How about you knock off calling anyone who doesn't agree with your view of Pagano is the president of his fan club. Not true.
Believe that all you want, but it's not going to be that cut and dry no matter how much you want it to be. It would depend on why they didn't make the playoffs. If Luck goes down in week 1, goes on IR, and the Colts don't make the playoffs, should Pagano be fired for that?
Stop perpetuating the myth that Pags is the best available coach out there so therefore, we must stand pat & not alter the status quo.
And I love the notion that some people have that the fans opinion matters. lol If you stop buying tickets to games, someone else will. It's as simple as that. This is just me theorizing, but the Colts would have to have Browns-esque records for at least 5-6+ years before they'd start having difficulty selling out home games. So yes, Ballard & Irsay do have final say, alone, and it's not just true right now but it's true until the day Ballard is fired or retires.
I remember exactly what happened. Irsay fired Bill Polian and then tried to keep Caldwell for 2012. Grigson was hired, and then both Grigson and Jim Caldwell met with Steven Spagnuolo to interview him for the vacant DC position. Spags presumably laughed in their faces at the thought of working for Caldwell, and only after that happened did they fire Jim Caldwell.
Irsay fired Polian because he knew the mess that the Colt roster had become was his fault, and not Caldwell's. Just like he knew the recent roster mess was due to Grigson and not Pagano. Hence, Grigson was fired and replaced but Pagano was not.
If the team as a whole plays poorly during the season, then Pagano likely gets fired after this season. Not making the playoffs (without examining why they didn't) will not get Pagano fired. Now, it is entirely possibly that whatever reason there might be for the Colts missing the playoffs could get him fired, but again, that takes an examination of the reason why.