INTs, and 4.8 passer rating allowed.  Had a decent Senior Bowl week. Ejected for a targeting penalty.  In 3 years only allowed 7 penalties. c)       RB Isaac Guerendo (Louisville) – 9.97 RAS   Round 5 a)       WLB Michael Barrett (Michigan) PFF TOW 7 honors, round 5 projection had an outstanding year with an overall 90.6 defense grade only behind Edgerrin Cooper.  An 82.5 run defense grade, a 93.5 pass rush grade, and a 77.0 coverage grade.  Didn’t commit a defensive penalty in more than 1800 defensive snaps. b)      SS Malik Mustapha (Wake Forest) – Zero career penalties c)       SS Kitan Oladapo (Oregon St) – only 4 accepted penalties in final 30 games.   Round 6 a)       Edge Jalyx Hunt (Houston Christian) b)      WR Ryan Flournoy (SE Missouri St) c)       Edge Javontae Jean-Baptiste (ND)   Round 7 a)      LG/C Michael Jurgens (Wake Forest) – Only one of two guards in the Power Five with an 80.0 PB and RB grades.   After 10 weeks has an 86.5 PFF grade with his 90.0 run-blocking grade is nearly 5 points higher than the next-best guard.  2023 earned college football midseason all-America Second Team.  Only committed 3 penalties all season in 2023. b)      OC Matt Lee Miami (FL) 2023 earned college football midseason all-America Honorable Mention. PFF TOW 9 honors.  In 2022 he had an 82.5 overall grade with a 90.6 PB and 80.6 RB grade.  As of Oct 15th, Lee is the highest graded center in all FBS earning an 82.7 PFF grade.  Only allowed 2 penalties in 2022 on 1059 offensive snaps given up only four pressures and no sacks. c)       MLB Dallas Gant (Toledo) - 2023 college football midseason all-America Honorable Mention
  • Members

×
×
  • Create New...