Personally, I really like Mayfield and see nothing in Josh Allen to make me think he’s anything more than a massive bust. I believe Baker will have the best career out of all the QBs in the draft and would absolutely build a franchise around him. I know he’s got more of a Johnny Manziel personality type rather than an Andrew Luck, face of the franchise type of personality, but the dude is just sooooo much better than Manziel, and I don’t think he’s going to fall into the traps that Manziel did.
Obviously, with both guys you’re going to need to get them in the right environment, and I hope they do. If Allen is number one off the board to Cleveland, they better sit him for the entire year and get him a new coach for 2019, otherwise he will go the way of many a Cleveland QB before him. I think he has the intangibles you want in a QB, but not the arm talent. He can throw a million yards but that doesn’t do you much good if you can’t hit your guy ten yards downfield. He needs a great QB coach to help him home his craft.
Mayfield on on the other hand, has all the natural ability you want, but will need a strong locker room to keep him from doing stupid crap and being out of the league in three years. I would say Denver is a great spot for him to land, sit behind Keenum for a year or two, and take over the reigns.
I’m not including the other three QBs in this poll because I wanted to make it solely for the two most contentious QBs that will be drafted early. I think Rosen will be better than Darnold, but they both have middling careers, never reaching elite status, and Jackson is too hard to project for me. He’s going to have to live by the Russ Wilson/Aaron Rodgers method of mobile QBs rather than the RG3 method.
Bottom line is, Baker Mayfield is going to be a nasty QB for a while.