dw49

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dw49 last won the day on December 20 2014

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  1. New England (-3) at Pittsburgh (12-17-17)

    There's no way James controlled the ball when it hit the ground. The over rule was justified....I hate the Pats but it is what it is.
  2. Not so make a huge issue but it could have never happened. SF and Houston would for sure have been mathematically impossible . I'd say the same for TB and Chicago also as their SOS is way , way higher than our .559 to .487. Plus you have teams playing each other . Tenn vs Jack . Pitt vs Houston Jack vs SF . Things like Chicago losing to Minn just makes it impossible for the SOS to change that drastically. Your original thread really wasn't accurate as you said we could finish as low as 7th with 4 losses and that was not mathematically possible. Actually Im wrong on SF as they could have ended the season with 3 wins as you posted before they won, So my bad on SF.
  3. Ongoing Colts 2018 draft talk........

    Yes , it's very possible that the Colts , Houston ,TB , SF and Chicago could all finish with 4 wins. No coin flips unless Strength of schedule ends up tied. Chicago , Houston and the Colts each have a winnable game. Colts win strength of schedule tie breaker with all these teams. So they clinch 3rd pick with 1 loss. Now when you go to the second round , the order reverses. So the team that picked 7th i the 1st round would pick 3rd in the 2nd round and the team that picked 3rd would pick 7th. Pretty sure it just reverses order.
  4. You did a nice job of research but I don't think you realized that there is no way the Colts can lose the SOS tiebreaker with ANY of the teams with 4 or less wins. So when you wrote this , the lowest we could pick with a loss at Balt was 4th and not 7th.
  5. It changed I believe just one thing. If SF losses it last 2 and good chance they will , they finish with 4 wins instead of 3. If we lose at Baltimore it would mean we finish with 3 or 4 wins. In either event , we pick ahead of SF. I'm pretty sure that's the only thin it changed. Coming into today , we could pick no lower than 4th as long as we lost to Balt. Believe it or not , it wasn't so unexpected. Vegas had SF favored by 1.5.
  6. Ongoing Colts 2018 draft talk........

    No , if we beat Houston , we would pick 3rd in round one and as low as 7th in round 2. This assumes a loss at Baltimore. Sorry for the confusion.
  7. Loss at Balt clinches picking no lower than 3rd.
  8. A loss at Baltimore assures us of pick 1.3. We get to 1.2 if Giants beat AZ and we lose to Houston. That said , very likely we beat Houston and Pick at number 3. We win the tiebreaker vs SF , Chic , TB and Houston. The only win it looks like those 4 teams could have is Houston vs Us or Chicago could beat Cleveland. If They all finish at 4-12 , we would pick 7th in round 2 and I "think" 6th in round 3.
  9. Ongoing Colts 2018 draft talk........

    With a loss Saturday , we'll clinch the 3rd pick. Good chance we could beat Houston and then pick as low as 7th in the 2nd round.
  10. Ongoing Colts 2018 draft talk........

    Talk is Giants want Manning to play another year to groom the rookie. Problem with NY is they will never want to win the finale vs AZ... I don't think anyway. I'm not sure Tyrod Taylor is going to QB one of those QB needy teams. Alex Smith could fill a void as you say. Miami might pick up Smith or Taylor ? I think the likelihood is we pick 3rd or 4th as Houston is a hot mess and we probably win that one. So we stay at 3 or go to 4 if SF doesn't beat Tenn. today. Very unlikely you get a mother load for the 3rd pick. Still could trade down is Ballard wants to go O line in the first I guess.
  11. NFL DRAFT CHART

    As of today , the Jets pick 10th. If we stay at 3 , the chart says their 1st , 2nd and 3rd would be well in line. Denver as of now sits at 8 , but they do have a developmental pick already on the roster. I guess there is also a chance that we lose to Houston while the Giants win another game. We would pick 2nd and could maybe squeeze a 3rd and a 5th out of the Giants ?
  12. Why did Haeg replace Good?

    I think that "one bad play" you refer to is when Miller bull rushed Good and got to Brissett. I'm thinking that's the play Good hurt his knee on as a few plays later I noticed Clark was in the game .
  13. Ongoing Colts 2018 draft talk........

    Agree with your thoughts However if you mentioned Washington and if they end up needing a QB , you'd have to put Cousins in the mix which would make the end number of teams needing a QB the same.