Blaine Gabbert isn't that bad.
Seriously. Stop laughing.
He struggles deep into his progressions; in other words, if his first or second option isn't open, he doesn't really know what to do with the ball. So if I were the Jags, my objective would be to try to get my outside receivers open right away, especially with the Colts top two corners out with injuries. If Blackmon and Shorts can run some quick slants, Gabbert can get the ball to them. If they can get Lewis open up the seam or outside the numbers, he can pick up some yards and catches on our linebackers. The key is to get receivers open quickly, and the last five quarterbacks we've played have done a great job on quick routes. Rodgers was 62.5%, Sanchez was 61%, Weeden was 58.5% but started out 13/17, Hasselbeck was 75.9%, and Tannehill was 57.9% but had his streaks against us, and threw for nearly 300 yards. Our defense is susceptible to the pass, even against the likes of Blaine Gabbert, who has a decent arm and can throw it accurately when there's no pressure.
The other thing about Gabbert is that he has limited awareness inside the pocket. Being a spread quarterback in college, five step drops are not native to him. Or, I should say, what he does after the drop, especially if his receivers aren't immediately open. Good pocket quarterbacks know how to move around within the pocket to avoid the pass rush, and stand tall and make throws down the field. Luck did a tremendous job of this against the Dolphins. Tony Romo did a terrible job of this against the Falcons. Gabbert is prone to taking bad sacks, breaking down, and wilting under pressure. This was the biggest criticism of him last season, and it's probably why he's fumbled 18 times in 23 games. But again, if the Jags receivers can get open quickly -- and I'm not confident that we'll be able to prevent this from happening -- Gabbert can get them the ball.
Our defense is also susceptible to screen passes and play action fakes, which might allow Gabbert some chances to get the ball down the field a few times.
So I'm seriously serious when I say -- very seriously -- that I would NOT surprise me if Blaine Gabbert has a good game against us. If the Jags coaches put together a game plan that neutralizes our pass rush and keeps Gabbert comfortable, they actually could air it out tomorrow night. Blackmon has been coming on; Shorts hurt us last time; Lewis is a good tight end. And we haven't forced a turnover in a month.
was having a good laugh until you got all logical about it... i was dismissing your arguments right up until an image flashed in my mind of Cecil Shorts splitting our secondary for the game winner a few weeks back.... now my laughter is on the nervous side