VocableLoki

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About VocableLoki

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  1. Notes On The Colts Choking

    Lolz. Sarcasm appreciated
  2. Notes On The Colts Choking

    Wouldn’t starting the game off so well be an indication of a good game plan? IE good from the coaching staff?
  3. Was Game One The Gauge For The Season?

    It never is.
  4. Another Wasted Season

    People really need to take a deep breath and relax for a minute. We are a rebuilding team that had sustained injuries to some of our best players and turned the ball over 3 times, with a fourth fumble leading to a safety. That incredibly bad series of events will lead us to being blown out, this is what we know right now. If you were expecting a win in this game then I'm sorry but it seemed like Andrew Luck being out meant that the first part of this season was going to be rough. Look around our division, the Texans gave up 10 sacks and lost to the Jaguars 29-7. The Jaguars are also the only other team that won today. Even if this is a forgettable season, isn't it ok to potentially get a healthy Andrew Luck paired with whatever Ballard can cook up in the offseason?
  5. Colts @ Los Angeles Rams Game Day Thread

    It's worth pointing out that, despite leaving a touchdown out there, that is a pretty good response from Tolzien.
  6. Colts @ Los Angeles Rams Game Day Thread

    Isn't Turbin our short yardage specialist too? We used Mack twice on the 2.
  7. Colts @ Los Angeles Rams Game Day Thread

    Isn't someone on staff there to literally just watch for opportunities to challenge? Did we just rush the next play too much for him to buzz and push for the challenge?
  8. It's worth looking at offensive weapons too when comparing quarterbacks. Manning seemed to develop the same kinds of receivers in his career (Decker, Harrison, Clark, Wayne, Collie, etc all had similar skill sets) while Brady did play with two physically dominant players (Moss and Gronkowski) the likes that Manning never had.
  9. Pagano - 11th Best Coach in the NFL

    The Cardinals did not play in the Super Bowl and got blown out in the Championship Game. They also went 7-8-1 last season in the worst division in the league. Arians may be a very good coach, but that doesn't undo warts on his record.
  10. Marvin Lewis?

    Not to mention Kansas City. i feel it's always impossible and unfair to book coaches down to one thing. "Lewis can't win in the playoffs" or "Pagano can't beat NE or PITT" ignores all kinds of circumstances and doesn't address their strengths or weaknesses as a coach.
  11. Marvin Lewis?

    Lewis deserves more respect, consistently competing in a conference with teams that have won four Super Bowls since 2000 and represent two of the five best teams in the AFC for 17 years is nothing to scoff at. He hasn't won a playoff game sure, but he essentially had a few very good Palmer years and Andy Dalton to work with l. He's not the best coach in the league but I think he's done great work in Cindy.
  12. Jason La Confora has Luck in tier 3

    That just seems to be a double standard. Drew Brees is deservedly in the top tier and he has gone 7-9 for the last three seasons with a team that is either equal to or slightly better than the Colts and he hasn't dropped from that. Aaron Rodgers started out incredibly slow last season and finished with a pretty miserable NFC Championship game and gets the benefit of the doubt. I just think La Confora is being harsh in his assessment.
  13. Jason La Confora has Luck in tier 3

    1) Why would Luck drop after one of his best seasons, where statistically he is a top 10 QB? 2) Why would he (essentially) be in the "up-and-coming" category when he has been consistently good-great when healthy?
  14. Is Andrew the next Dan Marino

    I find it difficult to understand how you can claim I am tailoring stats to fit my agenda when, again, your only point of debate is that Luck and Stafford have similar volume statistics. That is not a good enough analysis to claim that Luck and Stafford aren't that far apart. You can take issue with other statistical measurements, but when enough of them are pointing towards the same conclusion, I think it's worth listening to. The details of how QBR is computed has not been made public, however, it is essentially measuring a bunch of individual qualities: "Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose. Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others. Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations. Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs. Beginning in 2016, Total QBR is now adjusted for strength of opponent. Total QBR on other stats pages (pre-2016) has not yet been updated with opponent adjustment. (Note: Other QB stats pages will be updated with adjusted QBR and a qualifying minimum of 200 passes sometime before the end of February.)" Their QBR's are also not that close. Take away Andrew's 2015 season (an outlier) and Stafford's first two seasons and you have 68.25 (Luck) vs. 57.98 (Stafford).) If you average out their total then it is 66 vs 56.81. I'll link two articles on why I think passer rating is a poor measurement https://www.profootballfocus.com/stat-sheet-misconceptions-passer-rating/ http://www.dawgsbynature.com/2013/12/4/5175398/why-passer-rating-is-not-a-good-stat Here is an explanation of PFF's grading system: https://www.profootballfocus.com/about/how-we-grade/. It's a pretty thorough process that accounts for situation and performance of every play. I think that's pretty thorough and puts things in proper perspective. Those grades place Andrew Luck on a different tier than Matt Stafford. So it would stand to reason that Andrew Luck is more valuable on a per-play basis gives his team and much better chance to win. Finally, I think it's a little bit of a strange thing to claim that Andrew Luck isn't as good as the hype, then list him as the 6th best quarterback in the league, with only one guy remotely close to his age ahead. I would say that the difference between the 6th best quarterback and the 10th best quarterback (I'm flipping Newton and Stafford on your list) is significant. In terms of raw ranking, we aren't that far off, I just think the difference between those spots is pretty significant. I'm all ears if you have some other way of measuring these two that ranks them closer. I just Luck's circumstance and overall package makes him a better player.
  15. Is Andrew the next Dan Marino

    Your "objective metrics" are just total passing yards and touchdowns. I keep giving out more advanced statistics (QBR, PFF metric, etc) you just aren't discussing those points. It's also not "subjective criteria" to argue that Stafford has had a better team around him when that can also be backed statistically. It's fine if don't want to discuss further but don't try to bury other arguments on your way out. They are close in only a few passing statistics, they aren't similar players, don't play on similar teams and have had very different careers. I also don't think their future is that bright going forward. They are a 9-7 team with no wins against a team with a winning record and needed a comeback in a significant amount of wins and got soundly beaten in the playoffs. To to be honest, I'm not sure what the argument even is at this point. My stance is that Luck at his best now can be a top 5 QB and has the potential to get better, Stafford caps out at the lower end of top 10.