I don't get the fuss about power rankings this time around of the season. It's a guessing game, and we all know that. Last year this time around the season, ESPN had Carolina as their #1, and the Falcons at #18. Were they *s? No, they weren't. Its just the NFL. There are only a handful of teams - like the Patriots, Falcons, Seattle, Green Bay, maybe Pittsburgh, then the Browns, Niners, Bears - who are relatively safe bets to put them in the playoffs and/or in the bottom. Outside of these teams, the remaining 20-25 teams are soo close, that no one can predict how they will fare.
For example, there is the Texans. I can easily see - and explain why - them finising below .500 and 4th in the division. They lost Bouye, Simon, Wilfork, Demps to name a few, so there's a chance that their defense won't be as good as it was last year - even if Watt returns. And if Savage / Watson wont be the next Dak Prescott, they will be in trouble. On the other side, if Watson turns into a Prescott, and they find the missing pieces replacing Bouye, they might end up winning the division easily. Which scenario will happen? I have no clue, really. And anyone, who claims to know it, I just cant take it seriously. Its a guessing game, again.
So, all I care about is how our Colts will do. To be realistic, it can go both ways too. Don't get me wrong, I love what Ballard did this offseason. I think this was the best offseason I have seen in years. But Ballard builds the team for the future, which, not necessarily will show in day 1. Or year 1. The Colts defense will probably have at least 6 new players in their starting lineup, including rookies. Even seasoned elite veterans need some time to pick up their new team's playbook, system, get into their new role. Its very rare that they play at the same high level in the beginning as they played for their former teams. So I expect some struggles in the beginning. Maybe big struggles. Which might cost us games. Our schedule is preferrable, but if our defense won't get into shape quickly, then we might loose some games in the beginning of the season which we suppose to win, and if that happens, then, we might face an uphill battle the entire season. But it's also possible, that our front7 will be a lot better out of the box, and - if injury bug wont hit us as bad as last year - the defense will be more reliable from week1 and on, and by the end of a season it will be a formidable squad. If that happens, the division might be there for us to grab.
Let's hope for the best. But as fans, lets also prepare for the worse. And if the worse happens, don't give up on them too early! We have a very young - and I believe a talented - defensive core, which might be a force in a couple of years, regardless of how they play in 2017.